BGSI
BEARISH
$161.62
Live
Boyd Group Services Inc. · NYSE
Target $184.0
(+13.8%)
$148.43
52W Range
$183.1
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Mar 18, 2026
Market cap
$4.59B
P/E
218.41
ROE
1.9%
Profit margin
0.5%
Debt/Equity
1.59
Dividend yield
0.28%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
BGSI's Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, signaling deterioration in operational efficiency and profitability trends. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concern about bankruptcy risk, especially given a high debt/equity ratio of 1.59 and a current ratio of 0.69, both below safe thresholds. Despite strong earnings growth (284.6% YoY), the company trades at a stretched forward P/E of 39.13 and a current P/E of 218.41, far exceeding sector averages and intrinsic value estimates. The Graham Number ($25.65) and intrinsic value ($21.83) suggest significant overvaluation, with the current price of $161.62 implying a premium driven by speculative growth expectations. Technical trends are bearish, and insider activity is neutral, further undermining confidence.
Key Strengths
Strong revenue growth of 5.00% YoY
Significant earnings growth of 284.60% YoY
High gross margin of 46.29% indicates pricing power or cost control
Positive recent quarterly EPS surprise in Q1 2026 (+6.4%)
Analyst recommendation of 'strong_buy' reflects optimistic growth outlook
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health and declining operational efficiency
No Altman Z-Score available; high debt/equity (1.59) and low current ratio (0.69) suggest liquidity and solvency risk
Current price ($161.62) is vastly above Graham Number ($25.65) and intrinsic value ($21.83), indicating severe overvaluation
Forward P/E of 39.13 is high relative to sector average (42.78) and historical norms, with no PEG ratio to validate growth justification
Negative technical trend (0/100) and declining short-term price momentum (1M: -4.4%) signal bearish sentiment
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$21.83
-86.5% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
40
Weak
25
68
35
30
40
AI Verdict
cautious
Key drivers: High earnings growth and gross margin, Severe overvaluation relative to intrinsic value, Weak financial health per Piotroski F-Score, Lack of Altman Z-Score raises distress risk, Bearish technical trend and neutral insider activity
Confidence
85%
Value
25/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Gross margin of 46.29% is strong
- Forward P/E of 39.13 is below current P/E, suggesting potential normalization
Watchpoints
- Current P/E of 218.41 is extremely high
- Graham Number ($25.65) is far below current price ($161.62)
- Intrinsic value ($21.83) is significantly below market price
- Price/Sales of 1.48 is elevated for a cyclical auto dealer
Future
68/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- 284.60% YoY earnings growth indicates strong momentum
- 274.60% Q/Q earnings growth suggests acceleration
- Analyst target price of $184.00 implies continued growth optimism
Watchpoints
- No PEG ratio available to validate growth sustainability
- Historical earnings surprises are volatile and often negative
- Recent beat rate is low (1/4 in last 4 quarters)
Past
35/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Consistent revenue growth of 5.00% YoY
- Several quarters with large positive EPS surprises (e.g., +275.8% in 2022-08)
Watchpoints
- Frequent negative earnings surprises (e.g., -68.2% in 2024-11)
- High volatility in earnings performance across quarters
- Piotroski F-Score of 4 indicates declining financial quality over time
Health
30/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Operating margin of 4.68% is positive
- ROE of 1.90% and ROA of 2.84% are low but not negative
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is below threshold for financial health
- Debt/Equity ratio of 1.59 is high
- Current ratio of 0.69 and quick ratio of 0.45 indicate liquidity stress
- No Altman Z-Score available, but ratios suggest distress risk
Dividend
40/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend yield of 0.28% is stable
- Payout ratio of 58.82% is sustainable
Watchpoints
- Dividend yield is very low (0.28%)
- Dividend strength score of 40/100 indicates weak income appeal
- No history of dividend growth or consistency
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$161.62
Analyst Target
$184.0
Upside/Downside
+13.8%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BGSI and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-03-17
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BGSI
Boyd Group Services Inc.
Primary
|
+2.4% | +2.4% | +2.4% | +2.4% | -4.4% | -0.3% |
|
BBWI
Bath & Body Works, Inc.
Peer
|
-30.8% | -47.1% | -38.5% | -28.3% | +12.6% | -4.6% |
|
ATMU
Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.
Peer
|
+163.3% | +163.3% | +30.8% | +47.0% | +5.9% | -0.2% |
|
ANF
Abercrombie & Fitch Co.
Peer
|
+294.4% | +242.8% | -22.4% | +4.3% | -24.0% | -7.5% |
|
MAT
Mattel, Inc.
Peer
|
-28.9% | -18.0% | -4.7% | -16.0% | -9.5% | +0.1% |
BGS
Boyd Group Services Inc.
Primary
5Y
+2.4%
3Y
+2.4%
1Y
+2.4%
6M
+2.4%
1M
-4.4%
1W
-0.3%
BBW
Bath & Body Works, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-30.8%
3Y
-47.1%
1Y
-38.5%
6M
-28.3%
1M
+12.6%
1W
-4.6%
ATM
Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.
Peer
5Y
+163.3%
3Y
+163.3%
1Y
+30.8%
6M
+47.0%
1M
+5.9%
1W
-0.2%
ANF
Abercrombie & Fitch Co.
Peer
5Y
+294.4%
3Y
+242.8%
1Y
-22.4%
6M
+4.3%
1M
-24.0%
1W
-7.5%
MAT
Mattel, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-28.9%
3Y
-18.0%
1Y
-4.7%
6M
-16.0%
1M
-9.5%
1W
+0.1%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
218.41
Forward P/E
39.13
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
4.09
P/S Ratio
1.48
EV/Revenue
1.53
EV/EBITDA
20.92
Market Cap
$4.59B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
0.52%
Operating Margin
4.68%
Gross Margin
46.29%
ROE
1.9%
ROA
2.84%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+5.0%
Earnings Growth
+284.6%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+274.6%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
1.59
High debt
Current Ratio
0.69
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.45
Poor
Cash/Share
$3.0
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q3 2025
Revenue
$0.8B
Gross Margin
46.3%
Op. Margin
4.7%
Net Margin
1.4%
Total Assets
$2.6B
Liabilities
$1.8B
Equity
$0.8B
Debt/Equity
2.08x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
82%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-03-18
$N/A
2025-11-12
$0.5
+6.4% surprise
2025-08-13
$0.5
-13.4% surprise
2025-05-14
$0.1
-27.3% surprise
Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison
Comparing BGSI against 386 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector
(23 bullish, 133 neutral, 230 bearish)
P/E Ratio
218.41
This Stock
vs
33.98
Sector Avg
+542.7%
(Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
1.9%
This Stock
vs
-43.92%
Sector Avg
-104.3%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
0.52%
This Stock
vs
-5.4%
Sector Avg
-109.6%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.59
This Stock
vs
1.51
Sector Avg
+4.9%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
5.0%
This Stock
vs
28.42%
Sector Avg
-82.4%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.69
This Stock
vs
2.46
Sector Avg
-71.7%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BGSI
Boyd Group Services Inc.
|
BEARISH | $4.59B | 218.41 | 1.9% | 0.5% | $161.62 | |
|
BBWI
Bath & Body Works, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $4.58B | 6.87 | -% | 9.5% | $22.2 | Compare |
|
ATMU
Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $4.65B | 24.06 | 71.5% | 11.6% | $56.55 | Compare |
|
ANF
Abercrombie & Fitch Co.
|
NEUTRAL | $4.53B | 9.38 | 40.9% | 10.1% | $96.3 | Compare |
|
MAT
Mattel, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $4.52B | 11.72 | 17.7% | 7.4% | $14.53 | Compare |
BGSI
Boyd Group Services Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$4.6B
P/E
218.4
ROE
1.9%
Price
$161.62
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-04 | Espey (Robert Berthold) | Director of Issuer | Acquisition under a prospectus at price 141.00 per | 750 | $105,750 |
| 2025-11-04 | Murray (Jeff) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Acquisition under a prospectus at price 141.00 per | 750 | $105,750 |
Espey (Robert Berthold)
Director of Issuer
2025-11-04
750 shares
·
$105,750
Murray (Jeff)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2025-11-04
750 shares
·
$105,750
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning BGSI from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.