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BUD

NEUTRAL
$69.88 Live
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV · NYSE
Target $78.1 (+11.8%)
$47.89 52W Range $72.13

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$135.98B
P/E
23.22
ROE
N/A
Profit margin
10.4%
Debt/Equity
0.83
Dividend yield
1.86%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
65%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of just 2/9, indicating significant operational and profitability concerns. Despite this, the stock trades above its Graham Number of $52.90 at $69.88, supported by a bullish analyst recommendation and strong recent price performance. Earnings growth has collapsed year-over-year (-48.6%), yet the company consistently beats estimates, showing some earnings quality. Profit margins and cash flow generation remain solid, but missing key financial health metrics like ROE, ROA, and Altman Z-Score limits confidence in stability. The dividend is sustainable with a 37.5% payout ratio, but insider sentiment and technical trend are weak.

Key Strengths

Consistent earnings beat streak with 3 out of last 4 quarters exceeding estimates and a 5.93% average surprise
High gross margin of 55.90% reflects strong pricing power and cost control in brewing operations
Solid operating margin at 27.79%, outperforming sector average profit margin of -1.59%
Debt/Equity of 0.83 is below sector average of 1.73, indicating relatively conservative leverage
Analyst target price of $78.10 implies 11.8% upside, with unanimous buy recommendation from 10 analysts

Key Risks

Critically low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals deteriorating financial health and weak earnings quality
Earnings growth has collapsed YoY (-48.6%) and QoQ (-49.1%), raising sustainability concerns
Missing key financial health data (ROE, ROA, Altman Z-Score, cash/debt figures) creates opacity and risk
Technical trend score of 10/100 indicates strong bearish momentum despite long-term price gains
Forward P/E of 16.74 is optimistic given near-zero revenue growth (0.6% YoY) and declining earnings
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$58.0
-17.0% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
48
Moderate
Value
45
Future
40
Past
60
Health
30
Dividend
65
AI Verdict
Neutral with upside risk if earnings stabilize
Key drivers: Low Piotroski score dragging down health, Strong margins and earnings beat consistency providing support, Analyst optimism offsetting weak technicals, Valuation stretched relative to growth
Confidence
65%
Value
45/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/E of 23.22 below sector average of 29.29
  • Forward P/E of 16.74 suggests de-rating on growth concerns
Watchpoints
  • Current price 32% above Graham Number ($52.90)
  • No PEG ratio due to negative earnings growth
  • Intrinsic value estimate of $21.07 implies deep overvaluation
Future
40/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Forward P/E contraction suggests market expects recovery
  • Analyst target implies confidence in future earnings rebound
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth of 0.6% YoY is minimal
  • Earnings growth down -48.6% YoY
  • Q/Q earnings down -49.1%, indicating ongoing deterioration
Past
60/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Long history of beating earnings estimates (22 out of 25 quarters)
  • 1Y price return of +47.5% outperforms most peers
  • 5Y return of +15.0% shows resilience
Watchpoints
  • Recent earnings surprises driven by low baselines (e.g., $0.13 est to $0.61 actual)
  • 6M return of -0.5% shows recent stagnation
Health
30/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Debt/Equity of 0.83 is manageable
  • Profit margin of 10.4% remains positive
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe financial weakness
  • Missing Altman Z-Score, ROE, ROA, and liquidity ratios
  • No data on cash flow or debt maturity profile
Dividend
65/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Dividend yield of 1.86% is modest but stable
  • Payout ratio of 37.48% is sustainable
  • Dividend strength score of 40/100 suggests room for improvement
Watchpoints
  • No 5-year yield average to assess consistency
  • No ex-dividend date provided, limiting transparency

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$69.88
Analyst Target
$78.1
Upside/Downside
+11.8%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BUD and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
BUD
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV
Primary
5Y
+15.0%
3Y
+23.0%
1Y
+47.5%
6M
-0.5%
1M
+9.5%
1W
+1.9%
BTI
British American Tobacco p.l.c.
Peer
5Y
+131.6%
3Y
+96.1%
1Y
+69.8%
6M
+16.4%
1M
+4.7%
1W
+1.6%
MDL
Mondelez International, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+7.3%
3Y
-18.6%
1Y
-8.9%
6M
-5.2%
1M
-0.6%
1W
+0.2%
MNS
Monster Beverage Corporation
Peer
5Y
+70.6%
3Y
+45.3%
1Y
+27.4%
6M
+13.4%
1M
+3.9%
1W
+2.3%
CL
Colgate-Palmolive Company
Peer
5Y
+2.2%
3Y
+11.3%
1Y
-12.6%
6M
-13.4%
1M
+1.2%
1W
-0.9%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
23.22
Forward P/E
16.74
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.69
P/S Ratio
2.32
EV/Revenue
3.68
EV/EBITDA
11.41
Market Cap
$135.98B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 10.41%
Operating Margin 27.79%
Gross Margin 55.91%
ROE N/A
ROA N/A

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +0.6%
Earnings Growth -48.6%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth -49.1%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.83
Moderate
Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Cash/Share
$3.77

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-12
$N/A
2025-10-30
$0.99
+3.9% surprise
2025-07-31
$0.98
+3.5% surprise
2025-05-08
$0.81
+10.4% surprise

Consumer Defensive Sector Comparison

Comparing BUD against 170 companies in the Consumer Defensive sector (9 bullish, 60 neutral, 101 bearish)
P/E Ratio
23.22
This Stock
vs
37.45
Sector Avg
-38.0% (Discount)
Profit Margin
10.41%
This Stock
vs
-7.77%
Sector Avg
-233.9% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.83
This Stock
vs
1.89
Sector Avg
-56.0% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
0.6%
This Stock
vs
111.74%
Sector Avg
-99.5% (Slower)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
10 analysts
Wells Fargo
2025-11-19
init
Overweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning BUD from our newsroom.

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