STLD
NEUTRAL
$200.32
Live
Steel Dynamics, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $192.7
(-3.8%)
$112.72
52W Range
$208.47
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 20, 2026
Market cap
$29.02B
P/E
25.07
ROE
13.3%
Profit margin
6.5%
Debt/Equity
0.49
Dividend yield
1.01%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
STLD presents a dichotomy between strong growth fundamentals and stretched valuation metrics, anchored by a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a missing Altman Z-Score. While the company exhibits impressive YoY earnings growth (34.7%) and a robust balance sheet (Current Ratio 3.06), the current price of $200.32 sits significantly above the Graham Number of $105.4. The extremely high PEG ratio of 11.95 and a bearish technical trend (10/100) suggest the stock is currently overextended despite its intrinsic growth value of $235.71. Consequently, the stock is viewed as a high-quality company trading at a premium price.
Key Strengths
Strong YoY earnings growth of 34.7% and revenue growth of 14%
Excellent liquidity with a Current Ratio of 3.06
Conservative leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.49
Consistent track record of beating earnings estimates over 25 quarters
Significant long-term price appreciation (+322.8% over 5 years)
Key Risks
Severe valuation stretch indicated by a PEG ratio of 11.95
Bearish technical trend (10/100) suggesting a potential short-term reversal
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates only stable, not strong, financial health
Current price exceeds the mean analyst target price of $192.70
Cyclical exposure to the Basic Materials/Steel industry
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$188.5
-5.9% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
62
Strong
40
85
92
60
35
AI Verdict
Quality asset with valuation headwinds
Key drivers: Strong earnings growth, Low debt, High PEG ratio, Bearish technicals
Confidence
90%
Value
40/100
Ref P/E 25.07, PEG 11.95, Graham Number $105.4
Positives
- Forward P/E (12.44) is significantly lower than trailing P/E
Watchpoints
- Price is nearly 2x the Graham Number
- PEG ratio is excessively high
Future
85/100
Ref Growth rates and Forward P/E
Positives
- Strong YoY revenue and earnings growth
- Positive analyst recommendation
Watchpoints
- Recent Q/Q EPS growth decline (-33.6%)
Past
92/100
Ref Historical price changes and earnings track record
Positives
- Exceptional 5Y and 1Y price performance
- Long-term history of earnings surprises
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Health
60/100
Ref Piotroski F-Score and Debt/Equity
Positives
- Low Debt/Equity
- High Current Ratio
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score is only 4/9 (Stable)
Dividend
35/100
Ref Yield and Payout Ratio
Positives
- Low payout ratio (25.03%) suggests sustainability
Watchpoints
- Low dividend yield (1.01%)
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$200.32
Analyst Target
$192.7
Upside/Downside
-3.8%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for STLD and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-17
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
STLD
Steel Dynamics, Inc.
Primary
|
+322.8% | +94.7% | +71.6% | +41.2% | +19.1% | +5.1% |
|
DOW
Dow Inc.
Peer
|
-16.6% | -11.4% | +26.5% | +82.7% | +34.0% | +3.5% |
|
AMRZ
Amrize Ltd
Peer
|
+4.3% | +4.3% | +4.3% | +5.7% | -2.9% | -0.5% |
|
PPG
PPG Industries, Inc.
Peer
|
-22.4% | -18.6% | +0.5% | +3.8% | -10.5% | -0.0% |
|
RGLD
Royal Gold, Inc.
Peer
|
+142.6% | +99.0% | +46.3% | +38.9% | +10.8% | +0.5% |
STL
Steel Dynamics, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+322.8%
3Y
+94.7%
1Y
+71.6%
6M
+41.2%
1M
+19.1%
1W
+5.1%
DOW
Dow Inc.
Peer
5Y
-16.6%
3Y
-11.4%
1Y
+26.5%
6M
+82.7%
1M
+34.0%
1W
+3.5%
AMR
Amrize Ltd
Peer
5Y
+4.3%
3Y
+4.3%
1Y
+4.3%
6M
+5.7%
1M
-2.9%
1W
-0.5%
PPG
PPG Industries, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-22.4%
3Y
-18.6%
1Y
+0.5%
6M
+3.8%
1M
-10.5%
1W
-0.0%
RGL
Royal Gold, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+142.6%
3Y
+99.0%
1Y
+46.3%
6M
+38.9%
1M
+10.8%
1W
+0.5%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
25.07
Forward P/E
12.44
PEG Ratio
11.95
P/B Ratio
3.24
P/S Ratio
1.6
EV/Revenue
1.79
EV/EBITDA
16.08
Market Cap
$29.02B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
6.52%
Operating Margin
7.03%
Gross Margin
13.16%
ROE
13.28%
ROA
5.88%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+14.0%
Earnings Growth
+34.7%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+14.0%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+28.3%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.49
Low debt
Current Ratio
3.06
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.16
Good
Cash/Share
$5.31
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$4.4B
Gross Margin
12.0%
Op. Margin
7.6%
Net Margin
6.0%
Total Assets
$16.4B
Liabilities
$7.5B
Equity
$9.0B
Debt/Equity
0.84x
Operating CF
$0.3B
CapEx
$-0.2B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
31%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-04-20
$N/A
2026-01-26
$1.82
+7.9% surprise
2025-10-20
$2.74
+4.2% surprise
2025-07-21
$2.01
-3.5% surprise
Basic Materials Sector Comparison
Comparing STLD against 91 companies in the Basic Materials sector
(3 bullish, 32 neutral, 56 bearish)
P/E Ratio
25.07
This Stock
vs
43.46
Sector Avg
-42.3%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
13.28%
This Stock
vs
-13.19%
Sector Avg
-200.7%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
6.52%
This Stock
vs
-11.04%
Sector Avg
-159.1%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.49
This Stock
vs
0.85
Sector Avg
-42.5%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
14.0%
This Stock
vs
40.11%
Sector Avg
-65.1%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
3.06
This Stock
vs
6.66
Sector Avg
-54.1%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
STLD
Steel Dynamics, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $29.02B | 25.07 | 13.3% | 6.5% | $200.32 | |
|
DOW
Dow Inc.
|
BEARISH | $29.52B | - | -13.8% | -6.6% | $41.02 | Compare |
|
AMRZ
Amrize Ltd
|
NEUTRAL | $30.0B | 22.98 | 10.3% | 10.0% | $54.24 | Compare |
|
PPG
PPG Industries, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $23.87B | 15.41 | 21.1% | 9.9% | $106.67 | Compare |
|
RGLD
Royal Gold, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $22.75B | 40.02 | 9.1% | 45.6% | $268.12 | Compare |
STLD
Steel Dynamics, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$29.0B
P/E
25.1
ROE
13.3%
Price
$200.32
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | SEAMAN BRADLEY S | Director | Stock Award | 129 | - |
| 2026-04-10 | HAMANN JENNIFER L | Director | Stock Award | 16 | - |
| 2026-04-10 | SIERRA LUIS MANUEL | Director | Stock Award | 12 | - |
| 2026-04-10 | BARGABOS SHEREE L. | Director | Stock Award | 58 | - |
| 2026-04-10 | TEETS RICHARD P JR | Director | Stock Award | 9 | - |
| 2026-04-10 | SHAHEEN GABRIEL L | Director | Stock Award | 157 | - |
| 2026-04-10 | DOLAN TRACI M | Director | Stock Award | 120 | - |
| 2026-04-10 | CORNEW KENNETH W | Director | Stock Award | 5 | - |
| 2026-03-13 | GRAHAM CHRISTOPHER A. | Officer | Stock Award | 16,479 | - |
| 2026-03-13 | ALVAREZ MIGUEL | Officer | Stock Award | 16,479 | - |
| 2026-03-13 | ANDERSON JAMES STANLEY | Officer | Stock Award | 14,738 | - |
| 2026-03-13 | WAGLER THERESA E. | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 20,766 | - |
| 2026-03-13 | MILLETT MARK D | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 46,422 | - |
| 2026-03-13 | SCHNEIDER BARRY T | President | Stock Award | 26,571 | - |
| 2026-03-13 | POINSATTE RICHARD A | Officer | Stock Award | 6,253 | - |
SEAMAN BRADLEY S
Director
2026-04-10
129 shares
HAMANN JENNIFER L
Director
2026-04-10
16 shares
SIERRA LUIS MANUEL
Director
2026-04-10
12 shares
BARGABOS SHEREE L.
Director
2026-04-10
58 shares
TEETS RICHARD P JR
Director
2026-04-10
9 shares
SHAHEEN GABRIEL L
Director
2026-04-10
157 shares
DOLAN TRACI M
Director
2026-04-10
120 shares
CORNEW KENNETH W
Director
2026-04-10
5 shares
GRAHAM CHRISTOPHER A.
Officer
2026-03-13
16,479 shares
ALVAREZ MIGUEL
Officer
2026-03-13
16,479 shares
ANDERSON JAMES STANLEY
Officer
2026-03-13
14,738 shares
WAGLER THERESA E.
Chief Financial Officer
2026-03-13
20,766 shares
MILLETT MARK D
Chief Executive Officer
2026-03-13
46,422 shares
SCHNEIDER BARRY T
President
2026-03-13
26,571 shares
POINSATTE RICHARD A
Officer
2026-03-13
6,253 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
11 analysts
Wells Fargo
2026-04-16
Overweight
Overweight
JP Morgan
2026-04-14
Neutral
Neutral
JP Morgan
2026-03-18
Neutral
Neutral
Wells Fargo
2026-03-18
Overweight
Overweight
Wells Fargo
2026-03-02
Overweight
Overweight
Morgan Stanley
2026-01-09
Overweight
Equal-Weight
Wells Fargo
2025-12-15
Overweight
Overweight
Jefferies
2025-12-10
Buy
Buy
JP Morgan
2025-12-05
Neutral
Neutral
Wells Fargo
2025-11-14
Overweight
Overweight
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning STLD from our newsroom.
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