BTE
BEARISH
$3.32
Live
Baytex Energy Corp. · NYSE
$1.36
52W Range
$3.52
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$2.55B
P/E
16.6
ROE
5.3%
Profit margin
7.0%
Debt/Equity
0.48
Dividend yield
2.03%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
78%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability, and a concerning lack of Altman Z-Score data, which raises transparency and solvency concerns. Despite trading below its Graham Number of $4.22 at $3.32, the stock shows deteriorating fundamentals, including sharply negative earnings and revenue growth (YoY: -82.6% and -12.3%, respectively), weak profitability trends, and a deteriorating technical trend (10/100). While the dividend appears sustainable with a 32% payout ratio, the current ratio of 0.58 signals near-term liquidity pressure. The company's inconsistent earnings performance, with frequent large misses and volatility in surprises, undermines confidence in its operational predictability.
Key Strengths
Trading below Graham Number ($3.32 vs $4.22), suggesting potential undervaluation on a defensive basis
Relatively low P/E ratio (16.60) compared to sector average (23.13), indicating possible value appeal
Strong gross margin (66.91%), reflecting pricing power or cost efficiency in core operations
Low debt/equity ratio (0.48), below sector average (0.70), indicating conservative capital structure
Positive insider sentiment score (60/100), though not reflected in actual transactions
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, particularly concerning for a capital-intensive energy firm
Extremely weak technical trend (10/100) suggests strong bearish momentum and lack of investor confidence
Severe earnings contraction (YoY EPS growth: -82.6%), among the worst in the sector
Current ratio of 0.58 indicates potential short-term liquidity issues and inability to meet obligations
Missing Altman Z-Score prevents proper distress risk assessment, raising red flags about financial transparency
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$3.85
+16.0% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
45
Moderate
68
25
40
38
55
AI Verdict
Cautious Avoid
Key drivers: Low Piotroski F-Score, Negative earnings momentum, Strong gross margins, Below-Graham valuation, Bearish technicals
Confidence
75%
Value
68/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Current price ($3.32) below Graham Number ($4.22)
- P/E (16.60) below sector average (23.13)
- Price/Book (0.84) < 1, suggesting asset-based undervaluation
Watchpoints
- No PEG ratio due to negative growth
- Intrinsic value estimate very low ($1.40), questioning long-term growth assumptions
Future
25/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Analyst recommendation is 'buy', suggesting some forward optimism
Watchpoints
- Revenue growth (YoY: -12.30%) well below sector average (4.70%)
- Earnings growth (YoY: -82.60%) in freefall
- Q/Q EPS decline of -80.0% shows no recovery in sight
Past
40/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- 5-year price return of +412.1% shows strong prior momentum
- History of large earnings surprises (e.g., +653.9% in Q1 2022)
Watchpoints
- High volatility in earnings performance, including multiple large misses
- 3-year return of -21.2% indicates recent underperformance
- Frequent negative earnings surprises in recent quarters
Health
38/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Debt/Equity (0.48) is conservative and below peer average
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
- Current ratio (0.58) and quick ratio (0.52) both below 1, signaling liquidity risk
- Altman Z-Score missing, preventing distress risk evaluation
Dividend
55/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend payout ratio (32.14%) is sustainable
- Dividend yield (2.03%) is modest but present
Watchpoints
- Dividend strength score only 50/100, indicating moderate reliability
- No 5-year average yield data, limiting visibility on consistency
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$3.32
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BTE and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BTE
Baytex Energy Corp.
Primary
|
+412.1% | -21.2% | +31.8% | +60.4% | +5.1% | +0.6% |
|
FLOC
Flowco Holdings Inc.
Peer
|
-17.6% | -17.6% | +23.9% | +54.2% | +6.7% | +1.6% |
|
BKV
BKV Corporation
Peer
|
+56.5% | +56.5% | +6.5% | +43.1% | +2.9% | +7.3% |
|
DK
Delek US Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
+112.9% | +110.7% | +217.7% | +7.4% | -10.7% | +6.5% |
|
NESR
National Energy Services Reunited Corp.
Peer
|
+158.3% | +158.3% | +294.7% | +122.5% | +12.8% | +7.2% |
BTE
Baytex Energy Corp.
Primary
5Y
+412.1%
3Y
-21.2%
1Y
+31.8%
6M
+60.4%
1M
+5.1%
1W
+0.6%
FLO
Flowco Holdings Inc.
Peer
5Y
-17.6%
3Y
-17.6%
1Y
+23.9%
6M
+54.2%
1M
+6.7%
1W
+1.6%
BKV
BKV Corporation
Peer
5Y
+56.5%
3Y
+56.5%
1Y
+6.5%
6M
+43.1%
1M
+2.9%
1W
+7.3%
DK
Delek US Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+112.9%
3Y
+110.7%
1Y
+217.7%
6M
+7.4%
1M
-10.7%
1W
+6.5%
NES
National Energy Services Reunited Corp.
Peer
5Y
+158.3%
3Y
+158.3%
1Y
+294.7%
6M
+122.5%
1M
+12.8%
1W
+7.2%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
16.6
Forward P/E
16.35
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.84
P/S Ratio
0.84
EV/Revenue
1.49
EV/EBITDA
2.39
Market Cap
$2.55B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
7.02%
Operating Margin
17.33%
Gross Margin
66.91%
ROE
5.25%
ROA
4.75%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-12.3%
Earnings Growth
-82.6%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-82.7%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.48
Low debt
Current Ratio
0.58
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.52
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.01
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-03-03
$N/A
2025-10-30
$0.04
+60.0% surprise
2025-07-31
$0.2
+328.5% surprise
2025-05-05
$0.09
-17.2% surprise
Energy Sector Comparison
Comparing BTE against 107 companies in the Energy sector
(9 bullish, 37 neutral, 61 bearish)
P/E Ratio
16.6
This Stock
vs
31.33
Sector Avg
-47.0%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
5.25%
This Stock
vs
3.08%
Sector Avg
+70.6%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
7.02%
This Stock
vs
5.34%
Sector Avg
+31.5%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.48
This Stock
vs
1.35
Sector Avg
-64.5%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-12.3%
This Stock
vs
20.6%
Sector Avg
-159.7%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.58
This Stock
vs
2.09
Sector Avg
-71.9%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BTE
Baytex Energy Corp.
|
BEARISH | $2.55B | 16.6 | 5.3% | 7.0% | $3.32 | |
|
FLOC
Flowco Holdings Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $2.54B | 19.4 | 12.0% | 5.4% | $24.06 | Compare |
|
BKV
BKV Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $2.73B | 58.69 | 2.7% | 5.5% | $28.17 | Compare |
|
DK
Delek US Holdings, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $2.37B | - | 8.2% | -0.2% | $39.66 | Compare |
|
NESR
National Energy Services...
|
NEUTRAL | $2.34B | 44.71 | 5.5% | 3.9% | $23.25 | Compare |
BTE
Baytex Energy Corp.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$2.6B
P/E
16.6
ROE
5.3%
Price
$3.32
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | Kalmakoff, Chadwick | Senior Officer of Issuer | Acquisition in the public market at price 3.39 per | 20,000 | $67,740 |
| 2026-01-05 | Arthur (Kendall Douglas) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Acquisition in the public market at price 3.04 per | 10,000 | $30,430 |
| 2026-01-05 | Lessoway (Chris) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Acquisition in the public market at price 3.27 per | 5,550 | $18,137 |
| 2026-01-05 | Maclean (James Robert) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Acquisition in the public market at price 3.03 per | 25,000 | $75,725 |
| 2025-12-31 | Baytex Energy | Issuer | Purchase | 678,700 | $2,190,843 |
| 2025-12-31 | Baytex Energy | Issuer | Stock Award | 2,748,859 | - |
| 2025-12-31 | Frechette (Nicole Marie) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Acquisition in the public market at price 3.23 per | 11,300 | $36,476 |
| 2025-12-31 | Lundberg (Chad) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Acquisition in the public market at price 3.23 per | 11,000 | $35,508 |
| 2025-12-30 | Baytex Energy | Issuer | Purchase | 674,500 | $2,190,776 |
| 2025-12-30 | Lundberg (Chad) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Acquisition in the public market at price 3.18 per | 11,500 | $36,604 |
| 2025-12-29 | Baytex Energy | Issuer | Purchase | 685,900 | $1,601,576 |
| 2025-12-26 | Baytex Energy | Issuer | Purchase | 698,800 | $2,195,629 |
| 2025-12-24 | Baytex Energy | Issuer | Purchase | 689,659 | $2,188,977 |
| 2025-12-24 | Bly (Mark R) | Director of Issuer | Acquisition in the public market at price 3.20 per | 20,000 | $64,000 |
| 2025-11-14 | Ector, Brian Gordon | Senior Officer of Issuer | Acquisition in the public market at price 3.10 per | 10,000 | $30,960 |
Kalmakoff, Chadwick
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-01-12
20,000 shares
·
$67,740
Arthur (Kendall Douglas)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-01-05
10,000 shares
·
$30,430
Lessoway (Chris)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-01-05
5,550 shares
·
$18,137
Maclean (James Robert)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-01-05
25,000 shares
·
$75,725
Baytex Energy
Issuer
2025-12-31
678,700 shares
·
$2,190,843
Baytex Energy
Issuer
2025-12-31
2,748,859 shares
Frechette (Nicole Marie)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2025-12-31
11,300 shares
·
$36,476
Lundberg (Chad)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2025-12-31
11,000 shares
·
$35,508
Baytex Energy
Issuer
2025-12-30
674,500 shares
·
$2,190,776
Lundberg (Chad)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2025-12-30
11,500 shares
·
$36,604
Baytex Energy
Issuer
2025-12-29
685,900 shares
·
$1,601,576
Baytex Energy
Issuer
2025-12-26
698,800 shares
·
$2,195,629
Baytex Energy
Issuer
2025-12-24
689,659 shares
·
$2,188,977
Bly (Mark R)
Director of Issuer
2025-12-24
20,000 shares
·
$64,000
Ector, Brian Gordon
Senior Officer of Issuer
2025-11-14
10,000 shares
·
$30,960
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning BTE from our newsroom.
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