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ADM Archer-Daniels-Midland Company - Fundamental Analysis

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ADM Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Consumer Defensive Farm Products
Current Price Live
$67.51
Analyst Target
$57.91
-14.2% Downside
52W High
$68.06
52W Low
$40.98

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Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
ADM's deterministic health score is concerning with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating stable but not strong financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. The stock trades above its Graham Number of $51.14 at $67.51, suggesting overvaluation on a defensive basis, though growth-based intrinsic value is higher at $73.16. Profitability metrics are weak, with low margins and ROE, but the company shows strong recent earnings growth and a solid dividend yield of 3.04%. Analysts consensus is 'hold' with a target price below current levels, and technical trend signals bearishness, offsetting some positives.

Key Strengths

Strong recent earnings growth with YoY increase of 489.1% and Q/Q growth of 500.00%
Dividend yield of 3.04% is attractive relative to sector and market
Debt/Equity ratio of 0.40 indicates conservative leverage
Historically beats earnings estimates, with 3 out of last 4 quarters above expectations
Current price near 52-week high, reflecting strong momentum over the past year (+38.5%)

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests weak to stable financial health, limiting confidence in operational strength
Very low profitability: profit margin (1.43%), operating margin (1.95%), and ROE (5.24%) lag behind peers
High P/E of 27.22 relative to forward P/E of 15.91 implies elevated near-term expectations
Analyst target price of $57.91 is significantly below current price, indicating downside risk
Technical trend score of 10/100 signals strong bearish momentum in the short term
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$62.0
-8.2% below current price

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