BUR
BEARISH
$9.75
Live
Burford Capital Limited · NYSE
Target $19.12
(+96.2%)
$8.19
52W Range
$15.73
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$2.13B
P/E
25.0
ROE
4.2%
Profit margin
18.7%
Debt/Equity
0.68
Dividend yield
1.27%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
78%
The deterministic health scores paint a concerning picture, with a Piotroski F-Score of just 3/9 indicating weak financial health, and the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. Despite strong profitability margins and a low Price/Book ratio, the company faces severe revenue contraction (YoY growth of -73.60%) and deeply negative earnings surprises, with 11 of the last 12 quarters missing or drastically underperforming estimates. While the stock trades below the Graham Number of $10.01, suggesting slight undervaluation, the weak fundamentals, deteriorating growth, and lack of insider support undermine this. The strong_buy analyst consensus appears overly optimistic given the deteriorating operational performance and bearish technical trend.
Key Strengths
Exceptionally high gross margin (97.76%) indicating strong pricing power or low cost structure
Low Price/Book ratio of 0.85, suggesting asset-based undervaluation
Healthy operating and profit margins despite revenue decline
Strong current and quick ratios (5.52) indicating robust short-term liquidity
Debt/Equity of 0.68 is below sector average of 1.53, signaling conservative leverage
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicates severe financial weakness and high risk of continued underperformance
Catastrophic revenue growth decline of -73.60% YoY, far below sector average of +31.80%
Extreme earnings volatility with 11 of 12 quarters missing estimates, including multiple negative EPS surprises
Forward P/E of 6.15 appears low but may be misleading due to unsteady earnings and negative growth trajectory
Technical trend score of 0/100 confirms strong bearish momentum in price action
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$9.5
-2.6% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
38
Weak
65
20
25
30
50
AI Verdict
High risk, deteriorating fundamentals with misleading valuation metrics
Key drivers: Low Piotroski F-Score, Collapse in revenue growth, Extreme earnings miss streak, Bearish technical trend, Discrepancy between analyst optimism and operational reality
Confidence
80%
Value
65/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Current price ($9.75) near Graham Number ($10.01)
- Price/Book of 0.85 suggests asset-based undervaluation
- Forward P/E of 6.15 is below sector average
Watchpoints
- P/E of 25.00 is high relative to negative growth
- PEG ratio unavailable due to negative growth, limiting growth-adjusted valuation
Future
20/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Forward P/E implies expectation of earnings recovery
Watchpoints
- Revenue growth of -73.60% YoY indicates severe contraction
- Most recent EPS growth of -123.1% Q/Q confirms deterioration
- No visibility on earnings stabilization
Past
25/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- One-time large earnings beats in 2023 (e.g., +431.8% surprise)
Watchpoints
- Consistent pattern of missing estimates in recent quarters
- Historical EPS progression shows increasing volatility and decline
- 1Y price return of -30.4% reflects deteriorating sentiment
Health
30/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Current and quick ratios above 5.5 indicate strong liquidity
- Debt/Equity of 0.68 is below sector average
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicates weak financial health
- ROE of 4.19% is low despite high margins, suggesting capital inefficiency
- Altman Z-Score unavailable, increasing uncertainty
Dividend
50/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Payout ratio of 31.25% is sustainable
- Dividend yield of 1.27% provides modest income
Watchpoints
- Dividend strength score of 40/100 indicates weak reliability
- No 5-year yield average available, limiting historical context
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$9.75
Analyst Target
$19.12
Upside/Downside
+96.2%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BUR and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BUR
Burford Capital Limited
Primary
|
+18.9% | +8.0% | -30.4% | -29.2% | +8.3% | +0.3% |
|
HTH
Hilltop Holdings Inc.
Peer
|
+20.3% | +26.7% | +29.7% | +13.0% | +4.5% | -3.0% |
|
MAAS
Maase Inc.
Peer
|
-97.5% | -98.2% | +52.9% | +100.3% | +10.7% | +3.6% |
|
BANR
Banner Corporation
Peer
|
+44.9% | +8.0% | -9.8% | -4.0% | -5.8% | -5.3% |
|
PAX
Patria Investments Limited
Peer
|
+11.0% | +1.3% | +38.5% | -6.7% | +15.2% | +5.2% |
BUR
Burford Capital Limited
Primary
5Y
+18.9%
3Y
+8.0%
1Y
-30.4%
6M
-29.2%
1M
+8.3%
1W
+0.3%
HTH
Hilltop Holdings Inc.
Peer
5Y
+20.3%
3Y
+26.7%
1Y
+29.7%
6M
+13.0%
1M
+4.5%
1W
-3.0%
MAA
Maase Inc.
Peer
5Y
-97.5%
3Y
-98.2%
1Y
+52.9%
6M
+100.3%
1M
+10.7%
1W
+3.6%
BAN
Banner Corporation
Peer
5Y
+44.9%
3Y
+8.0%
1Y
-9.8%
6M
-4.0%
1M
-5.8%
1W
-5.3%
PAX
Patria Investments Limited
Peer
5Y
+11.0%
3Y
+1.3%
1Y
+38.5%
6M
-6.7%
1M
+15.2%
1W
+5.2%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
25.0
Forward P/E
6.15
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.85
P/S Ratio
4.58
EV/Revenue
9.07
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$2.13B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
18.69%
Operating Margin
30.4%
Gross Margin
97.76%
ROE
4.19%
ROA
2.8%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-73.6%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.68
Moderate
Current Ratio
5.52
Strong
Quick Ratio
5.52
Excellent
Cash/Share
$3.46
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-03-02
$N/A
2025-11-05
$-0.09
-129.3% surprise
2025-08-07
$0.39
+9.6% surprise
2025-05-07
$0.14
-53.7% surprise
Financial Services Sector Comparison
Comparing BUR against 820 companies in the Financial Services sector
(141 bullish, 351 neutral, 328 bearish)
P/E Ratio
25.0
This Stock
vs
36.01
Sector Avg
-30.6%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
4.19%
This Stock
vs
-0.73%
Sector Avg
-671.3%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
18.69%
This Stock
vs
91.62%
Sector Avg
-79.6%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.68
This Stock
vs
1.36
Sector Avg
-50.2%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-73.6%
This Stock
vs
35.27%
Sector Avg
-308.7%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
5.52
This Stock
vs
3.18
Sector Avg
+73.7%
(Stronger)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BUR
Burford Capital Limited
|
BEARISH | $2.13B | 25.0 | 4.2% | 18.7% | $9.75 | |
|
HTH
Hilltop Holdings Inc.
|
BEARISH | $2.15B | 13.99 | 7.6% | 12.8% | $36.8 | Compare |
|
MAAS
Maase Inc.
|
BEARISH | $2.17B | - | -0.2% | -51.0% | $6.11 | Compare |
|
BANR
Banner Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $2.1B | 11.73 | 10.5% | 30.2% | $61.46 | Compare |
|
PAX
Patria Investments Limited
|
NEUTRAL | $2.09B | 19.26 | 16.0% | 22.4% | $13.1 | Compare |
BUR
Burford Capital Limited
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$2.1B
P/E
25.0
ROE
4.2%
Price
$9.75
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | Burford Capital Ltd | Stock Award | - | - |
Burford Capital Ltd
2026-01-12
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
STRONG_BUY
4 analysts
B. Riley Securities
2025-11-11
Buy
Buy
Wedbush
2025-08-14
Outperform
Outperform
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning BUR from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.