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CP

NEUTRAL
$86.89 Live
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited · NYSE
Target $91.28 (+5.0%)
$68.42 52W Range $89.42

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 25, 2026
Market cap
$77.97B
P/E
26.33
ROE
8.6%
Profit margin
27.5%
Debt/Equity
0.5
Dividend yield
0.76%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
CP exhibits a stable but mediocre Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating a lack of strong financial momentum. While the company maintains exceptional operating margins (44.02%), it is significantly overvalued relative to its Graham Number ($52.69) and Intrinsic Value ($23.1). The disconnect between the current price ($86.89) and negative earnings growth (-7.40%) suggests the market is pricing in future synergies from the KCS merger that have yet to materialize in the data. Technical trends are heavily bearish (10/100), offsetting the optimistic analyst consensus.

Key Strengths

Exceptional operating margins of 44.02%
Strong gross profit margins of 53.82%
Manageable Debt/Equity ratio of 0.50
Very low dividend payout ratio (19.38%), ensuring dividend safety
Dominant market position within the railroad industry

Key Risks

Significant overvaluation relative to deterministic fair value models
Negative YoY earnings growth (-7.40%) and stagnant revenue growth (1.30%)
Poor short-term liquidity with a current ratio of 0.49
High PEG ratio (2.22) indicating price is too high for current growth rates
Strongly bearish technical trend (10/100)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$55.4
-36.2% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
44
Moderate
Value
25
Future
30
Past
60
Health
50
Dividend
55
AI Verdict
Overvalued Moat
Key drivers: High operating margins, Negative earnings growth, Severe valuation premium
Confidence
90%
Value
25/100

Ref P/E 26.33, PEG 2.22, Graham $52.69

Positives
  • Forward P/E is lower than current P/E
Watchpoints
  • Price is 65% above Graham Number
  • Price is 276% above Intrinsic Value
  • High PEG ratio
Future
30/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Analyst target price of $91.28 suggests upside
Watchpoints
  • YoY Earnings Growth -7.40%
  • Stagnant Revenue Growth 1.30%
Past
60/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Positive 1Y and 6M price performance
  • Consistent history of meeting or beating earnings in previous years
Watchpoints
  • Recent trend of missing estimates (1/4 last 4 quarters)
Health
50/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score 4/9

Positives
  • Low Debt/Equity (0.50)
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9 (Stable)
Watchpoints
  • Current Ratio 0.49 (Liquidity risk)
  • Quick Ratio 0.37
Dividend
55/100

Ref Yield 0.76%, Payout 19.38%

Positives
  • Very low payout ratio (19.38%)
Watchpoints
  • Very low dividend yield (0.76%)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$86.89
Analyst Target
$91.28
Upside/Downside
+5.0%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for CP and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-24
CP
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited
Primary
5Y
+21.7%
3Y
+11.9%
1Y
+19.7%
6M
+15.3%
1M
+8.8%
1W
+6.6%
JCI
Johnson Controls International plc
Peer
5Y
+189.6%
3Y
+89.8%
1Y
+41.2%
6M
+21.7%
1M
+7.1%
1W
-2.9%
MMM
3M Company
Peer
5Y
+8.0%
3Y
+92.1%
1Y
+22.3%
6M
-1.3%
1M
+7.2%
1W
-0.9%
CTA
Cintas Corporation
Peer
5Y
+112.1%
3Y
+72.4%
1Y
-13.1%
6M
-15.1%
1M
-0.1%
1W
+1.1%
CSX
CSX Corporation
Peer
5Y
+36.7%
3Y
+42.3%
1Y
+60.3%
6M
+22.2%
1M
+11.4%
1W
+2.0%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
26.33
Forward P/E
20.19
PEG Ratio
2.22
P/B Ratio
2.32
P/S Ratio
5.17
EV/Revenue
6.79
EV/EBITDA
12.62
Market Cap
$77.97B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 27.46%
Operating Margin 44.02%
Gross Margin 53.82%
ROE 8.64%
ROA 4.39%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +1.3%
Earnings Growth -7.4%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +1.26%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -10.3%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.5
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.49
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.37
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.2

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$3.9B
Gross Margin
41.1%
Op. Margin
-200.3%
Net Margin
27.5%
Total Assets
$85.9B
Liabilities
$39.1B
Equity
$45.9B
Debt/Equity
0.85x
Operating CF
$1.5B
CapEx
$-0.8B
Free Cash Flow
$0.7B
FCF Yield
48%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-29
$N/A
2026-01-28
$1.33
-1.2% surprise
2025-10-29
$1.1
-0.6% surprise
2025-07-30
$1.33
+19.3% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing CP against 396 companies in the Industrials sector (30 bullish, 136 neutral, 230 bearish)
P/E Ratio
26.33
This Stock
vs
81.87
Sector Avg
-67.8% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
8.64%
This Stock
vs
-24.31%
Sector Avg
-135.6% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
27.46%
This Stock
vs
6.58%
Sector Avg
+317.5% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.5
This Stock
vs
2.86
Sector Avg
-82.4% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
1.3%
This Stock
vs
82.27%
Sector Avg
-98.4% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.49
This Stock
vs
3.21
Sector Avg
-84.7% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-03-25

Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) filed a current report on March 25, 2026, likely announcing its quarterly financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-06

Canadian Pacific Kansas City likely announced its annual financial results or the filing of its annual report.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-05

Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) filed an 8-K, likely announcing its annual financial results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-26

CP submitted its annual 10-K filing on February 26, 2026, detailing its business operations and financial condition. While specific financial metrics were not provided in the excerpts, the filing includes comprehensive disclosures regarding risk factors and management's analysis of operations.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-12

CPKC announced its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results for 2025.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-29

CPKC likely announced its fourth quarter and full-year financial results for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-28

CPKC likely announced its fourth quarter and full-year financial results for the fiscal year ending 2025.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-31

CPKC filed an 8-K on October 31, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-10-30

CP's 10-Q filing dated October 30, 2025, refers investors to the company's annual 10-K report for comprehensive details regarding long-term debt. Specific risk factors are outlined in Item 1A, although no detailed financial highlights were included in the provided excerpts.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-29

Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) likely reported its third-quarter financial results in this 8-K filing.

8-K
8-K
2025-08-22
8-K
8-K
2025-07-31
10-Q
10-Q
2025-07-31
8-K
8-K
2025-07-30
8-K
8-K
2025-06-12
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
11 analysts
Bernstein
2026-03-31
Maintains
Market Perform Market Perform
Barclays
2026-03-27
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Citigroup
2026-01-30
Maintains
Buy Buy
RBC Capital
2026-01-29
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Evercore ISI Group
2026-01-29
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Evercore ISI Group
2025-10-30
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
RBC Capital
2025-10-30
Maintains
Outperform Outperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning CP from our newsroom.

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