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BNL Broadstone Net Lease, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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BNL Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Real Estate REIT - Diversified
Current Price Live
$18.53
Analyst Target
$20.18
+8.9% Upside
52W High
$18.87
52W Low
$13.96

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$3.66B
P/E
39.43
ROE
3.0%
Profit margin
20.0%
Debt/Equity
0.78
Dividend yield
6.3%

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
BNL has a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, indicating stable financial health, but lacks an Altman Z-Score for distress risk assessment. The stock trades at a significant premium to its Graham Number of $12.7, with a current price of $18.53, supported by a high dividend yield of 6.3% despite a concerning payout ratio of 246.81%. While profitability margins are strong, earnings growth is negative and inconsistent, with recent quarters missing estimates by wide margins. Analysts recommend a 'buy' with a target of $20.18, but technical trends and insider sentiment are weak, suggesting caution despite sector-relative stability.

Key Strengths

Piotroski F-Score of 6 indicates stable financial health
High gross margin (94.77%) and operating margin (50.85%) reflect strong pricing power and cost control
Dividend yield of 6.3% is attractive in the current rate environment
Debt/Equity of 0.78 is well below sector average of 3.33, indicating conservative leverage
Current and quick ratios above 2.8 suggest strong short-term liquidity

Key Risks

Payout ratio of 246.81% raises sustainability concerns for the dividend
Earnings growth YoY is -26.40%, with Q/Q EPS down -25.70%, indicating deteriorating profitability
Last four quarters have consistently missed earnings estimates, averaging a -34.41% surprise
Technical trend score of 10/100 signals strong bearish momentum near term
Insider sentiment is weak at 40/100, suggesting lack of confidence from company insiders
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$12.7
-31.5% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
53
Moderate
Value
45
Future
38
Past
60
Health
70
Dividend
50
AI Verdict
Cautiously Neutral
Key drivers: Stable Piotroski score and strong margins, High valuation multiples and deteriorating earnings, Unsustainable dividend payout, Bearish technicals and weak insider sentiment
Confidence
65%
Value
45/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Price/Book of 1.22 is reasonable for a REIT
  • Below sector average P/E of 51.09
Watchpoints
  • P/E of 39.43 is high for a company with negative earnings growth
  • Stock trades at 46% premium to Graham Number of $12.7
  • Forward P/E of 26.22 still elevated given weak growth outlook
Future
38/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Analyst target price implies 8.9% upside to $20.18
  • Revenue growth of 5.3% YoY is positive
Watchpoints
  • Earnings growth YoY is -26.40%
  • Q/Q earnings growth is -25.70%
  • Last four quarters missed estimates by double-digit percentages
Past
60/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 5Y price return of +35.3% outperforms many peers
  • Historically strong earnings surprises in 2021–2023
Watchpoints
  • Recent performance shows reversal in earnings quality
  • Volatility in quarterly results with large misses in 2024–2025
Health
70/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 6 indicates stable financial condition
  • Current ratio of 2.88 and quick ratio of 2.86 show strong liquidity
  • Debt/Equity of 0.78 is well below sector average
Watchpoints
  • Altman Z-Score not available, limiting distress risk assessment
  • ROE of 2.99% and ROA of 2.64% are low despite high margins
Dividend
50/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Dividend yield of 6.3% is attractive
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 246.81% is unsustainable
  • Dividend strength score of 40/100 indicates high risk

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$18.53
Analyst Target
$20.18
Upside/Downside
+8.9%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BNL and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
BNL
Broadstone Net Lease, Inc.
Primary
+35.3% +30.8% +25.2% +20.6% +7.7% -1.0%
APLE
Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.
Peer
+23.4% -12.2% -12.8% +2.0% +2.6% -0.5%
AKR
Acadia Realty Trust
Peer
+58.5% +49.7% -8.0% +8.6% -3.6% -5.0%
ARR
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
Peer
-28.0% +2.9% +18.2% +19.0% +5.9% -4.0%
ABR
Arbor Realty Trust, Inc.
Peer
-7.8% -22.3% -34.2% -32.0% -2.4% -6.4%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
39.43
Forward P/E
26.22
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.22
P/S Ratio
8.17
EV/Revenue
13.14
EV/EBITDA
15.43
Market Cap
$3.66B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 20.04%
Operating Margin 50.85%
Gross Margin 94.77%
ROE 2.99%
ROA 2.64%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +5.3%
Earnings Growth -26.4%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth -25.7%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.78
Moderate
Current Ratio
2.88
Strong
Quick Ratio
2.86
Excellent
Cash/Share
$0.54

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-18
$N/A
2025-10-29
$0.14
-19.1% surprise
2025-07-30
$0.12
-34.8% surprise
2025-04-30
$0.09
-49.3% surprise

Real Estate Sector Comparison

Comparing BNL against 56 companies in the Real Estate sector (1 bullish, 9 neutral, 46 bearish)
P/E Ratio
39.43
This Stock
vs
48.41
Sector Avg
-18.6% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
2.99%
This Stock
vs
-78.05%
Sector Avg
-103.8% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
20.04%
This Stock
vs
26.54%
Sector Avg
-24.5% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.78
This Stock
vs
3.27
Sector Avg
-76.1% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
5.3%
This Stock
vs
1826.76%
Sector Avg
-99.7% (Slower)
Current Ratio
2.88
This Stock
vs
8.06
Sector Avg
-64.3% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
BNL
Broadstone Net Lease, Inc.
NEUTRAL $3.66B 39.43 3.0% 20.0% $18.53
APLE
Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.
BEARISH $2.92B 16.88 5.4% 12.4% $12.32
AKR
Acadia Realty Trust
BEARISH $2.83B 153.77 -1.7% 4.5% $19.99
ARR
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
BEARISH $2.07B 96.63 3.7% 55.3% $18.36
ABR
Arbor Realty Trust, Inc.
BEARISH $1.64B 10.05 6.6% 35.1% $7.74

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
11 analysts
Morgan Stanley
2025-12-29
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
BTIG
2025-12-05
Maintains
Buy Buy
Citizens
2025-12-02
reit
Market Outperform Market Outperform
Truist Securities
2025-11-25
Maintains
Hold Hold
Cantor Fitzgerald
2025-10-01
init
Overweight
BTIG
2025-10-01
reit
Buy Buy
JMP Securities
2025-09-29
reit
Market Outperform Market Outperform
Keybanc
2025-08-19
up
Sector Weight Overweight
UBS
2025-08-15
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Wolfe Research
2025-07-28
up
Peer Perform Outperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning BNL from our newsroom.

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