GIS
NEUTRAL
$47.41
Live
General Mills, Inc. · NYSE
Target $53.53
(+12.9%)
$45.8
52W Range
$67.4
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Nov 16, 2025
Market cap
$25.29B
P/E
8.96
ROE
30.9%
Profit margin
15.2%
Debt/Equity
1.51
Dividend yield
5.15%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
72%
General Mills (GIS) trades at a steep discount to peers with a P/E of 8.96 versus a sector average of 22.53, supported by a robust 5.15% dividend yield and strong earnings execution, having beaten estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters. However, the stock faces persistent headwinds from -6.80% YoY revenue growth and declining top-line momentum over the past three years, with 3Y and 1Y price returns of -31.6% and -23.4%, respectively. While profitability remains solid—ROE of 30.87% and operating margin of 15.60%—leverage is elevated at 1.51 D/E and liquidity is weak (current ratio 0.66), raising concerns about financial flexibility. Analysts are tepid with a 'hold' consensus and a $53.53 target implying only 12.9% upside, while recent insider selling adds a bearish signal.
Key Strengths
Attractive valuation with P/E of 8.96, significantly below sector average of 22.53 and peer TGT (10.48), CL (21.86), and MNST (40.52)
High dividend yield of 5.15% well-covered by a 45.56% payout ratio, offering income appeal in a defensive sector
Strong earnings quality: beat EPS estimates in 3 of last 4 quarters with average surprise of 4.54% and 107.7% Q/Q earnings growth
Profitability resilience: 15.60% operating margin and 30.87% ROE outperform sector averages of 14.28% and 120.59% respectively, though ROE is inflated by leverage
Better-than-peer price stability in recent months: +1.1% 1W return vs broader sector weakness, especially relative to TGT (-38.4% 1Y)
Key Risks
Revenue contraction of -6.80% YoY with no signs of inflection, contrasting peer MNST (+16.8%) and sector average growth of +5.46%
Deteriorating market sentiment: 3Y return of -31.6% and 1Y return of -23.4%, underperforming all major peers except TGT
Elevated leverage with Debt/Equity of 1.51, though below sector average of 3.28, limits financial flexibility and increases refinancing risk
Weak liquidity position: current ratio of 0.66 and quick ratio of 0.35 indicate potential near-term cash flow pressure
Forward P/E expansion to 10.09 suggests limited multiple upside unless growth reaccelerates, which current trends do not support
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$53.53
+12.9% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
68
Strong
88
42
68
54
90
AI Verdict
General Mills presents a value-oriented profile with a deeply discounted P/E and high yield, but lacks growth momentum and faces structural revenue challenges that constrain upside; its valuation gap versus peers like CL and MNST is justified by weaker top-line trends and liquidity concerns, despite better-than-average profitability.
Key drivers: Deep value discount to sector, Persistent revenue decline, High-yield, sustainable dividend
Confidence
75%
Value
88/100
GIS is one of the cheapest stocks in the Consumer Defensive sector on earnings and sales multiples, trading at a steep discount even to lower-growth peers like KMB and TGT, suggesting significant value pricing-in of risks.
Positives
- P/E of 8.96 is 60% below sector average of 22.53
- Price/Sales of 1.32 is below peer CL (2.5+) and MNST (6.0+)
Watchpoints
- Limited multiple expansion potential due to growth concerns
- Forward P/E of 10.09 already prices in modest recovery
Future
42/100
Despite strong recent earnings growth, the trajectory remains downward on the revenue side, and price momentum (1Y: -23.4%) shows no technical inflection, lagging high-growth peers like MNST (+27.4% 1Y).
Positives
- Recent Q/Q earnings growth of 107.7% and EPS beat streak indicate cost discipline
- Forward P/E of 10.09 implies modest growth expectations, potentially achievable
Watchpoints
- Revenue growth of -6.80% YoY shows no sign of reversal
- No visibility into innovation or market share gains to drive top-line recovery
Past
68/100
Historically, GIS has delivered reliable earnings execution and margin discipline, but long-term shareholder returns have been poor, with 5Y change of -7.9% and declining EPS trends overshadowing short-term beats.
Positives
- Consistent earnings beat rate: 3 of last 4 quarters above estimates
- High profitability: ROE of 30.87% and stable operating margin of 15.60%
Watchpoints
- YoY EPS growth of -19.6% reflects deteriorating earnings base
- 3Y price return of -31.6% shows prolonged underperformance
Health
54/100
While GIS’s leverage is manageable relative to peers like CL (6.80) and KMB (5.00), its weak liquidity ratios suggest limited buffer against demand shocks, especially in a low-growth environment.
Positives
- Debt/Equity of 1.51 is below sector average of 3.28, indicating moderate leverage
- Operating profitability supports debt servicing capacity
Watchpoints
- Current ratio of 0.66 and quick ratio of 0.35 signal tight liquidity
- No cash or debt figures available, raising transparency concerns
Dividend
90/100
The dividend is a core strength, offering income stability in a defensive sector, with a well-covered yield that exceeds peer averages and provides a floor for downside risk.
Positives
- 5.15% dividend yield is among the highest in the sector
- Payout ratio of 45.56% is sustainable given earnings coverage
Watchpoints
- No data on dividend growth history or policy consistency
- Yield may reflect price compression rather than aggressive payout
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$47.41
Analyst Target
$53.53
Upside/Downside
+12.9%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for GIS and closest competitors.
Updated 2025-11-14
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
GIS
General Mills, Inc.
Primary
|
-7.9% | -31.6% | -23.4% | -11.9% | -0.7% | +1.1% |
|
KHC
The Kraft Heinz Company
Peer
|
-30.6% | -34.8% | -19.1% | -11.5% | -0.5% | -1.3% |
|
DG
Dollar General Corporation
Peer
|
-36.6% | -40.5% | +38.4% | +20.2% | -22.3% | -0.8% |
|
CHD
Church & Dwight Co., Inc.
Peer
|
+17.1% | +6.5% | -4.0% | +11.4% | +0.7% | -1.9% |
|
EL
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc.
Peer
|
-73.5% | -66.7% | +34.8% | -23.3% | +6.4% | +2.1% |
GIS
General Mills, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-7.9%
3Y
-31.6%
1Y
-23.4%
6M
-11.9%
1M
-0.7%
1W
+1.1%
KHC
The Kraft Heinz Company
Peer
5Y
-30.6%
3Y
-34.8%
1Y
-19.1%
6M
-11.5%
1M
-0.5%
1W
-1.3%
DG
Dollar General Corporation
Peer
5Y
-36.6%
3Y
-40.5%
1Y
+38.4%
6M
+20.2%
1M
-22.3%
1W
-0.8%
CHD
Church & Dwight Co., Inc.
Peer
5Y
+17.1%
3Y
+6.5%
1Y
-4.0%
6M
+11.4%
1M
+0.7%
1W
-1.9%
EL
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc.
Peer
5Y
-73.5%
3Y
-66.7%
1Y
+34.8%
6M
-23.3%
1M
+6.4%
1W
+2.1%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
8.96
Forward P/E
10.09
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.67
P/S Ratio
1.32
EV/Revenue
2.02
EV/EBITDA
10.31
Market Cap
$25.29B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
15.24%
Operating Margin
15.6%
Gross Margin
34.39%
ROE
30.87%
ROA
6.22%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-6.8%
Earnings Growth
+115.5%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+107.7%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
1.51
High debt
Current Ratio
0.66
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.35
Poor
Cash/Share
$1.79
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2025-12-17
$N/A
2025-09-17
$0.86
+5.5% surprise
2025-06-25
$0.74
+4.1% surprise
2025-03-19
$1.0
+4.0% surprise
Consumer Defensive Sector Comparison
Comparing GIS against 170 companies in the Consumer Defensive sector
(9 bullish, 60 neutral, 101 bearish)
P/E Ratio
8.96
This Stock
vs
37.45
Sector Avg
-76.1%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
30.87%
This Stock
vs
-13.91%
Sector Avg
-321.8%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
15.24%
This Stock
vs
-7.77%
Sector Avg
-296.1%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.51
This Stock
vs
1.89
Sector Avg
-19.7%
(Lower)
Revenue Growth
-6.8%
This Stock
vs
111.74%
Sector Avg
-106.1%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.66
This Stock
vs
2.29
Sector Avg
-71.3%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
GIS
General Mills, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $25.29B | 8.96 | 30.9% | 15.2% | $47.41 | |
|
KHC
The Kraft Heinz Company
|
BEARISH | $25.95B | - | -12.8% | -23.4% | $21.92 | Compare |
|
DG
Dollar General Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $26.11B | 17.31 | 19.0% | 3.5% | $118.56 | Compare |
|
CHD
Church & Dwight Co., Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $22.51B | 31.46 | 17.6% | 11.9% | $95.02 | Compare |
|
EL
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc.
|
BEARISH | $28.15B | - | -4.3% | -1.2% | $77.82 | Compare |
GIS
General Mills, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$25.3B
P/E
9.0
ROE
30.9%
Price
$47.41
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-30 | SPRUNK ERIC DEAN | Director | Stock Award | 3,571 | - |
| 2025-09-30 | ODLAND STEPHEN A | Director | Stock Award | 3,571 | - |
| 2025-09-30 | NEAL DIANE L | Director | Stock Award | 3,571 | - |
| 2025-09-30 | SASTRE MARIA AMALIA | Director | Stock Award | 3,571 | - |
| 2025-09-30 | MORIKIS JOHN G | Director | Stock Award | 3,571 | - |
| 2025-09-30 | DORER BENNO O | Director | Stock Award | 3,571 | - |
| 2025-09-30 | HENRY MARIA G | Director | Stock Award | 3,571 | - |
| 2025-09-30 | JENKINS JO ANN C. | Director | Stock Award | 3,571 | - |
| 2025-09-30 | LEMPRES ELIZABETH CAHILL | Director | Stock Award | 3,571 | - |
| 2025-09-30 | URIBE JORGE A | Director | Stock Award | 3,571 | - |
| 2025-09-30 | WILLIAMS-ROLL JACQUELINE R | Officer | Gift | 29,409 | - |
| 2025-09-19 | WILLIAMS-ROLL JACQUELINE R | Officer | Sale | 4,000 | $200,156 |
| 2025-08-22 | MORIKIS JOHN G | Director | Stock Award | 528 | $26,210 |
| 2025-08-22 | HENRY MARIA G | Director | Stock Award | 679 | $33,706 |
| 2025-08-22 | URIBE JORGE A | Director | Stock Award | 604 | $29,983 |
SPRUNK ERIC DEAN
Director
2025-09-30
3,571 shares
ODLAND STEPHEN A
Director
2025-09-30
3,571 shares
NEAL DIANE L
Director
2025-09-30
3,571 shares
SASTRE MARIA AMALIA
Director
2025-09-30
3,571 shares
MORIKIS JOHN G
Director
2025-09-30
3,571 shares
DORER BENNO O
Director
2025-09-30
3,571 shares
HENRY MARIA G
Director
2025-09-30
3,571 shares
JENKINS JO ANN C.
Director
2025-09-30
3,571 shares
LEMPRES ELIZABETH CAHILL
Director
2025-09-30
3,571 shares
URIBE JORGE A
Director
2025-09-30
3,571 shares
WILLIAMS-ROLL JACQUELINE R
Officer
2025-09-30
29,409 shares
WILLIAMS-ROLL JACQUELINE R
Officer
2025-09-19
4,000 shares
·
$200,156
MORIKIS JOHN G
Director
2025-08-22
528 shares
·
$26,210
HENRY MARIA G
Director
2025-08-22
679 shares
·
$33,706
URIBE JORGE A
Director
2025-08-22
604 shares
·
$29,983
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
HOLD
19 analysts
Barclays
2025-09-19
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Mizuho
2025-09-19
Neutral
Neutral
UBS
2025-09-18
Sell
Sell
Morgan Stanley
2025-09-15
Underweight
Underweight
JP Morgan
2025-08-20
Neutral
Underweight
Morgan Stanley
2025-06-27
Underweight
Underweight
Stifel
2025-06-26
Buy
Buy
RBC Capital
2025-06-26
Sector Perform
Outperform
Wells Fargo
2025-06-26
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
UBS
2025-06-26
Sell
Sell
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning GIS from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.