BGB Blackstone Strategic Credit 2027 Term Fund - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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BGB Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Financial Services
Asset Management
Current Price
Live
$11.9
52W High
$12.65
52W Low
$10.47
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$531.51M
P/E
11.55
ROE
N/A
Profit margin
N/A
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
8.39%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
78%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals critical weaknesses in BGB's financial health, with a Piotroski F-Score of just 1/9 indicating severe operational and balance sheet distress. Despite a current price of $11.90 and a seemingly attractive P/E of 11.55, the complete absence of profitability across all margin metrics and a dangerously high payout ratio of 107.18% undermine sustainability. The lack of Altman Z-Score data prevents precise bankruptcy risk modeling, but the weak F-Score and negative cash flow indicators suggest elevated risk. While the 8.39% dividend yield appears appealing, it is not supported by earnings or cash flow, raising concerns about future cuts.
Key Strengths
High dividend yield of 8.39% offers income appeal in a low-yield environment
Trading at a discount to sector average P/E (11.55 vs 31.00), suggesting potential valuation appeal
Positive long-term price performance: +38.8% over 5 years and +43.3% over 3 years
Lower volatility in recent months with a +2.1% return over the last month despite flat 6-month performance
Market cap of $0.53B places it within a manageable size for niche investment strategies
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 indicates severe financial distress and poor fundamental health
Payout ratio of 107.18% implies dividends are not covered by earnings, threatening sustainability
Zero profitability across all margin metrics (Profit, Operating, and Gross Margins all at 0.00%)
Missing key financial data (ROE, ROA, Debt/Equity, Cash, Debt) limits transparency and increases risk
Technical Trend score of 0/100 signals strong bearish momentum in price action
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$7.21
-39.4% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
39
Weak
58
24
61
18
36
AI Verdict
High-risk investment with unsustainable yield and weak fundamentals
Key drivers: Low Piotroski F-Score (1/9), Uncovered dividend payout, Zero profit margins, Missing financial health metrics, Bearish technical trend
Confidence
85%
Value
58/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- P/E of 11.55 is below sector average of 31.00
- Intrinsic Value (Formula) of $7.21 provides a conservative baseline
Watchpoints
- No Graham Number available
- Stock trades at 65% premium to intrinsic value ($11.90 vs $7.21)
Future
24/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No growth data available (Revenue, Earnings YoY or Q/Q)
- PEG Ratio N/A
- No analyst coverage or target prices
Past
61/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- 5Y return of +38.8%
- 3Y return of +43.3%
- 1Y return of +5.0% despite recent stagnation
Watchpoints
- 6M change of -0.5% and flat technical trend indicate weakening momentum
Health
18/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 indicates critical financial weakness
- All profitability margins at 0.00%
- No Altman Z-Score available
- ROE, ROA, ROIC all missing
- Debt/Equity and liquidity ratios unavailable
Dividend
36/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- High dividend yield of 8.39%
Watchpoints
- Payout ratio of 107.18% is unsustainable
- Dividend Strength score of 40/100 indicates weak reliability
- No 5-year average yield for trend analysis
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$11.9
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BGB and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BGB
Blackstone Strategic Credit 2027 Term Fund
Primary
|
+38.8% | +43.3% | +5.0% | -0.5% | +2.1% | -0.1% |
|
BLW
BlackRock Limited Duration Income Trust
Peer
|
+34.9% | +35.5% | +6.4% | +2.4% | +0.9% | +0.6% |
|
AROW
Arrow Financial Corporation
Peer
|
+14.4% | +38.0% | +30.5% | +14.0% | -7.1% | -2.9% |
|
ALTI
AlTi Global, Inc.
Peer
|
-62.4% | -70.0% | +20.8% | -4.2% | -14.5% | -11.6% |
|
BME
BlackRock Health Sciences Trust
Peer
|
+19.4% | +22.4% | +13.7% | +20.6% | +2.5% | +1.8% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
11.55
Forward P/E
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
N/A
P/S Ratio
N/A
EV/Revenue
N/A
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$531.51M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
N/A
Operating Margin
N/A
Gross Margin
N/A
ROE
N/A
ROA
N/A
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
N/A
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Cash/Share
$N/A
Financial Services Sector Comparison
Comparing BGB against 208 companies in the Financial Services sector
(5 bullish, 111 neutral, 92 bearish)
P/E Ratio
11.55
This Stock
vs
30.37
Sector Avg
-62.0%
(Discount)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BGB
Blackstone Strategic...
|
BEARISH | $531.51M | 11.55 | -% | -% | $11.9 | |
|
BLW
BlackRock Limited Duration...
|
BEARISH | $533.36M | 9.91 | 9.9% | 81.9% | $13.77 | |
|
AROW
Arrow Financial Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $534.14M | 12.26 | 10.6% | 27.8% | $32.48 | |
|
ALTI
AlTi Global, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $540.12M | - | -25.5% | -70.7% | $3.66 | |
|
BME
BlackRock Health Sciences Trust
|
BEARISH | $545.27M | - | -4.6% | -% | $42.19 |
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning BGB from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.