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TSLA

BEARISH
$386.42 Live
Tesla, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $415.81 (+7.6%)
$244.43 52W Range $498.83

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 22, 2026
Market cap
$1.45T
P/E
357.8
ROE
4.9%
Profit margin
4.0%
Debt/Equity
0.18
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
90%
Tesla's deterministic health is marginally stable with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, but the valuation is fundamentally decoupled from financial performance. The stock trades at a massive premium to its Graham Number ($23.07) and Intrinsic Value ($7.56), while exhibiting negative revenue growth (-3.10%) and a severe collapse in earnings growth (-60.60%). With zero earnings beats in the last four quarters and bearish insider activity, the current price is supported by sentiment rather than data.

Key Strengths

Very low Debt/Equity ratio (0.18) indicating minimal leverage risk
Strong liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 2.16
Dominant market capitalization and sector leadership
Positive long-term 5-year price performance (+61.1%)
Positive analyst target price ($415.81) suggesting some institutional optimism

Key Risks

Extreme valuation metrics (P/E of 357.80 and PEG of 5.75)
Negative YoY revenue growth (-3.10%) and earnings growth (-60.60%)
Consistent failure to meet earnings estimates (0/4 beats in last 4 quarters)
Significant decoupling between market price ($386.42) and defensive fair value ($23.07)
Bearish insider sentiment with $74.37M in net sales and zero buys
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$45.5
-88.2% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
24
Weak
Value
5
Future
15
Past
40
Health
60
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Severely Overvalued
Key drivers: Negative growth trajectory, Extreme P/E ratio, Earnings misses, Insider selling
Confidence
95%
Value
5/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • P/E 357.80
  • PEG 5.75
  • Price/Book 17.65
  • Price is ~16x the Graham Number
Future
15/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Analyst target price remains above current price
Watchpoints
  • Revenue Growth -3.10%
  • Earnings Growth -60.60%
  • Negative Q/Q earnings progression
Past
40/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Strong 3Y and 5Y price appreciation
Watchpoints
  • Recent trend of earnings surprises is negative (-14.15% avg)
Health
60/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Low Debt/Equity (0.18)
  • Healthy Current Ratio (2.16)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is only 'Stable', not 'Strong'
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend yield
  • 0/100 Dividend Strength

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$386.42
Analyst Target
$415.81
Upside/Downside
+7.6%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for TSLA and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-21
TSL
Tesla, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+61.1%
3Y
+134.1%
1Y
+69.8%
6M
-12.7%
1M
+1.5%
1W
+6.1%
AMZ
Amazon.com, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+26.8%
3Y
+109.2%
1Y
+22.0%
6M
-3.6%
1M
+0.1%
1W
+2.6%
BAB
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
Peer
5Y
-30.2%
3Y
+52.7%
1Y
+104.6%
6M
+44.3%
1M
+15.4%
1W
+4.7%
HD
The Home Depot, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+20.8%
3Y
+20.2%
1Y
-8.0%
6M
-17.8%
1M
-10.7%
1W
-0.6%
TM
Toyota Motor Corporation
Peer
5Y
+52.0%
3Y
+55.9%
1Y
+20.2%
6M
+9.3%
1M
-13.9%
1W
-0.6%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
357.8
Forward P/E
140.41
PEG Ratio
5.75
P/B Ratio
17.65
P/S Ratio
15.29
EV/Revenue
14.99
EV/EBITDA
135.32
Market Cap
$1.45T

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 4.0%
Operating Margin 4.7%
Gross Margin 18.03%
ROE 4.92%
ROA 2.1%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -3.1%
Earnings Growth -60.6%
Q/Q Revenue Growth -3.14%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -60.5%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.18
Low debt
Current Ratio
2.16
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.54
Excellent
Cash/Share
$11.74

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$24.9B
Gross Margin
20.1%
Op. Margin
6.3%
Net Margin
3.4%
Total Assets
$137.8B
Liabilities
$54.9B
Equity
$82.1B
Debt/Equity
0.67x
Operating CF
$3.8B
CapEx
$-2.4B
Free Cash Flow
$1.4B
FCF Yield
37%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-22
$N/A
2026-01-28
$0.24
-29.3% surprise
2025-10-22
$0.39
-12.2% surprise
2025-07-23
$0.4
-1.0% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing TSLA against 386 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (23 bullish, 133 neutral, 230 bearish)
P/E Ratio
357.8
This Stock
vs
33.98
Sector Avg
+952.9% (Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
4.92%
This Stock
vs
-43.92%
Sector Avg
-111.2% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
4.0%
This Stock
vs
-5.4%
Sector Avg
-174.2% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.18
This Stock
vs
1.51
Sector Avg
-88.3% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-3.1%
This Stock
vs
28.42%
Sector Avg
-110.9% (Slower)
Current Ratio
2.16
This Stock
vs
2.46
Sector Avg
-11.9% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

ZHU XIAOTONG
Officer
Option Exercise
2026-03-31
20,000 shares · $411,400
WILSON - THOMPSON KATHLEEN
Director
Sell
2026-03-30
25,809 shares · $9,273,888
WILSON - THOMPSON KATHLEEN
Director
Option Exercise
2026-03-30
40,000 shares · $599,600
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2026-03-06
2,264 shares · $899,077
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-05
6,538 shares
WILSON - THOMPSON KATHLEEN
Director
Sell
2026-02-25
25,731 shares · $10,692,814
WILSON - THOMPSON KATHLEEN
Director
Option Exercise
2026-02-25
40,000 shares · $599,600
MURDOCH JAMES RUPERT
Director
Sell
2026-01-02
60,000 shares · $26,723,781
MUSK ELON REEVE
Chief Executive Officer
Gift
2025-12-30
210,699 shares
MUSK KIMBAL J
Director
Gift
2025-12-09
15,242 shares
MUSK KIMBAL J
Director
Sell
2025-12-09
56,820 shares · $25,606,501
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2025-12-08
2,637 shares · $1,170,635
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-05
6,538 shares
MUSK KIMBAL J
Director
Gift
2025-11-10
14,785 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-04-02

Tesla, Inc. filed an 8-K on April 2, 2026, likely to announce the scheduled date for its first-quarter financial results.

10-K
10-K
2026-01-29

Tesla filed its 10-K annual report on January 29, 2026, which includes comprehensive disclosures regarding its business operations, risk factors, and financial condition. While specific financial metrics were not provided in the excerpts, the filing contains the primary analysis of the company's results of operations and associated risk profile.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-28

Tesla filed an 8-K on January 28, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-02

Tesla likely reported its fourth-quarter 2025 vehicle production and delivery numbers.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-11-07
10-Q
10-Q
2025-10-23
8-K
8-K
2025-10-22
8-K
8-K
2025-10-02
DEF 14A
FORM DEF 14A
2025-09-17
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-09-05
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-08-04
10-Q
10-Q
2025-07-24
8-K
8-K
2025-07-23
8-K
8-K
2025-07-10
8-K
8-K
2025-07-02
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
41 analysts
Wedbush
2026-04-21
reit
Outperform Outperform
TD Cowen
2026-04-15
Maintains
Buy Buy
UBS
2026-04-14
up
Sell Neutral
Canaccord Genuity
2026-04-06
Maintains
Buy Buy
Baird
2026-04-06
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Canaccord Genuity
2026-03-31
Maintains
Buy Buy
GLJ Research
2026-03-30
reit
Sell Sell
Wedbush
2026-03-27
reit
Outperform Outperform
GLJ Research
2026-03-12
reit
Sell Sell
GLJ Research
2026-02-19
reit
Sell Sell

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning TSLA from our newsroom.

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