HUBG
BULLISH
$38.97
Live
Hub Group, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $42.87
(+10.0%)
$30.75
52W Range
$53.26
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 11, 2026
Market cap
$2.39B
P/E
22.4
ROE
6.2%
Profit margin
2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.28
Dividend yield
1.28%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
HUBG exhibits strong fundamental health with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and a very conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28. While the current price of $38.97 sits above the defensive Graham Number ($33.01), it remains well below the growth-based intrinsic value of $51.33. The company is successfully expanding margins, as evidenced by 20.5% earnings growth despite a 5.3% decline in revenue. Despite bearish technicals and recent insider selling, the long-term earnings track record and valuation metrics suggest significant upside.
Key Strengths
Strong Piotroski F-Score (7/9) indicating robust financial health
Very low leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28
Exceptional earnings track record with consistent beats over 25 quarters
Attractive valuation relative to sales (P/S of 0.64)
Sustainable dividend profile with a low payout ratio of 28.74%
Key Risks
Negative year-over-year revenue growth (-5.30%)
Thin net profit margins (2.81%) leaving little room for operational error
Bearish technical trend (0/100) and recent insider selling by the CEO
Cyclical exposure to the integrated freight and logistics industry
Low ROE (6.24%) compared to high-performing industrial peers
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$44.5
+14.2% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
75
Strong
78
60
90
92
55
AI Verdict
Strong fundamental value play with short-term technical headwinds
Key drivers: Margin expansion, Low debt, Earnings consistency
Confidence
80%
Value
78/100
P/E of 22.4 is reasonable given the earnings growth and low P/B of 1.40.
Positives
- P/S ratio of 0.64 is very low
- Price is significantly below intrinsic value ($51.33)
Watchpoints
- Trading slightly above the Graham Number ($33.01)
Future
60/100
Growth is currently driven by efficiency and cost management rather than top-line expansion.
Positives
- Strong earnings growth (20.5% YoY)
Watchpoints
- Declining revenue growth (-5.3%)
Past
90/100
Long-term earnings progression is stable and predictable.
Positives
- Consistent history of beating EPS estimates
- Positive 1-year price return of 17.3%
Watchpoints
- 3-year change is slightly negative (-1.6%)
Health
92/100
Financial structure is highly conservative and low-risk.
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score of 7/9
- Current ratio of 1.47 indicates good liquidity
- Very low Debt/Equity (0.28)
Watchpoints
- Altman Z-Score not provided
Dividend
55/100
Dividend is a secondary feature; the company prioritizes stability over high yield.
Positives
- Low payout ratio (28.74%) suggests room for growth
Watchpoints
- Low dividend yield (1.28%)
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$38.97
Analyst Target
$42.87
Upside/Downside
+10.0%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for HUBG and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-10
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
HUBG
Hub Group, Inc.
Primary
|
+18.7% | -1.6% | +17.3% | +18.5% | +5.5% | +6.8% |
|
ATKR
Atkore Inc.
Peer
|
+58.7% | -38.1% | -15.0% | -8.4% | +10.9% | +0.3% |
|
ALG
Alamo Group Inc.
Peer
|
+28.5% | +27.0% | +4.4% | -12.7% | +10.3% | -0.8% |
|
AMPX
Amprius Technologies, Inc.
Peer
|
+89.0% | +322.8% | +747.5% | +81.9% | +93.5% | +1.7% |
|
ABM
ABM Industries Incorporated
Peer
|
-17.7% | -7.3% | -15.7% | -14.3% | -17.1% | -11.6% |
HUB
Hub Group, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+18.7%
3Y
-1.6%
1Y
+17.3%
6M
+18.5%
1M
+5.5%
1W
+6.8%
ATK
Atkore Inc.
Peer
5Y
+58.7%
3Y
-38.1%
1Y
-15.0%
6M
-8.4%
1M
+10.9%
1W
+0.3%
ALG
Alamo Group Inc.
Peer
5Y
+28.5%
3Y
+27.0%
1Y
+4.4%
6M
-12.7%
1M
+10.3%
1W
-0.8%
AMP
Amprius Technologies, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+89.0%
3Y
+322.8%
1Y
+747.5%
6M
+81.9%
1M
+93.5%
1W
+1.7%
ABM
ABM Industries Incorporated
Peer
5Y
-17.7%
3Y
-7.3%
1Y
-15.7%
6M
-14.3%
1M
-17.1%
1W
-11.6%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
22.4
Forward P/E
19.46
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.4
P/S Ratio
0.64
EV/Revenue
0.76
EV/EBITDA
8.46
Market Cap
$2.39B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
2.81%
Operating Margin
4.16%
Gross Margin
11.38%
ROE
6.24%
ROA
3.16%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-5.3%
Earnings Growth
+20.5%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
-5.31%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+21.0%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.28
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.47
Good
Quick Ratio
1.36
Good
Cash/Share
$1.96
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q3 2025
Revenue
$0.9B
Gross Margin
8.2%
Op. Margin
4.2%
Net Margin
3.1%
Total Assets
$2.9B
Liabilities
$1.1B
Equity
$1.7B
Debt/Equity
0.67x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
69%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-03-30
$N/A
2025-10-30
$0.49
+0.4% surprise
2025-07-31
$0.45
+2.1% surprise
2025-05-08
$0.44
+3.0% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing HUBG against 199 companies in the Industrials sector
(16 bullish, 81 neutral, 102 bearish)
P/E Ratio
22.4
This Stock
vs
84.92
Sector Avg
-73.6%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
6.24%
This Stock
vs
-4.57%
Sector Avg
-236.7%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
2.81%
This Stock
vs
26.28%
Sector Avg
-89.3%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.28
This Stock
vs
3.99
Sector Avg
-92.9%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-5.3%
This Stock
vs
30.91%
Sector Avg
-117.1%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.47
This Stock
vs
3.11
Sector Avg
-52.6%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
HUBG
Hub Group, Inc.
|
BULLISH | $2.39B | 22.4 | 6.2% | 2.8% | $38.97 | |
|
ATKR
Atkore Inc.
|
BEARISH | $2.44B | - | -1.0% | -0.5% | $72.2 | Compare |
|
ALG
Alamo Group Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $2.32B | 19.99 | 10.8% | 7.2% | $191.14 | Compare |
|
AMPX
Amprius Technologies, Inc.
|
BULLISH | $2.47B | - | -50.8% | -60.3% | $18.9 | Compare |
|
ABM
ABM Industries Incorporated
|
BEARISH | $2.27B | 14.97 | 9.0% | 1.8% | $38.77 | Compare |
HUBG
Hub Group, Inc.
BULLISH
Mkt Cap
$2.4B
P/E
22.4
ROE
6.2%
Price
$38.97
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-02 | YEAGER PHILLIP D | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 87,623 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | KENNY JAMES C. | Director | Stock Award | 4,679 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | BOOSALIS MARY H | Director | Stock Award | 4,679 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | MATHEWS DENNIS P. | Officer | Stock Award | 4,679 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | ROSS JENELL | Director | Stock Award | 4,679 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | BETH KEVIN | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 21,764 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | LAFRANCE THOMAS P. | Officer | Stock Award | 13,840 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | YABLON GARY H. | Director | Stock Award | 4,679 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | BANSAL DHRUV | Chief Technology Officer | Stock Award | 24,367 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | MEENTS BRIAN | Officer | Stock Award | 20,595 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | MCNITT PETER B. | Director | Stock Award | 4,679 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | YEAGER DAVID P | Officer and Director | Stock Award | 60,928 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | FLANNERY MICHAEL E. | Director | Stock Award | 4,679 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | SLARK MARTIN P | Director | Stock Award | 4,679 | - |
| 2025-12-11 | YEAGER PHILLIP D | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 32,000 | $1,397,699 |
YEAGER PHILLIP D
Chief Executive Officer
2026-01-02
87,623 shares
KENNY JAMES C.
Director
2026-01-02
4,679 shares
BOOSALIS MARY H
Director
2026-01-02
4,679 shares
MATHEWS DENNIS P.
Officer
2026-01-02
4,679 shares
ROSS JENELL
Director
2026-01-02
4,679 shares
BETH KEVIN
Chief Financial Officer
2026-01-02
21,764 shares
LAFRANCE THOMAS P.
Officer
2026-01-02
13,840 shares
YABLON GARY H.
Director
2026-01-02
4,679 shares
BANSAL DHRUV
Chief Technology Officer
2026-01-02
24,367 shares
MEENTS BRIAN
Officer
2026-01-02
20,595 shares
MCNITT PETER B.
Director
2026-01-02
4,679 shares
YEAGER DAVID P
Officer and Director
2026-01-02
60,928 shares
FLANNERY MICHAEL E.
Director
2026-01-02
4,679 shares
SLARK MARTIN P
Director
2026-01-02
4,679 shares
YEAGER PHILLIP D
Chief Executive Officer
2025-12-11
32,000 shares
·
$1,397,699
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
15 analysts
Stifel
2026-04-02
Sell
Sell
Evercore ISI Group
2026-03-27
Outperform
Outperform
Wells Fargo
2026-03-26
Overweight
Equal-Weight
Stifel
2026-02-06
Buy
Sell
Wells Fargo
2026-02-06
Overweight
Overweight
Benchmark
2026-01-23
Buy
Buy
Barclays
2026-01-15
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Stifel
2026-01-14
Buy
Buy
Evercore ISI Group
2026-01-13
In-Line
Outperform
JP Morgan
2026-01-12
Neutral
Neutral
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning HUBG from our newsroom.
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