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CVE

BULLISH
$26.29 Live
Cenovus Energy Inc. · NYSE
Target $28.59 (+8.7%)
$11.6 52W Range $27.65

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 26, 2026
Market cap
$49.42B
P/E
16.75
ROE
12.8%
Profit margin
7.9%
Debt/Equity
0.45
Dividend yield
2.18%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
75%
Cenovus Energy presents a compelling value opportunity, characterized by a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 (Stable) and a current price ($26.29) that sits significantly below its growth-based intrinsic value of $46.32. While the technical trend is currently bearish (10/100) and revenue growth is negative, the company's financial health is superior to sector averages, specifically regarding its low Debt/Equity ratio of 0.45 compared to the sector's 1.46. Explosive earnings growth and a low forward P/E of 10.89 suggest the market is underpricing the company's operational efficiency and profitability recovery.

Key Strengths

Strong balance sheet with Debt/Equity (0.45) far below sector average (1.46)
Significant undervaluation relative to intrinsic value ($46.32)
Exceptional earnings growth (YoY +596.60%) and consistent recent earnings beats
Superior ROE (12.80%) compared to the energy sector average (5.04%)
Sustainable dividend payout ratio (36.28%) providing a safety buffer

Key Risks

Negative revenue growth (-15.10% YoY) indicating potential top-line headwinds
Strongly bearish short-term technical trend (10/100)
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates only stable, not strong, financial health
High sensitivity to volatile oil and gas commodity pricing
Low analyst coverage (only 2 analysts) reducing the reliability of the 'strong_buy' consensus
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$33.58
+27.7% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
70
Strong
Value
85
Future
60
Past
80
Health
65
Dividend
60
AI Verdict
Undervalued Growth Recovery
Key drivers: Low relative valuation (P/E vs Sector), Strong leverage profile, Massive EPS surprise trend
Confidence
80%
Value
85/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/E of 16.75 is well below sector average of 32.15
  • Price is significantly below intrinsic value of $46.32
Watchpoints
  • Trading above the defensive Graham Number ($20.83)
Future
60/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Forward P/E (10.89) suggests expected earnings growth
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth is trending negative both YoY and Q/Q
Past
80/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 1Y price change of +120.7%
  • Strong track record of beating earnings estimates in recent quarters
Watchpoints
  • Historical volatility in EPS (significant swings between 2020-2022)
Health
65/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Very low Debt/Equity ratio
  • Healthy Current Ratio (1.57)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score is only 4/9
Dividend
60/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Low payout ratio (36.28%) ensures sustainability
Watchpoints
  • Modest yield (2.18%) compared to some high-yield energy peers

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$26.29
Analyst Target
$28.59
Upside/Downside
+8.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for CVE and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-24
CVE
Cenovus Energy Inc.
Primary
5Y
+286.1%
3Y
+67.1%
1Y
+120.7%
6M
+54.9%
1M
+1.4%
1W
+7.3%
CCJ
Cameco Corporation
Peer
5Y
+650.9%
3Y
+370.8%
1Y
+178.8%
6M
+38.9%
1M
+12.0%
1W
+1.2%
FAN
Diamondback Energy, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+190.8%
3Y
+47.9%
1Y
+22.1%
6M
+34.9%
1M
+7.5%
1W
-2.5%
BKR
Baker Hughes Company
Peer
5Y
+215.2%
3Y
+116.8%
1Y
+37.9%
6M
+26.3%
1M
-6.6%
1W
-3.3%
KMI
Kinder Morgan, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+168.4%
3Y
+73.3%
1Y
+7.0%
6M
-0.2%
1M
+0.4%
1W
+3.3%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
16.75
Forward P/E
10.89
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.14
P/S Ratio
0.99
EV/Revenue
1.23
EV/EBITDA
6.4
Market Cap
$49.42B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 7.91%
Operating Margin 9.5%
Gross Margin 21.48%
ROE 12.8%
ROA 4.61%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -15.1%
Earnings Growth +596.6%
Q/Q Revenue Growth -8.27%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +539.7%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.45
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.57
Good
Quick Ratio
0.99
Poor
Cash/Share
$1.46

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$13.9B
Gross Margin
20.0%
Op. Margin
8.2%
Net Margin
6.7%
Total Assets
$63.4B
Liabilities
$31.8B
Equity
$31.6B
Debt/Equity
1.01x
Operating CF
$2.4B
CapEx
$-1.4B
Free Cash Flow
$1.0B
FCF Yield
44%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-02-19
$0.36
+32.5% surprise
2025-10-31
$0.55
+60.8% surprise
2025-07-31
$0.25
+203.4% surprise

Energy Sector Comparison

Comparing CVE against 87 companies in the Energy sector (7 bullish, 31 neutral, 49 bearish)
P/E Ratio
16.75
This Stock
vs
32.1
Sector Avg
-47.8% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
12.8%
This Stock
vs
5.34%
Sector Avg
+139.6% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
7.91%
This Stock
vs
7.45%
Sector Avg
+6.1% (Better)
Debt to Equity
0.45
This Stock
vs
1.45
Sector Avg
-69.0% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-15.1%
This Stock
vs
23.86%
Sector Avg
-163.3% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.57
This Stock
vs
2.24
Sector Avg
-30.2% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Mckenzie (Jonathan Michael)
Senior Officer of Issuer
Option Exercise
2026-04-06
3,800 shares · $101,251
Mckenzie (Jonathan Michael)
Senior Officer of Issuer
Disposi...
2026-04-06
3,800 shares · $101,251
Mckenzie (Jonathan Michael)
Senior Officer of Issuer
Option Exercise
2026-04-06
10,540 shares · $280,848
Mckenzie (Jonathan Michael)
Senior Officer of Issuer
Disposi...
2026-04-06
10,540 shares · $280,848
Mckenzie (Jonathan Michael)
Senior Officer of Issuer
Option Exercise
2026-04-06
10,100 shares · $269,074
Mckenzie (Jonathan Michael)
Senior Officer of Issuer
Disposi...
2026-04-06
10,100 shares · $269,074
Mckenzie (Jonathan Michael)
Senior Officer of Issuer
Stock Award
2026-04-06
45,000 shares
Mckenzie (Jonathan Michael)
Senior Officer of Issuer
Disposi...
2026-04-06
45,000 shares · $1,198,215
Sixt (Frank John)
Director of Issuer
Buy
2026-03-31
356 shares · $51
Cenovus Energy Inc.
Issuer
Buy
2026-03-30
545,411 shares · $14,679,191
Cenovus Energy Inc.
Issuer
Stock Award
2026-03-30
545,411 shares
Mckenzie (Jonathan Michael)
Senior Officer of Issuer
Stock Award
2026-03-30
30,186 shares
Mckenzie (Jonathan Michael)
Senior Officer of Issuer
Disposi...
2026-03-30
30,186 shares · $824,923
Cenovus Energy Inc.
Issuer
Buy
2026-03-27
552,260 shares · $14,711,101
Cenovus Energy Inc.
Issuer
Stock Award
2026-03-27
552,260 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
2 analysts
Goldman Sachs
2026-03-12
Maintains
Buy Buy
RBC Capital
2026-02-20
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
RBC Capital
2026-02-18
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
RBC Capital
2025-11-17
Maintains
Outperform Outperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning CVE from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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