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WINA

BEARISH
$400.3 Live
Winmark Corporation · NASDAQ
Target $545.0 (+36.1%)
$352.19 52W Range $527.37
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 24, 2026
Market cap
$1.43B
P/E
36.16
ROE
N/A
Profit margin
48.2%
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
1.02%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
WINA exhibits a concerning disconnect between its market valuation and fundamental performance, characterized by a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 (Stable) and a massive premium over its intrinsic value of $77.49. While the company maintains exceptional operating and gross margins, it is currently experiencing negative revenue (-4.90%) and earnings growth (-7.70%). The valuation is unsustainable with a P/S ratio of 16.85 and a negative Price/Book ratio, suggesting significant equity erosion or aggressive buybacks. Combined with a 0% earnings beat rate over the last four quarters and bearish insider selling, the risk-to-reward profile is unfavorable.

Key Strengths

Exceptional gross margins (96.67%) indicating a highly efficient business model
Strong operating margins (59.29%) and high ROA (91.80%)
Healthy liquidity with a current ratio of 2.74
Sustainable dividend payout ratio (34.63%)
Strong long-term 5-year price appreciation (+143.2%)

Key Risks

Severe overvaluation relative to intrinsic value ($400.30 vs $77.49)
Negative year-over-year revenue and earnings growth
Consistent failure to meet earnings estimates (0/4 beats in last 4 quarters)
Negative shareholders' equity as indicated by the Price/Book ratio of -26.64
Bearish insider sentiment with $3.63M in net selling
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$82.5
-79.4% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
38
Weak
Value
15
Future
20
Past
50
Health
45
Dividend
60
AI Verdict
Overvalued Growth Trap
Key drivers: Negative growth metrics, Extreme valuation premium, Negative book value, Earnings misses
Confidence
90%
Value
15/100

Ref P/E 36.16, PEG 1.41, Intrinsic Value $77.49

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • P/E of 36.16 is high for negative growth
  • Price/Sales of 16.85 is extreme for specialty retail
  • Trading at >5x its growth-based intrinsic value
Future
20/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth -4.90%
  • Earnings growth -7.70%
  • Recent Q/Q EPS growth -7.1%
Past
50/100

Ref Historical trends and Earnings track record

Positives
  • Strong 5-year historical return
  • Historically high profitability margins
Watchpoints
  • Recent trend of missing earnings estimates
Health
45/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score, Current Ratio

Positives
  • Current ratio 2.74
  • Quick ratio 2.39
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9 (Stable but not strong)
  • Negative Price/Book ratio indicating negative equity
Dividend
60/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Low payout ratio (34.63%) provides safety
Watchpoints
  • Low absolute yield (1.02%)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$400.3
Analyst Target
$545.0
Upside/Downside
+36.1%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for WINA and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-23
WIN
Winmark Corporation
Primary
5Y
+143.2%
3Y
+25.4%
1Y
+15.2%
6M
-3.9%
1M
-5.2%
1W
+4.9%
REA
The RealReal, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-47.8%
3Y
+923.7%
1Y
+124.5%
6M
+17.7%
1M
+28.0%
1W
+24.7%
TRS
TriMas Corporation
Peer
5Y
+27.2%
3Y
+44.6%
1Y
+90.0%
6M
+1.4%
1M
+12.4%
1W
-1.5%
BH
Biglari Holdings Inc.
Peer
5Y
+310.2%
3Y
+205.9%
1Y
+110.4%
6M
+46.2%
1M
+29.3%
1W
+1.5%
OLP
Olaplex Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-91.7%
3Y
-47.8%
1Y
+63.2%
6M
+65.8%
1M
+63.2%
1W
+0.5%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
36.16
Forward P/E
33.11
PEG Ratio
1.41
P/B Ratio
-26.64
P/S Ratio
16.85
EV/Revenue
17.36
EV/EBITDA
27.27
Market Cap
$1.43B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 48.19%
Operating Margin 59.29%
Gross Margin 96.67%
ROE N/A
ROA 91.8%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -4.9%
Earnings Growth -7.7%
Q/Q Revenue Growth -4.88%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -7.0%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
2.74
Strong
Quick Ratio
2.39
Excellent
Cash/Share
$5.54

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q1 2026

Revenue
$0.0B
Gross Margin
97.0%
Op. Margin
59.3%
Net Margin
44.4%
Total Assets
$0.0B
Liabilities
$0.1B
Equity
$-0.0B
Debt/Equity
-1.77x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
100%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-07-14
$N/A
2026-04-15
$N/A
2026-04-15
$2.5
-7.4% surprise
2026-02-18
$2.69
-3.2% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing WINA against 305 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (19 bullish, 96 neutral, 190 bearish)
P/E Ratio
36.16
This Stock
vs
33.91
Sector Avg
+6.6% (Premium)
Profit Margin
48.19%
This Stock
vs
-6.49%
Sector Avg
-842.2% (Weaker)
Revenue Growth
-4.9%
This Stock
vs
35.11%
Sector Avg
-114.0% (Slower)
Current Ratio
2.74
This Stock
vs
2.48
Sector Avg
+10.5% (Better)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

WINA Winmark Corporation
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$1.4B
P/E
36.2
ROE
-%
Price
$400.3
REAL The RealReal, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$1.4B
P/E
-
ROE
-%
Price
$12.08
 Compare with WINA
TRS TriMas Corporation
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$1.4B
P/E
21.5
ROE
10.5%
Price
$38.27
 Compare with WINA
BH Biglari Holdings Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$1.5B
P/E
217.3
ROE
0.4%
Price
$467.14
 Compare with WINA
OLPX Olaplex Holdings, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$1.4B
P/E
-
ROE
-1.1%
Price
$2.04
 Compare with WINA

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

GRASSLE JENELE C
Director
Sell
2026-03-04
3,900 shares · $1,855,620
TOMLINSON PERCY C. JR.
Director
Sell
2026-03-03
1,660 shares · $764,463
TOMLINSON PERCY C. JR.
Director
Option Exercise
2026-02-26
1,660 shares · $399,996
GRASSLE JENELE C
Director
Option Exercise
2026-02-25
3,900 shares · $602,540
GRASSLE JENELE C
Director
Sell
2025-11-21
2,400 shares · $1,010,088
GRASSLE JENELE C
Director
Option Exercise
2025-11-19
2,400 shares · $277,000
ISHAUG ANTHONY D
Chief Financial Officer
Option Exercise
2025-11-07
3,000 shares · $344,511
TOMLINSON PERCY C. JR.
Director
Option Exercise
2025-11-04
600 shares · $118,680
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-04-22

Winnebago Industries, Inc. filed an 8-K likely to report its first-quarter financial results for the fiscal year 2026.

10-Q
10-Q
2026-04-15

WINA submitted its 10-Q filing on April 15, 2026. While specific financial highlights were not provided in the excerpt, the company details its risk factors within Item 1A of the report.

8-K
8-K
2026-04-15

Winnebago Industries, Inc. filed an 8-K on April 15, 2026, likely to announce its first-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-16
DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-03-04

WINA filed a definitive proxy statement (DEF 14A) on March 4, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information to vote on corporate matters.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-25

WINA filed its annual 10-K report on February 25, 2026. Specific financial highlights and risk factors were not provided in the excerpts, though they are detailed in the MD&A and Risk Factors sections of the filing.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-18

Winnebago Industries, Inc. (WINA) filed an 8-K on February 18, 2026, likely to announce its second-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-28

Winnebago Industries, Inc. (WINA) likely reported its quarterly financial results in this 8-K filing dated January 28, 2026.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-15

Winnebago Industries, Inc. (WINA) likely reported its third-quarter financial results in this 8-K filing dated October 15, 2025.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-10-15

WINA filed its 10-Q on October 15, 2025. The provided excerpts do not contain specific financial highlights or detailed risk factors.

8-K
8-K
2025-08-08
8-K
8-K
2025-07-15
10-Q
10-Q
2025-07-15
8-K
8-K
2025-04-23
8-K
8-K
2025-04-16
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning WINA from our newsroom.

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