BG Bunge Global SA - Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL
Sign in to save
Save this symbol to a watchlist or track a position.
BG Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Consumer Defensive
Farm Products
Current Price
Live
$113.6
Analyst Target
$110.9
-2.4%
Downside
52W High
$113.86
52W Low
$67.4
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$21.97B
P/E
12.69
ROE
9.8%
Profit margin
2.2%
Debt/Equity
1.03
Dividend yield
2.49%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
75%
Analysis Accuracy
Bunge Global SA shows a stable financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, indicating moderate strength, but the absence of an Altman Z-Score limits distress risk assessment. The stock trades near its Graham Number ($128.13) at $113.60, suggesting fair valuation, while growth metrics are mixed with strong revenue growth (71.6% YoY) offset by declining earnings (–46% YoY). Despite a strong analyst recommendation of 'strong_buy', weak profitability margins and deteriorating earnings momentum raise concerns. The technical trend score of 10/100 indicates significant near-term bearish pressure despite solid long-term price performance.
Key Strengths
Piotroski F-Score of 6 indicates stable financial health with balanced performance across profitability, leverage, and operating efficiency
Revenue growth of 71.6% YoY is exceptionally strong, significantly outpacing sector average of 10.7%
Valuation appears reasonable with P/E of 12.69, well below sector average of 29.97
Dividend is sustainable with a 2.49% yield and low payout ratio of 31.08%
Strong historical earnings surprise record, with 20 of the last 25 quarters beating estimates
Key Risks
Earnings declining sharply YoY (–46%) and Q/Q (–24.9%), indicating deteriorating profitability
Very low profit margin (2.2%) and gross margin (5.69%), leaving little room for margin compression
Quick ratio of 0.48 suggests potential short-term liquidity stress despite a current ratio of 1.66
Technical trend score of 10/100 signals strong near-term bearish momentum
No Altman Z-Score available, creating uncertainty around financial distress risk
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$128.13
+12.8% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
66
Strong
75
50
70
65
72
AI Verdict
Neutral with upside potential if earnings stabilize
Key drivers: Strong revenue growth and valuation support, Deteriorating earnings and weak technicals limit upside
Confidence
78%
Value
75/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- P/E of 12.69 is below sector average of 29.97
- Price near Graham Number ($113.60 vs $128.13), suggesting fair value
Watchpoints
- No PEG ratio due to negative earnings growth
- Price/Sales of 0.37 may reflect low pricing power
Future
50/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Revenue growth of 71.6% YoY is robust
Watchpoints
- Earnings growth of –46% YoY is deeply negative
- Q/Q earnings down 24.9%, indicating ongoing deterioration
Past
70/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Consistent earnings beat history: 20 of 25 quarters above estimates
- 5-year price return of +92% shows strong long-term performance
Watchpoints
- Recent quarters show declining EPS despite revenue growth
Health
65/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score of 6 indicates stable financial condition
- Current ratio of 1.66 suggests adequate short-term liquidity
Watchpoints
- Quick ratio of 0.48 indicates potential liquidity risk
- No Altman Z-Score available for distress risk evaluation
Dividend
72/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend yield of 2.49% is attractive in current market
- Payout ratio of 31.08% is conservative and sustainable
Watchpoints
- Dividend strength score of 50/100 suggests uncertainty in long-term growth
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$113.6
Analyst Target
$110.9
Upside/Downside
-2.4%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BG and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BG
Bunge Global SA
Primary
|
+92.0% | +28.5% | +49.5% | +49.4% | +28.1% | +5.4% |
|
GIS
General Mills, Inc.
Peer
|
-7.9% | -31.6% | -23.4% | -11.9% | -0.7% | +1.1% |
|
DLTR
Dollar Tree, Inc.
Peer
|
+29.5% | -5.3% | +96.9% | +27.1% | +9.0% | +5.7% |
|
BF-A
Brown-Forman Corporation
Peer
|
-53.5% | -55.7% | -13.0% | -8.0% | +4.2% | +4.7% |
|
BJ
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
+124.1% | +40.4% | +0.4% | -6.5% | +3.1% | +4.3% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
12.69
Forward P/E
12.71
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.39
P/S Ratio
0.37
EV/Revenue
0.63
EV/EBITDA
18.28
Market Cap
$21.97B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
2.2%
Operating Margin
2.19%
Gross Margin
5.69%
ROE
9.76%
ROA
2.59%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+71.6%
Earnings Growth
-46.0%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-24.9%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
1.03
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.66
Good
Quick Ratio
0.48
Poor
Cash/Share
$16.36
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-04
$N/A
2025-11-05
$2.27
+15.3% surprise
2025-07-30
$1.31
+20.9% surprise
2025-05-07
$1.81
+38.3% surprise
Consumer Defensive Sector Comparison
Comparing BG against 48 companies in the Consumer Defensive sector
(2 bullish, 27 neutral, 19 bearish)
P/E Ratio
12.69
This Stock
vs
33.4
Sector Avg
-62.0%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
9.76%
This Stock
vs
4.7%
Sector Avg
+107.5%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
2.2%
This Stock
vs
-1.11%
Sector Avg
-298.3%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.03
This Stock
vs
1.71
Sector Avg
-40.0%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
71.6%
This Stock
vs
8.8%
Sector Avg
+713.8%
(Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
1.66
This Stock
vs
1.98
Sector Avg
-16.4%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BG
Bunge Global SA
|
NEUTRAL | $21.97B | 12.69 | 9.8% | 2.2% | $113.6 | |
|
GIS
General Mills, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $25.29B | 8.96 | 30.9% | 15.2% | $47.41 | |
|
DLTR
Dollar Tree, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $28.55B | 26.51 | 20.1% | -15.4% | $139.95 | |
|
BF-A
Brown-Forman Corporation
|
BEARISH | $12.91B | 16.49 | 20.7% | 20.8% | $27.86 | |
|
BJ
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $12.84B | 22.45 | 29.2% | 2.7% | $97.45 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-01 | ZENUK MARK N | Director | Stock Award | 34 | $3,280 |
| 2025-12-01 | SIMMONS JERRY MATTHEWS JR | Officer | Stock Award | 72 | $6,946 |
| 2025-12-01 | NEPPL JOHN W | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 304 | $29,327 |
| 2025-12-01 | BROWNER CAROL M | Director | Stock Award | 18 | $1,736 |
| 2025-12-01 | MCGURK MONICA HOULE | Director | Stock Award | 18 | $1,736 |
| 2025-12-01 | WINSHIP HENRY WARD IV | Director | Stock Award | 18 | $1,736 |
| 2025-12-01 | JOJO LINDA P | Director | Stock Award | 18 | $1,736 |
| 2025-12-01 | LUSTOSA DE ANDRADE ELIANE ALEIXO | Director | Stock Award | 18 | $1,736 |
| 2025-12-01 | SEARS KELLIE | Officer | Stock Award | 131 | $12,638 |
| 2025-12-01 | ISMAN ADRIAN | Director | Stock Award | 15 | $1,447 |
| 2025-12-01 | JENSEN ANNE | Director | Stock Award | 15 | $1,447 |
| 2025-12-01 | WALT MARKUS | Director | Stock Award | 15 | $1,447 |
| 2025-12-01 | MATTISKE DAVID | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 1,105 | $106,599 |
| 2025-12-01 | MAHONEY CHRISTOPHER | Director | Stock Award | 15 | $1,447 |
| 2025-12-01 | GARROS JULIO | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 283 | $27,301 |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
STRONG_BUY
10 analysts
JP Morgan
2026-01-21
Overweight
Overweight
Morgan Stanley
2025-12-16
Equal-Weight
Overweight
B of A Securities
2025-12-02
Buy
Buy
Barclays
2025-11-06
Equal-Weight
Overweight
Barclays
2025-10-21
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Stephens & Co.
2025-10-17
Overweight
Overweight
BMO Capital
2025-10-16
Outperform
Outperform
JP Morgan
2025-10-16
Overweight
Overweight
Morgan Stanley
2025-08-12
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning BG from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.