CVX Chevron Corporation - Fundamental Analysis
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CVX Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Energy
Oil & Gas Integrated
Current Price
Live
$166.26
Analyst Target
$172.66
+3.8%
Upside
52W High
$169.37
52W Low
$132.04
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 17, 2026
Market cap
$334.98B
P/E
23.38
ROE
7.3%
Profit margin
6.8%
Debt/Equity
0.21
Dividend yield
4.12%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
68%
CVX exhibits strong financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, indicating solid operational performance, but lacks an Altman Z-Score for distress risk assessment. The stock trades above its Graham Number of $122.81 at $166.26, reflecting a premium valuation despite declining earnings and revenue. While dividend yield is attractive at 4.12%, the 95.08% payout ratio raises sustainability concerns. Insider selling and weak technical trends counterbalance analyst buy recommendations and recent earnings beat trends.
Key Strengths
Strong Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 suggests robust financial health and operational efficiency
Low Debt/Equity ratio of 0.21 indicates conservative capital structure and low leverage risk
Attractive dividend yield of 4.12% provides income appeal in the energy sector
Market leader with large market cap ($334.98B) offering stability and liquidity
Recent quarterly earnings have beaten estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters
Key Risks
Stock trades significantly above Graham Number ($122.81) at $166.26, suggesting overvaluation
YoY earnings growth down -26.60% and revenue declining -1.40%, signaling fundamental weakness
High payout ratio of 95.08% threatens dividend sustainability amid earnings volatility
Insider selling activity totaling $142.95M in the last 6 months reflects bearish sentiment from executives
Technical trend score of 10/100 indicates strong bearish momentum near term
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$122.81
-26.1% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
58
Moderate
45
40
70
80
55
AI Verdict
Neutral with value concerns and mixed signals
Key drivers: Piotroski strength vs. valuation premium, Dividend appeal vs. payout risk, Analyst optimism vs. insider skepticism
Confidence
70%
Value
45/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- P/E of 23.38 in line with sector average (19.72)
- Price/Book of 1.76 is moderate for energy sector
Watchpoints
- Current price 35% above Graham Number ($122.81)
- No PEG ratio due to negative growth, limiting growth-adjusted valuation
Future
40/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Most recent Q/Q EPS growth of +2.8% shows slight rebound
Watchpoints
- YoY earnings down -26.60%
- Revenue growth negative at -1.40%
- No forward PEG to assess growth expectations
Past
70/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Long history of earnings beats: 3 of last 4 quarters above estimates
- Strong earnings surprises in prior years (e.g., +35% in Q3 2021)
Watchpoints
- Recent misses in Q3 2023 (-17.1%) and Q1 2024 (-14.9%) indicate volatility
Health
80/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicates strong financial health
- Debt/Equity of 0.21 is low, reducing solvency risk
- Current ratio of 1.15 shows short-term liquidity adequacy
Watchpoints
- Quick ratio of 0.72 below 1.0 signals potential liquidity strain if inventory cannot be liquidated
Dividend
55/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend yield of 4.12% is above average for the sector
- Long-standing dividend history typical of integrated oil majors
Watchpoints
- Payout ratio of 95.08% is dangerously high, leaving little room for earnings downturns
- Dividend Strength score of 40/100 reflects sustainability concerns
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$166.26
Analyst Target
$172.66
Upside/Downside
+3.8%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for CVX and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-16
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
CVX
Chevron Corporation
Primary
|
+117.6% | +4.5% | +9.2% | +13.3% | +11.2% | +2.6% |
|
COP
ConocoPhillips
Peer
|
+155.6% | -9.9% | -3.8% | +9.0% | +3.4% | +0.7% |
|
XOM
Exxon Mobil Corporation
Peer
|
+225.4% | +27.5% | +21.0% | +22.7% | +10.6% | +4.2% |
|
BP
BP p.l.c.
Peer
|
+103.5% | +21.2% | +23.0% | +16.7% | +6.5% | +3.2% |
|
SLB
SLB N.V.
Peer
|
+104.7% | -13.8% | +17.3% | +42.5% | +21.3% | +3.4% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
23.38
Forward P/E
22.45
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.76
P/S Ratio
1.78
EV/Revenue
1.98
EV/EBITDA
9.93
Market Cap
$334.98B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
6.77%
Operating Margin
9.85%
Gross Margin
40.6%
ROE
7.32%
ROA
4.05%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-1.4%
Earnings Growth
-26.6%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-21.1%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.21
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.15
Good
Quick Ratio
0.72
Poor
Cash/Share
$3.84
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-01-30
$N/A
2025-10-31
$1.82
+18.8% surprise
2025-08-01
$1.77
+1.7% surprise
2025-05-02
$2.18
+1.3% surprise
Energy Sector Comparison
Comparing CVX against 26 companies in the Energy sector
(0 bullish, 20 neutral, 6 bearish)
P/E Ratio
23.38
This Stock
vs
23.13
Sector Avg
+1.1%
(Premium)
Return on Equity (ROE)
7.32%
This Stock
vs
7.95%
Sector Avg
-8.0%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
6.77%
This Stock
vs
8.82%
Sector Avg
-23.3%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.21
This Stock
vs
0.68
Sector Avg
-68.6%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-1.4%
This Stock
vs
4.1%
Sector Avg
-134.2%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.15
This Stock
vs
1.18
Sector Avg
-2.7%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
CVX
Chevron Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $334.98B | 23.38 | 7.3% | 6.8% | $166.26 | |
|
COP
ConocoPhillips
|
NEUTRAL | $122.63B | 13.87 | 15.4% | 14.4% | $98.19 | |
|
XOM
Exxon Mobil Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $553.75B | 18.88 | 11.4% | 9.2% | $129.89 | |
|
BP
BP p.l.c.
|
NEUTRAL | $93.78B | 57.08 | 3.6% | 0.8% | $36.53 | |
|
SLB
SLB N.V.
|
NEUTRAL | $69.81B | 18.18 | 15.2% | 10.3% | $46.73 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 | KNOWLES ALANA K. | Officer | Sale | 3,200 | $537,600 |
| 2026-01-14 | KNOWLES ALANA K. | Officer | Option Exercise | 3,200 | $424,608 |
| 2026-01-05 | BONNER EIMEAR P | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 28,334 | $4,676,527 |
| 2026-01-05 | KNOWLES ALANA K. | Officer | Sale | 7,956 | $1,313,138 |
| 2026-01-05 | WIRTH MICHAEL K | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 320,700 | $52,271,978 |
| 2026-01-05 | KNOWLES ALANA K. | Officer | Option Exercise | 7,956 | $701,719 |
| 2026-01-05 | BONNER EIMEAR P | Chief Financial Officer | Option Exercise | 28,334 | $2,499,059 |
| 2026-01-05 | WIRTH MICHAEL K | Chief Executive Officer | Option Exercise | 320,700 | $29,454,263 |
| 2025-12-17 | NEFF ROBERT CLAY JR | Officer | Stock Award | 143 | - |
| 2025-12-17 | NELSON MARK A. | Officer | Stock Award | 269 | - |
| 2025-12-17 | KNOWLES ALANA K. | Officer | Stock Award | 86 | - |
| 2025-12-17 | BONNER EIMEAR P | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 102 | - |
| 2025-12-17 | GUSTAVSON JEFF B. | Officer | Stock Award | 46 | - |
| 2025-12-17 | BOOTH THOMAS RYDER | Chief Technology Officer | Stock Award | 122 | - |
| 2025-12-17 | WALZ ANDREW BENJAMIN | Officer | Stock Award | 72 | - |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
24 analysts
Jefferies
2026-01-14
Buy
Buy
Piper Sandler
2026-01-08
Overweight
Overweight
Freedom Capital Markets
2026-01-06
Hold
Sell
Citigroup
2026-01-05
Buy
Buy
Bernstein
2026-01-05
Market Perform
Market Perform
Mizuho
2025-12-12
Outperform
Outperform
B of A Securities
2025-12-11
Buy
Buy
HSBC
2025-12-01
Hold
Buy
Wells Fargo
2025-11-14
Overweight
Overweight
Piper Sandler
2025-11-13
Overweight
Overweight
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning CVX from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.