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CDP

NEUTRAL
$32.11 Live
COPT Defense Properties · NYSE
Target $35.38 (+10.2%)
$25.21 52W Range $32.96

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 25, 2026
Market cap
$3.71B
P/E
23.96
ROE
10.1%
Profit margin
19.9%
Debt/Equity
1.77
Dividend yield
3.85%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
CDP exhibits a stable financial profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, though it is currently trading at a significant premium to its Graham Number ($20.12) and Intrinsic Value ($23.25). While the company maintains strong operating margins and a healthier debt-to-equity ratio than its sector peers, the valuation is stretched. The combination of a very high dividend payout ratio (91.04%) and bearish insider sentiment offsets the positive analyst consensus and recent price momentum.

Key Strengths

Strong operating margins (29.64%) and gross margins (57.76%)
Debt/Equity ratio (1.77) is significantly lower than the sector average (2.82)
Consistent positive revenue and earnings growth (approx 7% YoY)
Niche market positioning within Defense Properties providing a moat
Strong 1-year price performance (+26.5%)

Key Risks

Significant overvaluation relative to Graham Number and Intrinsic Value
High dividend payout ratio (91.04%) leaves little room for earnings volatility
Bearish insider sentiment with recent selling activity
Tight liquidity indicated by a Current Ratio of 1.06 and Quick Ratio of 0.95
Bearish technical trend (10/100) despite price being near 52-week highs
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$24.5
-23.7% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
55
Moderate
Value
30
Future
65
Past
80
Health
60
Dividend
40
AI Verdict
Overvalued Stable
Key drivers: Valuation premium, Stable Piotroski score, High payout ratio, Sector-beating debt levels
Confidence
90%
Value
30/100

Ref P/E 23.96, Graham Number $20.12

Positives
  • PEG ratio of 1.02 suggests growth justifies some premium
Watchpoints
  • Current price ($32.11) is ~60% above Graham Number ($20.12)
  • Price/Book of 2.39 is elevated
Future
65/100

Ref Growth rates and Analyst Targets

Positives
  • Steady YoY revenue growth of 7.60%
  • Positive analyst target price of $35.38
Watchpoints
  • Recent Q/Q EPS growth is negative (-5.7%)
Past
80/100

Ref Historical price and earnings trends

Positives
  • Strong 3Y (+65.8%) and 1Y (+26.5%) returns
  • Consistent earnings delivery over 25 quarters
Watchpoints
  • Recent earnings beats have slowed (1/4 in last 4 quarters)
Health
60/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score 4/9, Debt/Equity 1.77

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stability
  • Debt/Equity is superior to sector average
Watchpoints
  • Current ratio is barely above 1.0
  • Altman Z-Score not provided for bankruptcy risk assessment
Dividend
40/100

Ref Yield 3.85%, Payout 91.04%

Positives
  • Consistent yield of 3.85%
Watchpoints
  • Extremely high payout ratio (91.04%)
  • Low overall dividend strength score (20/100)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$32.11
Analyst Target
$35.38
Upside/Downside
+10.2%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for CDP and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-24
CDP
COPT Defense Properties
Primary
5Y
+41.2%
3Y
+65.8%
1Y
+26.5%
6M
+15.6%
1M
+3.3%
1W
-1.2%
COL
Americold Realty Trust, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-60.6%
3Y
-49.4%
1Y
-31.7%
6M
-2.8%
1M
+15.8%
1W
+0.2%
BNL
Broadstone Net Lease, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+35.3%
3Y
+30.8%
1Y
+25.2%
6M
+20.6%
1M
+7.7%
1W
-1.0%
BXM
Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+3.0%
3Y
+64.7%
1Y
+18.5%
6M
+14.8%
1M
+8.3%
1W
-0.7%
NMR
Newmark Group, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+56.5%
3Y
+153.0%
1Y
+48.1%
6M
-11.9%
1M
+9.1%
1W
+7.4%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
23.96
Forward P/E
22.61
PEG Ratio
1.02
P/B Ratio
2.39
P/S Ratio
4.84
EV/Revenue
8.13
EV/EBITDA
15.7
Market Cap
$3.71B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 19.87%
Operating Margin 29.64%
Gross Margin 57.76%
ROE 10.13%
ROA 3.25%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +7.6%
Earnings Growth +6.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +4.3%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +6.8%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.77
High debt
Current Ratio
1.06
Good
Quick Ratio
0.95
Poor
Cash/Share
$2.44

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.2B
Gross Margin
35.5%
Op. Margin
29.5%
Net Margin
19.0%
Total Assets
$4.7B
Liabilities
$3.1B
Equity
$1.5B
Debt/Equity
2.06x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
94%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-27
$N/A
2026-02-05
$0.33
-0.3% surprise
2025-10-30
$0.35
-0.4% surprise
2025-07-28
$0.34
+1.1% surprise

Real Estate Sector Comparison

Comparing CDP against 126 companies in the Real Estate sector (5 bullish, 21 neutral, 100 bearish)
P/E Ratio
23.96
This Stock
vs
40.77
Sector Avg
-41.2% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
10.13%
This Stock
vs
-45.9%
Sector Avg
-122.1% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
19.87%
This Stock
vs
9.14%
Sector Avg
+117.5% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
1.77
This Stock
vs
2.79
Sector Avg
-36.4% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
7.6%
This Stock
vs
22108.13%
Sector Avg
-100.0% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.06
This Stock
vs
9.68
Sector Avg
-89.0% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

DENTON ROBERT L
Director
Option Exercise
2026-03-03
2,000 shares · $64,320
MIFSUD ANTHONY
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
8,149 shares
MYERS MATTHEW T
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
2,390 shares
SNIDER BRITT A.
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
11,203 shares
HAWKINS PHILIP L
Director
Sell
2026-02-23
5,536 shares · $181,100
DENTON ROBERT L
Director
Option Exercise
2026-02-10
2,000 shares · $64,680
DENTON ROBERT L
Director
Option Exercise
2025-12-23
500 shares · $14,070
DENTON ROBERT L
Director
Option Exercise
2025-12-03
1,500 shares · $44,805
DENTON ROBERT L
Director
Option Exercise
2025-11-03
2,500 shares · $70,875
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-03-30

CDP filed a definitive proxy statement on March 30, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for an upcoming meeting.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-20

CDP filed its 10-K on February 20, 2026, which includes standard disclosures regarding its business operations, financial condition, and market risks. The filing specifically addresses risk factors and provides dedicated disclosures concerning cybersecurity.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-05

CDP announced its financial results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-04

CDP filed an 8-K on February 4, 2026, likely to announce its quarterly or annual financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-04

CDP filed its 10-Q on November 4, 2025, though the provided excerpt contains no specific financial highlights. The filing includes a section dedicated to risk factors under Item 1A.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-30

CDP filed an 8-K on October 30, 2025, likely to report its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-10
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-10-02

CDP filed a Form 8-K on October 2, 2025, likely to announce its quarterly financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-09-29

CDP filed an 8-K on September 29, 2025, likely reporting a material event or corporate update coinciding with the end of the third fiscal quarter.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-09-23
10-Q
10-Q
2025-07-31
8-K
8-K
2025-07-28
8-K
8-K
2025-05-23
10-Q
10-Q
2025-05-01
8-K
8-K
2025-04-28
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
8 analysts
Truist Securities
2026-03-03
Maintains
Hold Hold
Citigroup
2026-02-10
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Cantor Fitzgerald
2026-02-09
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Jefferies
2026-01-27
Maintains
Buy Buy
Evercore ISI Group
2025-12-15
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Truist Securities
2025-12-15
Maintains
Hold Hold
Wells Fargo
2025-11-25
Maintains
Overweight Overweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning CDP from our newsroom.

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