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CTRA

NEUTRAL
$33.53 Live
Coterra Energy Inc. · NYSE
Target $37.38 (+11.5%)
$22.33 52W Range $36.88

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 26, 2026
Market cap
$25.46B
P/E
14.97
ROE
12.3%
Profit margin
24.6%
Debt/Equity
0.27
Dividend yield
2.62%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
80%
CTRA presents a stable financial profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a very healthy Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27. While the stock is trading near its Graham Number ($31.37) and well below its growth-based intrinsic value ($66.08), it is currently facing a severe bearish technical trend (10/100) and a poor recent earnings track record (1/4 beats). The primary catalyst is the pending merger with Devon Energy, which introduces significant transformative potential but also execution risk. Overall, the company is fundamentally sound but currently lacks positive price momentum and consistent earnings surprises.

Key Strengths

Very low leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27
Strong profitability margins (Gross Margin 74.12%, Operating Margin 33.33%)
Significant revenue growth (YoY 23.40%, Q/Q 40.43%)
Sustainable dividend profile with a conservative 39.29% payout ratio
Strategic merger with Devon Energy providing potential for massive synergies

Key Risks

Severe bearish technical trend (10/100 score)
Poor recent earnings performance (only 1 of last 4 quarters beat estimates)
High PEG ratio (44.67) suggesting current growth does not justify the valuation multiple
Exposure to volatile commodity prices and OPEC+ decisions
Merger execution risk and potential for delayed closing
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$48.73
+45.3% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
63
Strong
Value
72
Future
65
Past
50
Health
68
Dividend
60
AI Verdict
Stable but Stagnant
Key drivers: Merger with Devon Energy, Low Debt Profile, Bearish Technicals, Earnings Misses
Confidence
85%
Value
72/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/E of 14.97 is below sector average
  • Price is close to Graham Number ($31.37)
Watchpoints
  • PEG ratio is excessively high at 44.67
Future
65/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Strong top-line revenue growth
  • Merger synergies
Watchpoints
  • Negative YoY EPS growth (-20.4%)
Past
50/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Strong 5-year price appreciation (+164.7%)
Watchpoints
  • Recent quarterly earnings surprises are predominantly negative
Health
68/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Low Debt/Equity (0.27)
  • Stable Piotroski F-Score (4/9)
Watchpoints
  • Quick ratio slightly below 1.0 (0.98)
Dividend
60/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Sustainable payout ratio (39.29%)
Watchpoints
  • Moderate yield (2.62%) compared to some energy peers

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$33.53
Analyst Target
$37.38
Upside/Downside
+11.5%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for CTRA and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-24
CTR
Coterra Energy Inc.
Primary
5Y
+164.7%
3Y
+46.9%
1Y
+36.2%
6M
+44.6%
1M
-4.7%
1W
+8.6%
EXE
Expand Energy Corporation
Peer
5Y
+178.2%
3Y
+42.0%
1Y
+3.3%
6M
-6.9%
1M
-7.1%
1W
-5.5%
EC
Ecopetrol S.A.
Peer
5Y
+103.0%
3Y
+102.6%
1Y
+57.1%
6M
+51.0%
1M
-7.4%
1W
+1.9%
DVN
Devon Energy Corporation
Peer
5Y
+165.9%
3Y
+1.6%
1Y
+32.6%
6M
+39.1%
1M
+8.6%
1W
-3.7%
HAL
Halliburton Company
Peer
5Y
+110.8%
3Y
+17.6%
1Y
+71.9%
6M
+64.0%
1M
+0.4%
1W
-5.0%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
14.97
Forward P/E
11.43
PEG Ratio
44.67
P/B Ratio
1.72
P/S Ratio
3.64
EV/Revenue
4.2
EV/EBITDA
6.08
Market Cap
$25.46B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 24.56%
Operating Margin 33.33%
Gross Margin 74.12%
ROE 12.28%
ROA 6.71%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +23.4%
Earnings Growth +20.6%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +40.43%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +23.9%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.27
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.19
Good
Quick Ratio
0.98
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.15

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$2.0B
Gross Margin
37.4%
Op. Margin
29.1%
Net Margin
18.8%
Total Assets
$24.2B
Liabilities
$9.4B
Equity
$14.8B
Debt/Equity
0.63x
Operating CF
$1.0B
CapEx
$-0.6B
Free Cash Flow
$0.4B
FCF Yield
39%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-04
$N/A
2026-02-26
$0.39
-16.9% surprise
2025-11-03
$0.41
-4.8% surprise
2025-08-04
$0.48
+7.0% surprise

Energy Sector Comparison

Comparing CTRA against 87 companies in the Energy sector (7 bullish, 31 neutral, 49 bearish)
P/E Ratio
14.97
This Stock
vs
32.1
Sector Avg
-53.4% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
12.28%
This Stock
vs
5.34%
Sector Avg
+129.8% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
24.56%
This Stock
vs
7.45%
Sector Avg
+229.6% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.27
This Stock
vs
1.45
Sector Avg
-81.4% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
23.4%
This Stock
vs
23.86%
Sector Avg
-1.9% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.19
This Stock
vs
2.24
Sector Avg
-47.1% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

CONAWAY GREGORY F
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-24
26,230 shares
YOUNG SHANNON E. III
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-24
68,853 shares
SIRGO BLAKE A
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-24
52,460 shares
DESHAZER MICHAEL D
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-24
52,460 shares
ALEXANDER ANDREA
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-24
32,787 shares
SMITH KEVIN WILLIAM
Chief Technology Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-24
52,460 shares
VELA ADAM M
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-02-24
39,345 shares
JORDEN THOMAS E
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-24
180,328 shares
YOUNG SHANNON E. III
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-05
81,030 shares
SIRGO BLAKE A
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-05
29,348 shares
DESHAZER MICHAEL D
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-05
28,261 shares
SMITH KEVIN WILLIAM
Chief Technology Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-05
29,348 shares
VELA ADAM M
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-02-05
21,739 shares
JORDEN THOMAS E
Chief Executive Officer
Gift
2026-02-05
131,847 shares
JORDEN THOMAS E
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-05
217,391 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-04-24

Cotera Energy Inc. likely filed this 8-K to announce its first-quarter financial results for 2026.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-04-02
10-K
10-K
2026-02-27

CTRA is currently engaged in a merger with Devon Energy Corporation, with a strategic focus on achieving synergies and enhancing combined financial and operating results. Primary risks include the timing and successful closing of the merger transaction and the realization of anticipated benefits.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-26

Cotera Energy reported its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results for 2025.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-02-02

Cotera Energy Inc. reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-21

Cotera Energy Inc. likely filed this 8-K to report its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results for the fiscal year ending 2025.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-04

CTRA filed its 10-Q on November 4, 2025. The filing includes a section on Risk Factors under Item 1A, although specific financial highlights and risk details were not provided in the available excerpt.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-03

Cotera Energy Inc. reported its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-22

Cotera Energy Inc. likely reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-09-22
10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-05
8-K
8-K
2025-08-04
8-K
8-K
2025-07-21
10-Q
10-Q
2025-05-06
8-K
8-K
2025-05-05
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
21 analysts
Scotiabank
2026-04-22
Maintains
Sector Perform Sector Perform
Citigroup
2026-03-30
Maintains
Buy Buy
Mizuho
2026-03-17
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Barclays
2026-03-16
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Piper Sandler
2026-03-12
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Piper Sandler
2026-03-05
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
UBS
2026-03-05
Maintains
Buy Buy
Susquehanna
2026-02-03
Maintains
Positive Positive
Scotiabank
2026-02-03
down
Sector Outperform Sector Perform
Piper Sandler
2026-01-28
Maintains
Overweight Overweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning CTRA from our newsroom.

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