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CUK

NEUTRAL
$27.12 Live
Carnival Corporation & plc · NYSE
Target $35.0 (+29.1%)
$15.83 52W Range $33.72

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 26, 2026
Market cap
$37.58B
P/E
11.95
ROE
27.9%
Profit margin
11.5%
Debt/Equity
2.04
Dividend yield
0.55%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
CUK presents a complex profile with a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, but it currently trades at a significant premium to its Graham Number ($21.92) and Intrinsic Value ($15.89). While the company shows strong recovery metrics, including a high ROE of 27.85% and positive profit margins, its financial health is precarious with a critical Current Ratio of 0.30 and high Debt/Equity of 2.04. The disconnect between the bearish technical trend (0/100) and the optimistic analyst target ($35.00) suggests high volatility. Overall, the stock is fundamentally overvalued based on deterministic models despite strong operational recovery.

Key Strengths

Strong Return on Equity (ROE) of 27.85%
Healthy Gross Margin of 55.97%
Low P/E ratio (11.95) relative to the Consumer Cyclical sector average
Positive revenue growth (6.10% YoY)
Strong 1-year price performance (+61.4%)

Key Risks

Severe liquidity risk indicated by a Current Ratio of 0.30
High leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.04
Trading significantly above Intrinsic Value ($15.89) and Graham Number ($21.92)
Bearish technical trend (0/100) and negative insider sentiment
High sensitivity to macroeconomic shocks given the travel industry nature
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$20.5
-24.4% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
46
Moderate
Value
40
Future
55
Past
75
Health
30
Dividend
30
AI Verdict
Speculative Recovery
Key drivers: Operational recovery, Liquidity constraints, Valuation premium
Confidence
80%
Value
40/100

Current price $27.12 vs Graham $21.92 and Intrinsic $15.89

Positives
  • Low P/E compared to sector
Watchpoints
  • Price exceeds Graham Number
  • Price exceeds Intrinsic Value
Future
55/100

Growth is stable but not aggressive

Positives
  • Steady revenue growth
  • Positive PEG ratio (1.10)
Watchpoints
  • Modest YoY revenue growth (6.1%)
Past
75/100

Strong post-pandemic recovery trend

Positives
  • Massive 3-year price recovery (+238%)
  • Strong 1-year momentum
Watchpoints
  • Historical earnings volatility
Health
30/100

High bankruptcy risk profile due to liquidity and leverage

Positives
  • Piotroski score is stable (4/9)
Watchpoints
  • Critical Current Ratio (0.30)
  • High Debt/Equity (2.04)
Dividend
30/100

Dividend is a non-factor for total return

Positives
  • Very low payout ratio (6.61%)
Watchpoints
  • Negligible yield (0.55%)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$27.12
Analyst Target
$35.0
Upside/Downside
+29.1%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for CUK and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-24
CUK
Carnival Corporation & plc
Primary
5Y
+14.5%
3Y
+238.0%
1Y
+61.4%
6M
+2.7%
1M
+5.6%
1W
-7.0%
CCL
Carnival Corporation & plc
Peer
5Y
-0.9%
3Y
+204.6%
1Y
+46.0%
6M
-7.2%
1M
+5.6%
1W
-7.0%
CPN
Coupang, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-55.1%
3Y
+30.7%
1Y
-11.8%
6M
-34.2%
1M
+9.1%
1W
-4.8%
TCO
Trip.com Group Limited
Peer
5Y
+45.3%
3Y
+51.1%
1Y
-0.4%
6M
-22.9%
1M
+7.7%
1W
+6.3%
YUM
Yum! Brands, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+56.1%
3Y
+28.0%
1Y
+11.1%
6M
+1.6%
1M
+3.1%
1W
-0.1%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
11.95
Forward P/E
10.76
PEG Ratio
1.1
P/B Ratio
2.88
P/S Ratio
1.39
EV/Revenue
2.33
EV/EBITDA
8.65
Market Cap
$37.58B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 11.48%
Operating Margin 9.83%
Gross Margin 55.97%
ROE 27.85%
ROA 5.52%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +6.1%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +6.11%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
2.04
High debt
Current Ratio
0.3
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.17
Poor
Cash/Share
$1.03

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q1 2026

Revenue
$6.2B
Gross Margin
24.8%
Op. Margin
9.8%
Net Margin
4.2%
Total Assets
$51.6B
Liabilities
$38.5B
Equity
$13.0B
Debt/Equity
2.96x
Operating CF
$1.3B
CapEx
$-0.6B
Free Cash Flow
$0.7B
FCF Yield
55%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-06-24
$N/A
2025-06-24
$0.35
+59.1% surprise
2020-06-18
$-3.3
-84.4% surprise
2019-03-26
$0.49
+13.9% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing CUK against 353 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (23 bullish, 111 neutral, 219 bearish)
P/E Ratio
11.95
This Stock
vs
34.01
Sector Avg
-64.9% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
27.85%
This Stock
vs
-48.88%
Sector Avg
-157.0% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
11.48%
This Stock
vs
-6.31%
Sector Avg
-281.9% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
2.04
This Stock
vs
1.54
Sector Avg
+32.4% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
6.1%
This Stock
vs
30.61%
Sector Avg
-80.1% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.3
This Stock
vs
2.42
Sector Avg
-87.6% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

BAND SIR JONATHON
Director
Sell
2026-04-01
12,000 shares · $314,266
WEINSTEIN JOSHUA IAN
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-10
635,820 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning CUK from our newsroom.

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