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ALG Alamo Group Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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ALG Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Industrials Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Current Price Live
$191.14
Analyst Target
$219.75
+15.0% Upside
52W High
$233.29
52W Low
$156.3

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$2.32B
P/E
19.99
ROE
10.8%
Profit margin
7.2%
Debt/Equity
0.2
Dividend yield
0.64%

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) exhibits strong financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, indicating robust accounting fundamentals. However, the stock trades above its Graham Number of $142.55 at a current price of $191.14, suggesting overvaluation on a defensive basis, while growth metrics are mixed with declining YoY earnings. Despite solid profitability and low leverage, insider selling and inconsistent earnings beats over the last four quarters weigh on sentiment. Relative to sector peers, ALG has lower revenue growth and below-average profit margins, though it maintains a healthier balance sheet.

Key Strengths

Strong financial health indicated by Piotroski F-Score of 8/9
Low debt burden with Debt/Equity ratio of 0.20
High liquidity with Current Ratio of 4.43 and Quick Ratio of 2.68
Attractive valuation multiples relative to sector average P/E of 49.24
Low payout ratio of 12.03% supports dividend sustainability

Key Risks

Earnings underperformance with 1 out of last 4 quarters beating estimates
Declining YoY earnings growth of -7.90% and Q/Q EPS drop of -8.9%
Insider selling activity totaling $1.18M in the past 6 months
Stock trades at a premium to Graham Number ($142.55) with current price at $191.14
Weak technical trend score of 0/100 indicating bearish momentum
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$158.75
-16.9% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
64
Strong
Value
55
Future
50
Past
65
Health
90
Dividend
58
AI Verdict
Neutral with value concerns
Key drivers: Strong financial health, Overvaluation relative to Graham criteria, Mixed earnings trajectory, Bearish insider and technical signals
Confidence
75%
Value
55/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/E of 19.99 below sector average of 49.24
  • Forward P/E of 15.99 suggests earnings recovery priced in
Watchpoints
  • Current price 33.7% above Graham Number of $142.55
  • No PEG ratio due to negative earnings growth
Future
50/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Analyst target price of $219.75 implies 15% upside
Watchpoints
  • Negative YoY earnings growth of -7.90%
  • Q/Q earnings decline of -7.40%
  • No PEG ratio due to lack of positive growth
Past
65/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Long-term 5Y return of +28.5% outperforms market averages
  • History of strong earnings surprises in earlier quarters (e.g., +34.5% in 2023)
Watchpoints
  • Recent earnings misses: 3 out of last 4 quarters below estimates
  • 6-month return of -12.7% indicates near-term weakness
Health
90/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicates excellent financial strength
  • Debt/Equity of 0.20 shows conservative capital structure
  • Current Ratio of 4.43 reflects strong short-term liquidity
Watchpoints
  • Altman Z-Score not available, limiting distress risk assessment
Dividend
58/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Low payout ratio of 12.03% provides safety buffer
  • Dividend has been maintained without cuts
Watchpoints
  • Dividend Strength score of 25/100 indicates weak yield and growth
  • Yield of 0.64% is below sector and market averages

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$191.14
Analyst Target
$219.75
Upside/Downside
+15.0%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ALG and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
ALG
Alamo Group Inc.
Primary
+28.5% +27.0% +4.4% -12.7% +10.3% -0.8%
ATKR
Atkore Inc.
Peer
+58.7% -38.1% -15.0% -8.4% +10.9% +0.3%
ATRO
Astronics Corporation
Peer
+444.1% +413.7% +344.9% +121.3% +38.1% +2.2%
ARCB
ArcBest Corporation
Peer
+20.9% -7.4% +17.0% +21.0% -20.0% -9.0%
ABM
ABM Industries Incorporated
Peer
+26.5% +7.0% -11.8% -3.7% +8.3% +0.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
19.99
Forward P/E
15.99
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.02
P/S Ratio
1.43
EV/Revenue
1.42
EV/EBITDA
10.52
Market Cap
$2.32B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 7.2%
Operating Margin 8.94%
Gross Margin 25.05%
ROE 10.82%
ROA 6.64%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +4.7%
Earnings Growth -7.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth -7.4%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.2
Low debt
Current Ratio
4.43
Strong
Quick Ratio
2.68
Excellent
Cash/Share
$20.21

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-26
$N/A
2025-11-06
$2.34
-11.3% surprise
2025-08-06
$2.57
-5.2% surprise
2025-05-08
$2.64
+19.6% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing ALG against 122 companies in the Industrials sector (6 bullish, 59 neutral, 57 bearish)
P/E Ratio
19.99
This Stock
vs
73.49
Sector Avg
-72.8% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
10.82%
This Stock
vs
7.83%
Sector Avg
+38.2% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
7.2%
This Stock
vs
57.85%
Sector Avg
-87.5% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.2
This Stock
vs
5.46
Sector Avg
-96.4% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
4.7%
This Stock
vs
22.8%
Sector Avg
-79.4% (Slower)
Current Ratio
4.43
This Stock
vs
2.64
Sector Avg
+67.9% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
ALG
Alamo Group Inc.
NEUTRAL $2.32B 19.99 10.8% 7.2% $191.14
ATKR
Atkore Inc.
BEARISH $2.44B - -1.0% -0.5% $72.2
ATRO
Astronics Corporation
BEARISH $2.72B - -1.7% -0.4% $76.34
ARCB
ArcBest Corporation
BEARISH $1.91B 32.39 4.6% 1.5% $84.87
ABM
ABM Industries Incorporated
NEUTRAL $2.78B 17.86 9.1% 1.9% $45.37

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2025-11-26 HUREAU ROBERT PAUL Chief Executive Officer Purchase 304 $49,697
2025-11-14 HUREAU ROBERT PAUL Chief Executive Officer Purchase 754 $125,511
2025-08-22 LEONARD JEFFERY ALLEN Chief Executive Officer Sale 2,500 $555,484
2025-08-21 RIZZUTI EDWARD Officer Sale 2,928 $621,169
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
4 analysts
DA Davidson
2025-11-11
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Baird
2025-08-04
up
Neutral Outperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ALG from our newsroom.

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