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CRGY

NEUTRAL
$12.73 Live
Crescent Energy Company · NYSE
Target $16.71 (+31.3%)
$7.68 52W Range $14.02

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 25, 2026
Market cap
$4.17B
P/E
23.57
ROE
3.5%
Profit margin
3.7%
Debt/Equity
1.07
Dividend yield
3.77%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
80%
CRGY presents a conflicted profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating stable but mediocre financial health. While the stock trades below its Graham Number ($13.82), suggesting defensive value, it trades at a significant premium to its growth-based intrinsic value ($3.78). Severe year-over-year EPS contraction (-103.8%) and a dangerously high dividend payout ratio (88.89%) offset the bullish analyst consensus and low forward P/E. The technical trend is currently bearish (10/100), suggesting a loss of momentum despite strong 1-year gains.

Key Strengths

Trading below Graham Number ($13.82), indicating defensive undervaluation
Price-to-Book ratio of 0.81 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to assets
Strong 1-year price performance (+57.3%)
Low forward P/E (5.85) suggests expectations of significant earnings recovery
Current ratio of 1.48 indicates adequate short-term liquidity

Key Risks

Severe earnings collapse with YoY EPS growth of -103.8%
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 88.89%
Negative revenue growth (-1.20% YoY) indicating stagnation
Extreme earnings volatility with frequent and large misses relative to estimates
Bearish technical trend (10/100) indicating a potential trend reversal
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$11.25
-11.6% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
45
Moderate
Value
65
Future
30
Past
45
Health
50
Dividend
35
AI Verdict
Speculative Value
Key drivers: Asset-based valuation (P/B, Graham), Earnings volatility, Dividend sustainability, Technical breakdown
Confidence
85%
Value
65/100

Strong defensive value via Graham Number, but poor growth-adjusted value.

Positives
  • P/B < 1.0
  • Price < Graham Number
Watchpoints
  • Price >> Intrinsic Value ($3.78)
  • High trailing P/E (23.57)
Future
30/100

Growth metrics are currently negative across both YoY and Q/Q horizons.

Positives
  • Low forward P/E suggests recovery
Watchpoints
  • Negative revenue growth
  • Crashing EPS growth
Past
45/100

Price action has decoupled from fundamental earnings stability.

Positives
  • Strong 1Y and 6M price returns
Watchpoints
  • Highly inconsistent earnings track record
  • Recent quarterly surprise of -119.8%
Health
50/100

Financial health is stable but lacks the strength of a high F-Score.

Positives
  • Current ratio > 1.0
  • Debt/Equity (1.07) is below sector average (1.50)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is only marginally stable
  • Quick ratio (0.60) is low
Dividend
35/100

Dividend is at high risk if earnings do not recover rapidly.

Positives
  • Respectable yield of 3.77%
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 88.89% leaves little room for error
  • Low dividend strength score (35/100)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$12.73
Analyst Target
$16.71
Upside/Downside
+31.3%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for CRGY and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-24
CRG
Crescent Energy Company
Primary
5Y
-8.5%
3Y
+29.9%
1Y
+57.3%
6M
+55.5%
1M
-5.6%
1W
+7.8%
PTE
Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+95.1%
3Y
+0.2%
1Y
+89.6%
6M
+79.7%
1M
-1.5%
1W
+6.9%
CSA
Cosan S.A.
Peer
5Y
-72.4%
3Y
-63.5%
1Y
-25.9%
6M
-7.5%
1M
-1.9%
1W
-2.6%
CNR
Core Natural Resources, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+869.3%
3Y
+52.0%
1Y
+14.7%
6M
+3.6%
1M
-22.4%
1W
-0.2%
BTU
Peabody Energy Corporation
Peer
5Y
+1129.6%
3Y
+41.6%
1Y
+99.3%
6M
+128.8%
1M
+23.3%
1W
+4.4%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
23.57
Forward P/E
5.85
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.81
P/S Ratio
1.17
EV/Revenue
2.71
EV/EBITDA
5.09
Market Cap
$4.17B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 3.71%
Operating Margin 5.46%
Gross Margin 55.65%
ROE 3.51%
ROA 2.93%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -1.2%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth -1.17%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.07
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.48
Good
Quick Ratio
0.6
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.03

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.9B
Gross Margin
67.4%
Op. Margin
2.2%
Net Margin
-1.0%
Total Assets
$12.4B
Liabilities
$7.3B
Equity
$5.2B
Debt/Equity
1.41x
Operating CF
$0.4B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.2B
FCF Yield
63%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-04
$N/A
2026-02-25
$-0.03
-119.8% surprise
2025-11-03
$0.35
+11.5% surprise
2025-08-04
$0.43
+36.9% surprise

Energy Sector Comparison

Comparing CRGY against 73 companies in the Energy sector (4 bullish, 26 neutral, 43 bearish)
P/E Ratio
23.57
This Stock
vs
32.49
Sector Avg
-27.4% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
3.51%
This Stock
vs
4.94%
Sector Avg
-29.0% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
3.71%
This Stock
vs
7.04%
Sector Avg
-47.2% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.07
This Stock
vs
1.48
Sector Avg
-27.4% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-1.2%
This Stock
vs
26.9%
Sector Avg
-104.5% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.48
This Stock
vs
2.27
Sector Avg
-34.8% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

ROWLAND MARCUS C
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-01
17,411 shares
ALBRECHT WILLIAM E.
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-01
17,411 shares
FARLEY CLAIRE SCOBEE
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-01
17,411 shares
GOFF JOHN C
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-01
31,012 shares
GWIN ROBERT GUYER
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-01
17,411 shares
MCCAIN ELLIS LON
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-01
17,411 shares
HOLLINGSWORTH JARVIS V
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-01
17,411 shares
SIMON KAREN JO
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-01
17,411 shares
BROWN BEVIN
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-01
17,411 shares
LANGENHAGEN CONRAD V.
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-01
17,411 shares
ROWLAND MARCUS C
Director
Gift
2025-12-17
11,000 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
14 analysts
Wells Fargo
2026-04-23
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Keybanc
2026-04-02
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Johnson Rice
2026-03-25
down
Buy Accumulate
Wells Fargo
2026-03-17
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Piper Sandler
2026-03-12
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Piper Sandler
2026-03-05
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Wells Fargo
2026-01-27
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
BMO Capital
2026-01-09
init
Market Perform
Mizuho
2025-12-12
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Piper Sandler
2025-11-18
Maintains
Overweight Overweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning CRGY from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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