BGSI Boyd Group Services Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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BGSI Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Consumer Cyclical
Auto & Truck Dealerships
Current Price
Live
$162.62
Analyst Target
$184.0
+13.1%
Upside
52W High
$173.25
52W Low
$148.43
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$4.62B
P/E
222.77
ROE
1.9%
Profit margin
0.5%
Debt/Equity
1.59
Dividend yield
0.27%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
78%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals significant concerns, with a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating marginal financial health and no available Altman Z-Score, preventing a full distress risk assessment. Despite strong year-over-year earnings growth of 284.6%, the company trades at an extremely high P/E of 222.77, far above sector averages, while profitability metrics like ROE (1.90%) and ROA (2.84%) remain weak. The current price of $162.62 is substantially above the Graham Number of $25.48 and intrinsic value estimate of $21.54, suggesting severe overvaluation. Persistent negative earnings surprises, declining profit margins, and poor technical trend (0/100) further undermine confidence in near-term performance.
Key Strengths
Exceptional year-over-year earnings growth of 284.60% indicates recent profitability rebound
Gross margin of 46.29% is strong relative to sector average, reflecting pricing power or cost control in core operations
Revenue growth of 5.00% YoY shows top-line resilience in a competitive cyclical sector
Analyst recommendation is 'buy' with a target price of $184.00, implying 13.1% upside
Debt/Equity ratio of 1.59 is in line with sector average of 1.71, suggesting acceptable leverage for industry
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals weak financial health, particularly concerning given high valuation
Current Ratio of 0.69 and Quick Ratio of 0.45 indicate severe short-term liquidity risk
Profit margin of 0.52% is extremely thin and declining, raising concerns about earnings sustainability
Stock trades at massive premium: current price $162.62 vs Graham Number $25.48 and intrinsic value $21.54
Consistent earnings misses: 0 out of last 4 quarters beat estimates, with average surprise of -14.24%
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$25.48
-84.3% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
36
Weak
20
55
30
35
40
AI Verdict
Overvalued with weak fundamentals and high risk
Key drivers: High P/E ratio, Low Piotroski F-Score, Earnings miss streak, Liquidity constraints, Valuation disconnect
Confidence
80%
Value
20/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Forward P/E of 40.41 is lower than current P/E, suggesting expected earnings normalization
Watchpoints
- P/E ratio of 222.77 is extremely high
- Price/Book of 4.12 above sector average
- Current price 536% above Graham Number
- No PEG ratio due to unreliable growth forecast
Future
55/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- YoY earnings growth of 284.60% is exceptional
- Q/Q earnings growth of 274.60% shows strong momentum
Watchpoints
- Revenue growth of 5.00% is below sector average of 7.57%
- No Q/Q revenue data available, limiting visibility
Past
30/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Some historical earnings beats (e.g., +136.6% in Mar 2022)
Watchpoints
- Frequent and severe earnings misses (e.g., -83.5% in Nov 2021)
- Only 3 out of last 10 quarters beat estimates
- Long-term price performance flat: +3.0% over 5 years
Health
35/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- ROA of 2.84% is positive, albeit low
- Debt/Equity ratio of 1.59 is within sector norms
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
- Current Ratio of 0.69 < 1.0 signals liquidity risk
- Quick Ratio of 0.45 indicates inability to cover short-term liabilities
- No Altman Z-Score available for distress assessment
Dividend
40/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Payout ratio of 58.82% is sustainable in the short term
Watchpoints
- Dividend yield of 0.27% is very low
- Dividend strength score of 40/100 indicates weak income appeal
- No 5-year average yield data available
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$162.62
Analyst Target
$184.0
Upside/Downside
+13.1%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BGSI and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BGSI
Boyd Group Services Inc.
Primary
|
+3.0% | +3.0% | +3.0% | +3.0% | -0.1% | -1.3% |
|
ATMU
Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.
Peer
|
+163.3% | +163.3% | +30.8% | +47.0% | +5.9% | -0.2% |
|
BBWI
Bath & Body Works, Inc.
Peer
|
-30.8% | -47.1% | -38.5% | -28.3% | +12.6% | -4.6% |
|
ABG
Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.
Peer
|
+51.8% | +25.9% | -8.4% | +0.2% | -1.2% | -3.9% |
|
ANF
Abercrombie & Fitch Co.
Peer
|
+294.4% | +242.8% | -22.4% | +4.3% | -24.0% | -7.5% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
222.77
Forward P/E
40.41
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
4.12
P/S Ratio
1.49
EV/Revenue
1.54
EV/EBITDA
21.02
Market Cap
$4.62B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
0.52%
Operating Margin
4.68%
Gross Margin
46.29%
ROE
1.9%
ROA
2.84%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+5.0%
Earnings Growth
+284.6%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+274.6%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
1.59
High debt
Current Ratio
0.69
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.45
Poor
Cash/Share
$3.0
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-03-18
$N/A
2025-11-12
$0.62
-2.0% surprise
2025-08-13
$0.5
-13.4% surprise
2025-05-14
$0.1
-27.3% surprise
Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison
Comparing BGSI against 94 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector
(6 bullish, 47 neutral, 41 bearish)
P/E Ratio
222.77
This Stock
vs
42.78
Sector Avg
+420.7%
(Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
1.9%
This Stock
vs
5.87%
Sector Avg
-67.6%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
0.52%
This Stock
vs
0.76%
Sector Avg
-31.5%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.59
This Stock
vs
1.65
Sector Avg
-3.6%
(Lower)
Revenue Growth
5.0%
This Stock
vs
7.62%
Sector Avg
-34.4%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.69
This Stock
vs
1.88
Sector Avg
-63.0%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BGSI
Boyd Group Services Inc.
|
BEARISH | $4.62B | 222.77 | 1.9% | 0.5% | $162.62 | |
|
ATMU
Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $4.65B | 24.06 | 71.5% | 11.6% | $56.55 | |
|
BBWI
Bath & Body Works, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $4.58B | 6.87 | -% | 9.5% | $22.2 | |
|
ABG
Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $4.68B | 8.76 | 15.5% | 3.1% | $238.04 | |
|
ANF
Abercrombie & Fitch Co.
|
NEUTRAL | $4.53B | 9.38 | 40.9% | 10.1% | $96.3 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-04 | Espey (Robert Berthold) | Director of Issuer | Acquisition under a prospectus at price 141.00 per | 750 | $105,750 |
| 2025-11-04 | Murray (Jeff) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Acquisition under a prospectus at price 141.00 per | 750 | $105,750 |
| 2025-08-27 | Espey (Robert Berthold) | Director of Issuer | Acquisition in the public market at price 161.90 p | 200 | $32,379 |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning BGSI from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.