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ATKR

BEARISH
$72.2 Live
Atkore Inc. · NYSE
Target $65.8 (-8.9%)
$49.92 52W Range $84.73

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$2.44B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-1.0%
Profit margin
-0.5%
Debt/Equity
0.67
Dividend yield
1.8%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
78%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of just 2/9, indicating significant deterioration in fundamental performance. Despite a strong Current Ratio and manageable Debt/Equity, the company is unprofitable on a net basis (Profit Margin: -0.53%, ROE: -1.03%) and facing sharp earnings contraction (YoY EPS Growth: -71.6%). Valuation appears stretched relative to peers with a Forward P/E of 12.23 while operating in a declining revenue environment (Revenue Growth YoY: -4.60%), and the lack of a Graham Number or Altman Z-Score limits confidence in intrinsic value and solvency safety. Although the dividend yield is modestly attractive at 1.80% with a sustainable payout ratio, weak earnings momentum, deteriorating profitability, and neutral insider activity suggest substantial downside risks.

Key Strengths

Strong liquidity position with Current Ratio of 3.05 and Quick Ratio of 1.82
Moderate Debt/Equity ratio of 0.67, well below sector average of 5.85
Free from immediate solvency concerns due to low leverage relative to peers
Dividend payout ratio of 40.06% remains within sustainable range
Recent one-month price rebound of +10.9% suggests short-term technical stabilization

Key Risks

Critically low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals severe financial distress and deteriorating fundamentals
Negative net profitability (Profit Margin: -0.53%, ROE: -1.03%) raises sustainability concerns
Sharp decline in earnings: YoY EPS drop of 71.6% and Q/Q EPS drop of 57.7%
Revenue declining year-over-year by 4.60%, indicating weakening demand or competitive pressures
Analyst target price of $65.80 implies 8.9% downside from current price of $72.20
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$62.5
-13.4% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
41
Moderate
Value
45
Future
28
Past
52
Health
22
Dividend
60
AI Verdict
High risk, low reward profile with deteriorating fundamentals and questionable valuation support
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, Negative profit margin and ROE, Declining revenue and earnings, Forward P/E above earnings-free peers, Lack of Altman Z-Score and Graham Number
Confidence
82%
Value
45/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 12.23 is below sector average P/E of 53.38
  • Price/Sales of 0.85 suggests possible undervaluation on sales basis
Watchpoints
  • No Graham Number available due to unprofitability
  • P/E based on negative earnings (implied by N/A P/E)
  • EV/EBITDA and other key multiples missing
Future
28/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • One-month price increase of +10.9% may indicate short-term rebound
Watchpoints
  • Revenue Growth YoY: -4.60%
  • Earnings collapsing: YoY EPS Growth: -71.6%
  • Forward P/E not supported by growth (PEG N/A due to negative growth)
Past
52/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Historically beat earnings estimates in 18 of last 25 quarters
  • Past earnings surprises were strong pre-2024 (e.g., +74.7%, +56.2%)
Watchpoints
  • Recent earnings misses: 2 of last 4 quarters missed
  • Average surprise over last 4 quarters: -7.58%
  • Clear downward trend in EPS from $6.07 (2022-08) to $0.69 (2025-11)
Health
22/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Current Ratio of 3.05 indicates strong short-term liquidity
  • Quick Ratio of 1.82 provides cushion against near-term liabilities
  • Debt/Equity of 0.67 is conservative
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 — critically weak
  • Altman Z-Score not available, increasing uncertainty
  • ROE of -1.03% and negative net income
Dividend
60/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Dividend yield of 1.80% is above sector average for unprofitable firms
  • Payout ratio of 40.06% is sustainable if cash flows stabilize
Watchpoints
  • Dividend paid despite negative earnings, raising long-term risk
  • Dividend Strength score of 40/100 indicates moderate reliability

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$72.2
Analyst Target
$65.8
Upside/Downside
-8.9%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ATKR and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
ATK
Atkore Inc.
Primary
5Y
+58.7%
3Y
-38.1%
1Y
-15.0%
6M
-8.4%
1M
+10.9%
1W
+0.3%
XMT
Xometry, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-46.4%
3Y
+225.1%
1Y
+97.0%
6M
-6.7%
1M
+13.1%
1W
-0.1%
AMP
Amprius Technologies, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+89.0%
3Y
+322.8%
1Y
+747.5%
6M
+81.9%
1M
+93.5%
1W
+1.7%
HUB
Hub Group, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+18.7%
3Y
-1.6%
1Y
+17.3%
6M
+18.5%
1M
+5.5%
1W
+6.8%
GEO
The GEO Group, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+220.2%
3Y
+163.0%
1Y
-37.2%
6M
+9.0%
1M
+7.6%
1W
+1.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
12.23
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.74
P/S Ratio
0.85
EV/Revenue
1.0
EV/EBITDA
7.9
Market Cap
$2.44B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -0.53%
Operating Margin 4.01%
Gross Margin 23.72%
ROE -1.03%
ROA 5.06%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -4.6%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.67
Moderate
Current Ratio
3.05
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.82
Excellent
Cash/Share
$15.01

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-03
$N/A
2025-11-20
$0.69
-45.1% surprise
2025-08-05
$1.63
+3.2% surprise
2025-05-06
$2.04
+19.1% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing ATKR against 469 companies in the Industrials sector (39 bullish, 174 neutral, 256 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-1.03%
This Stock
vs
-19.38%
Sector Avg
-94.7% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-0.53%
This Stock
vs
6.65%
Sector Avg
-108.0% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.67
This Stock
vs
2.63
Sector Avg
-74.7% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-4.6%
This Stock
vs
71.29%
Sector Avg
-106.5% (Slower)
Current Ratio
3.05
This Stock
vs
3.09
Sector Avg
-1.2% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

ZEFFIRO ALDO MARK
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-17
67 shares
WALTZ WILLIAM E. JR
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-17
349 shares
SCHROCK MICHAEL V
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-17
9 shares
MUSE SCOTT H
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-17
130 shares
EDWARDS BARBARA JOANNE
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-17
14 shares
LAMPS MARK F
Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-17
68 shares
LOWE LEANGELA W
Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-17
52 shares
PREGENZER JOHN W
Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-17
131 shares
WYNN BETTY R
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-17
51 shares
ALVEY JAMES WILLIAM
Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-17
13 shares
DEITZER JOHN MICHAEL
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-17
68 shares
KELLY DANIEL S
General Counsel
Stock Award
2025-12-17
52 shares
ISBELL JERI L
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-17
139 shares
KERSHAW JUSTIN A
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-17
93 shares
JAMES WILBERT W JR
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-17
85 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
5 analysts
Roth Capital
2025-12-15
Maintains
Buy Buy
Citigroup
2025-11-21
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Roth Capital
2025-11-21
Maintains
Buy Buy
Keybanc
2025-08-06
down
Overweight Sector Weight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ATKR from our newsroom.

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