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BTI

NEUTRAL
$59.16 Live
British American Tobacco p.l.c. · NYSE
Target $59.5 (+0.6%)
$37.31 52W Range $59.29

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$128.41B
P/E
31.47
ROE
6.3%
Profit margin
12.1%
Debt/Equity
0.75
Dividend yield
5.3%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
72%
BTI's deterministic health score is stable with a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, indicating moderate financial strength, though the absence of an Altman Z-Score limits distress risk assessment. The stock trades significantly above its Graham Number of $34.30 at $59.16, reflecting a rich valuation despite declining revenue and a concerning 168.95% dividend payout ratio. Strong operating margins and a high dividend yield provide support, but deteriorating growth and weak technicals (10/100) offset these advantages. Analysts recommend a buy with a near-current target price, suggesting limited upside.

Key Strengths

High dividend yield of 5.30% offers attractive income potential
Exceptional operating margin of 42.04% and gross margin of 82.86% reflect strong pricing power
Piotroski F-Score of 6 indicates stable financial health
Debt/Equity ratio of 0.75 is below sector average of 1.76, signaling conservative leverage
Analyst recommendation is buy with a target price of $59.50, close to current levels

Key Risks

Dividend payout ratio of 168.95% is unsustainable long-term
Revenue growth is negative YoY at -2.20%, indicating top-line contraction
Current ratio of 0.87 and quick ratio of 0.53 suggest short-term liquidity pressure
Technical trend score of 10/100 indicates strong bearish momentum
Stock trades at a premium P/E of 31.47 vs. sector average of 28.85 despite declining fundamentals
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$38.5
-34.9% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
53
Moderate
Value
42
Future
48
Past
64
Health
60
Dividend
50
AI Verdict
Neutral with upside risk if dividend sustainability improves
Key drivers: High yield and strong margins support valuation, Unsustainable payout ratio and weak technicals limit upside, Stable Piotroski score offsets weak liquidity ratios
Confidence
75%
Value
42/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 12.14 suggests lower expected earnings multiple
Watchpoints
  • Current P/E of 31.47 is high relative to sector and growth profile
  • Price significantly above Graham Number ($34.30)
Future
48/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Earnings growth YoY at 1.60% and Q/Q at 0.40% show modest expansion
  • Year-over-Year EPS Growth of +24.4% indicates recent acceleration
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth is negative at -2.20% YoY
  • No PEG ratio available due to unreliable growth expectations
Past
64/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Historical earnings surprises average +22.89% over last 4 quarters
  • Long track record of consistent or beat estimates in 20 of 25 quarters
Watchpoints
  • Some older quarters show negative surprises and declining trends
Health
60/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates stable financial condition
  • Debt/Equity of 0.75 is below sector average
Watchpoints
  • Current and quick ratios below 1.0 signal short-term liquidity risk
  • No Altman Z-Score available for distress analysis
Dividend
50/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • High dividend yield of 5.30% is attractive in current market
  • Dividend rate of $3.14 is stable
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 168.95% exceeds earnings, raising sustainability concerns
  • Dividend strength score of 40/100 indicates weakness

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$59.16
Analyst Target
$59.5
Upside/Downside
+0.6%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BTI and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
BTI
British American Tobacco p.l.c.
Primary
5Y
+131.6%
3Y
+96.1%
1Y
+69.8%
6M
+16.4%
1M
+4.7%
1W
+1.6%
BUD
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV
Peer
5Y
+15.0%
3Y
+23.0%
1Y
+47.5%
6M
-0.5%
1M
+9.5%
1W
+1.9%
MDL
Mondelez International, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+7.3%
3Y
-18.6%
1Y
-8.9%
6M
-5.2%
1M
-0.6%
1W
+0.2%
MNS
Monster Beverage Corporation
Peer
5Y
+70.6%
3Y
+45.3%
1Y
+27.4%
6M
+13.4%
1M
+3.9%
1W
+2.3%
CL
Colgate-Palmolive Company
Peer
5Y
+2.2%
3Y
+11.3%
1Y
-12.6%
6M
-13.4%
1M
+1.2%
1W
-0.9%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
31.47
Forward P/E
12.14
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.13
P/S Ratio
5.02
EV/Revenue
6.27
EV/EBITDA
13.09
Market Cap
$128.41B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 12.06%
Operating Margin 42.04%
Gross Margin 82.86%
ROE 6.27%
ROA 5.59%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -2.2%
Earnings Growth +1.6%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +0.4%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.75
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.87
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.53
Poor
Cash/Share
$2.23

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-12
$N/A
2006-10-26
$0.51
+61.0% surprise
2006-07-27
$0.5
+8.7% surprise
2006-05-03
$0.41
-1.0% surprise

Consumer Defensive Sector Comparison

Comparing BTI against 170 companies in the Consumer Defensive sector (9 bullish, 60 neutral, 101 bearish)
P/E Ratio
31.47
This Stock
vs
37.45
Sector Avg
-16.0% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
6.27%
This Stock
vs
-13.91%
Sector Avg
-145.1% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
12.06%
This Stock
vs
-7.77%
Sector Avg
-255.2% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.75
This Stock
vs
1.89
Sector Avg
-60.3% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-2.2%
This Stock
vs
111.74%
Sector Avg
-102.0% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.87
This Stock
vs
2.29
Sector Avg
-62.2% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
5 analysts
Argus Research
2025-09-08
up
Hold Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning BTI from our newsroom.

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