ADM Archer-Daniels-Midland Company - Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL
Sign in to save
Save this symbol to a watchlist or track a position.
ADM Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Consumer Defensive
Farm Products
Current Price
Live
$67.51
Analyst Target
$57.91
-14.2%
Downside
52W High
$68.06
52W Low
$40.98
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$32.44B
P/E
27.22
ROE
5.2%
Profit margin
1.4%
Debt/Equity
0.4
Dividend yield
3.04%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
ADM's deterministic health score is concerning with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating stable but not strong financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. The stock trades above its Graham Number of $51.14 at $67.51, suggesting overvaluation on a defensive basis, though growth-based intrinsic value is higher at $73.16. Profitability metrics are weak, with low margins and ROE, but the company shows strong recent earnings growth and a solid dividend yield of 3.04%. Analysts consensus is 'hold' with a target price below current levels, and technical trend signals bearishness, offsetting some positives.
Key Strengths
Strong recent earnings growth with YoY increase of 489.1% and Q/Q growth of 500.00%
Dividend yield of 3.04% is attractive relative to sector and market
Debt/Equity ratio of 0.40 indicates conservative leverage
Historically beats earnings estimates, with 3 out of last 4 quarters above expectations
Current price near 52-week high, reflecting strong momentum over the past year (+38.5%)
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests weak to stable financial health, limiting confidence in operational strength
Very low profitability: profit margin (1.43%), operating margin (1.95%), and ROE (5.24%) lag behind peers
High P/E of 27.22 relative to forward P/E of 15.91 implies elevated near-term expectations
Analyst target price of $57.91 is significantly below current price, indicating downside risk
Technical trend score of 10/100 signals strong bearish momentum in the short term
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$62.0
-8.2% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
58
Moderate
52
68
60
45
64
AI Verdict
Neutral with mixed signals across value, growth, and health dimensions
Key drivers: High earnings growth and dividend support valuation, Weak profitability and low Piotroski score constrain upside, Analyst target implies overvaluation, Technical trend is bearish despite strong 1Y performance
Confidence
75%
Value
52/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Price/Sales of 0.39 is very low, suggesting potential undervaluation on revenue basis
- Intrinsic value ($73.16) exceeds current price
Watchpoints
- Current price ($67.51) is 32% above Graham Number ($51.14), indicating overvaluation for defensive investors
- P/E of 27.22 is high for a low-growth, low-margin business
Future
68/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Exceptional YoY and Q/Q earnings growth (489.1%, 500.0%)
- Forward P/E of 15.91 suggests earnings improvement is priced in
Watchpoints
- Most recent Q/Q EPS growth is -1.1%, signaling a potential reversal
- Revenue growth is only 2.20% YoY, limiting top-line sustainability
Past
60/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Consistent history of beating earnings estimates (20+ quarters with positive surprises)
- 5-year price return of +46.2% shows long-term appreciation
Watchpoints
- 3-year return of -13.3% indicates recent underperformance
- Earnings volatility evident in large swings from $0.80 to $2.15 per quarter
Health
45/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Debt/Equity of 0.40 is healthy and below sector average
- Current ratio of 1.37 indicates short-term liquidity adequacy
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals weak financial health
- Quick ratio of 0.37 is very low, indicating potential liquidity stress if receivables are not collected
- Profit margins and ROA are extremely low, reflecting poor operational efficiency
Dividend
64/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend yield of 3.04% is above market average and sector median
- Dividend has been maintained consistently
Watchpoints
- Payout ratio of 82.52% is high, leaving little room for dividend growth or shocks
- Dividend Strength score of 35/100 indicates structural concerns
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$67.51
Analyst Target
$57.91
Upside/Downside
-14.2%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ADM and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ADM
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
Primary
|
+46.2% | -13.3% | +38.5% | +24.1% | +16.8% | +3.6% |
|
DG
Dollar General Corporation
Peer
|
-22.0% | -31.9% | +119.5% | +36.5% | +9.1% | +4.2% |
|
KMB
Kimberly-Clark Corporation
Peer
|
-12.5% | -9.4% | -18.0% | -23.8% | -13.3% | +0.2% |
|
HSY
The Hershey Company
Peer
|
+29.8% | -10.8% | +3.5% | +13.9% | -6.5% | +5.0% |
|
DLTR
Dollar Tree, Inc.
Peer
|
+29.5% | -5.3% | +96.9% | +27.1% | +9.0% | +5.7% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
27.22
Forward P/E
15.91
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.44
P/S Ratio
0.39
EV/Revenue
0.49
EV/EBITDA
16.15
Market Cap
$32.44B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
1.43%
Operating Margin
1.95%
Gross Margin
6.22%
ROE
5.24%
ROA
1.75%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+2.2%
Earnings Growth
+489.1%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+500.0%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.4
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.37
Good
Quick Ratio
0.37
Poor
Cash/Share
$2.57
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-03
$N/A
2025-11-04
$0.92
+7.9% surprise
2025-08-05
$0.93
+16.8% surprise
2025-05-06
$0.7
+4.5% surprise
Consumer Defensive Sector Comparison
Comparing ADM against 48 companies in the Consumer Defensive sector
(3 bullish, 26 neutral, 19 bearish)
P/E Ratio
27.22
This Stock
vs
28.82
Sector Avg
-5.6%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
5.24%
This Stock
vs
4.7%
Sector Avg
+11.6%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
1.43%
This Stock
vs
-1.11%
Sector Avg
-228.2%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.4
This Stock
vs
1.71
Sector Avg
-76.4%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
2.2%
This Stock
vs
9.45%
Sector Avg
-76.7%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.37
This Stock
vs
1.97
Sector Avg
-30.4%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ADM
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
|
NEUTRAL | $32.44B | 27.22 | 5.2% | 1.4% | $67.51 | |
|
DG
Dollar General Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $32.74B | 25.64 | 16.4% | 3.0% | $148.74 | |
|
KMB
Kimberly-Clark Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $34.66B | 17.6 | 136.9% | 10.0% | $104.02 | |
|
HSY
The Hershey Company
|
NEUTRAL | $36.12B | 26.83 | 31.0% | 11.8% | $179.2 | |
|
DLTR
Dollar Tree, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $28.55B | 26.51 | 20.1% | -15.4% | $139.95 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-02 | WESTBROOK KELVIN R | Director | Stock Award | 7,565 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | BURKE MICHAEL S | Director | Stock Award | 4,821 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | SANDLER DEBRA A | Director | Stock Award | 4,821 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | SCHLITZ LEI ZHANG | Director | Stock Award | 4,821 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | HARRISON SUZAN F | Director | Stock Award | 4,821 | - |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
HOLD
11 analysts
JP Morgan
2026-01-21
Underweight
Underweight
Morgan Stanley
2025-12-16
Equal-Weight
Underweight
JP Morgan
2025-11-05
Neutral
Underweight
Morgan Stanley
2025-08-12
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
UBS
2025-08-11
Buy
Buy
Barclays
2025-08-06
Underweight
Equal-Weight
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ADM from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.