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ROST Ross Stores, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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ROST Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Consumer Cyclical Apparel Retail
Current Price Live
$192.36
Analyst Target
$192.69
+0.2% Upside
52W High
$194.92
52W Low
$122.36

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Confidence Score
68%
Analysis Accuracy
ROST's deterministic health score is weak with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating marginal financial stability. While profitability metrics like ROE (37.43%) and gross margin (32.59%) are strong, elevated valuation (P/E of 30.06 vs. sector average of 37.52) and bearish insider activity offset these strengths. The stock trades significantly above the Graham Number ($51.16) but near the growth-based intrinsic value ($110.08), suggesting it is priced for continued growth. However, weak technical trend (10/100) and recent insider selling raise caution despite solid earnings surprise history and sector-relative profitability.

Key Strengths

Exceptional return on equity (37.43%) well above sector average (14.05%)
Strong historical earnings surprises with 21 out of 25 quarters beating estimates
Healthy operating cash flow generation implied by consistent profitability and revenue growth
Low debt/equity ratio (0.88) compared to sector average (1.41), indicating conservative leverage
Solid revenue growth (10.40% YoY) outpacing many peers in the consumer cyclical space

Key Risks

Low Piotroski F-Score (4/9) signals weak financial health and potential instability
Current price ($192.36) is 275% above Graham Number ($51.16), indicating extreme overvaluation on a defensive basis
Bearish technical trend (10/100) suggests weakening price momentum near 52-week high
Insider sentiment is bearish with $7.91M in net selling over the last 6 months, including CEO sales
PEG ratio unavailable and forward P/E (26.90) still high, raising concerns about growth sustainability
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$110.08
-42.8% below current price

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