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HHH

BEARISH
$63.79 Live
Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. · NYSE
Target $90.33 (+41.6%)
$61.01 52W Range $91.07

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 28, 2026
Market cap
$3.8B
P/E
28.86
ROE
3.7%
Profit margin
8.4%
Debt/Equity
1.33
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
HHH exhibits a stable but weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, reflecting mediocre financial health. The company is facing a severe fundamental crisis with YoY revenue declining by 36.5% and earnings collapsing by 96.9%. While the stock trades near its book value (P/B 0.99), there is a massive disconnect between the current price ($63.79) and the growth-based intrinsic value ($15.47). Bearish technical trends and insider selling further compound the negative outlook despite optimistic analyst price targets.

Key Strengths

Price/Book ratio of 0.99 suggests the stock is trading near its liquidation/asset value
Strong short-term liquidity with a Current Ratio of 1.90
Healthy Quick Ratio of 1.43 indicating ability to cover immediate liabilities
Gross margins remain robust at 47.69%
Manageable Debt/Equity ratio of 1.33 compared to sector averages

Key Risks

Catastrophic earnings collapse with YoY growth at -96.90%
Severe revenue contraction of -36.50% YoY and Q/Q
Forward P/E (62.54) is significantly higher than trailing P/E, signaling expected earnings decline
Extreme earnings volatility and consistent failure to meet analyst estimates (1/4 beats)
Strongly bearish technical trend (0/100) and negative 5-year price performance (-37.7%)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$42.5
-33.4% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
27
Weak
Value
45
Future
10
Past
30
Health
50
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
High Risk / Fundamental Decay
Key drivers: Earnings collapse, Revenue contraction, Intrinsic value gap, Bearish technicals
Confidence
90%
Value
45/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/B near 1.0
  • Price close to Graham Number ($56.47)
Watchpoints
  • Current price far exceeds intrinsic value ($15.47)
  • High Forward P/E
Future
10/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth -36.5%
  • Earnings growth -96.9%
Past
30/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Occasional high EPS surprises in previous years
Watchpoints
  • 5Y Change -37.7%
  • Consistent earnings misses recently
Health
50/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Current Ratio 1.90
  • Quick Ratio 1.43
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9 (Stable/Weak)
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • 0/100 strength score

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$63.79
Analyst Target
$90.33
Upside/Downside
+41.6%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for HHH and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-27
HHH
Howard Hughes Holdings Inc.
Primary
5Y
-37.7%
3Y
-13.5%
1Y
-6.2%
6M
-22.3%
1M
+2.4%
1W
-5.4%
CDP
COPT Defense Properties
Peer
5Y
+41.2%
3Y
+65.8%
1Y
+26.5%
6M
+15.6%
1M
+3.3%
1W
-1.2%
COL
Americold Realty Trust, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-60.6%
3Y
-49.4%
1Y
-31.7%
6M
-2.8%
1M
+15.8%
1W
+0.2%
BNL
Broadstone Net Lease, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+35.3%
3Y
+30.8%
1Y
+25.2%
6M
+20.6%
1M
+7.7%
1W
-1.0%
NMR
Newmark Group, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+56.5%
3Y
+153.0%
1Y
+48.1%
6M
-11.9%
1M
+9.1%
1W
+7.4%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
28.86
Forward P/E
62.54
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.99
P/S Ratio
2.58
EV/Revenue
5.07
EV/EBITDA
14.81
Market Cap
$3.8B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 8.4%
Operating Margin 7.36%
Gross Margin 47.69%
ROE 3.71%
ROA 2.02%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -36.5%
Earnings Growth -96.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth -36.51%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -96.2%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.33
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.9
Good
Quick Ratio
1.43
Good
Cash/Share
$24.89

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.6B
Gross Margin
21.7%
Op. Margin
4.2%
Net Margin
1.0%
Total Assets
$10.6B
Liabilities
$6.8B
Equity
$3.8B
Debt/Equity
1.80x
Operating CF
$0.4B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.4B
FCF Yield
99%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-02-19
$0.1
-75.2% surprise
2025-11-10
$2.02
+32.0% surprise
2025-08-06
$-0.22
-126.1% surprise

Real Estate Sector Comparison

Comparing HHH against 165 companies in the Real Estate sector (6 bullish, 31 neutral, 128 bearish)
P/E Ratio
28.86
This Stock
vs
41.83
Sector Avg
-31.0% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
3.71%
This Stock
vs
-33.57%
Sector Avg
-111.0% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
8.4%
This Stock
vs
10.53%
Sector Avg
-20.2% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.33
This Stock
vs
2.45
Sector Avg
-45.7% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-36.5%
This Stock
vs
16932.14%
Sector Avg
-100.2% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.9
This Stock
vs
7.96
Sector Avg
-76.1% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

DAVIS ANDREW D.
Officer
Sell
2026-03-25
1,636 shares · $104,491
VALANE JOSEPH
General Counsel
Buy
2026-03-13
1,260 shares · $81,207
JOHNSTONE DOUGLAS
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-03
10,122 shares
CARMAN JAMES
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-03
8,192 shares
OLEA CARLOS A.
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-03
27,390 shares
SMITH KRISTI
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-03
6,246 shares
VERBINSKAYA ELENA
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-03
3,654 shares
VALANE JOSEPH
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-02-03
11,243 shares
FREERICKS CHARLES JAMES JR
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-03
6,246 shares
BUSTAMANTE JOSE MIGUEL
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-03
6,246 shares
DAVIS ANDREW D.
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-03
15,503 shares
O'REILLY DAVID R
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-03
84,400 shares
SELLERS R SCOT
Director
Buy
2025-12-23
5,000 shares · $389,713
TIGHE MARY ANN
Director
Sell
2025-11-26
6,000 shares · $532,966
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-04-21

Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HHH) likely reported its first-quarter financial results for the period ending March 31, 2026.

8-K/A
FORM 8-K/A
2026-03-31

HHH filed an amendment to a previously submitted current report on March 31, 2026.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-03-06

Howmet Aerospace Inc. filed an 8-K on March 6, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-19

HHH filed its 10-K annual report on February 19, 2026, which includes standard disclosures regarding its business operations, risk factors, and financial condition. Specific financial highlights and detailed risk assessments were not provided in the available excerpts.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-19

HHH filed an 8-K on February 19, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-02-17

Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HHH) filed an 8-K on February 17, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-02-04

Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HHH) likely reported its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results for the fiscal year ending 2025.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-02-04

Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HHH) likely reported its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results for the fiscal year ending 2025.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-12-18
10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-10
8-K
8-K
2025-11-10

HHH filed an 8-K on November 10, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-07
DEF 14A
FORM DEF 14A
2025-08-15
10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-06
8-K
8-K
2025-08-06
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning HHH from our newsroom.

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