XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation - Fundamental Analysis
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XOM Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Energy
Oil & Gas Integrated
Current Price
Live
$129.89
Analyst Target
$130.5
+0.5%
Upside
52W High
$131.72
52W Low
$97.8
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 17, 2026
Market cap
$553.75B
P/E
18.88
ROE
11.4%
Profit margin
9.2%
Debt/Equity
0.16
Dividend yield
3.19%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
XOM's Advanced Deterministic Scorecard shows a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating stable but not strong financial health, while the Altman Z-Score is unavailable, limiting distress risk assessment. The stock trades above its Graham Number of $97.80 at $129.89, suggesting potential overvaluation on a defensive basis, though it aligns with analyst target of $130.50. Profitability metrics like ROE (11.42%) and ROA (5.11%) are solid, but declining YoY revenue and earnings growth (-5.10%, -8.30%) weigh on momentum. Insider activity is bearish with recent officer sales, yet the 3.19% dividend yield and low debt/equity of 0.16 support income appeal and balance sheet resilience.
Key Strengths
Strong brand and market position with $553.75B market cap, largest in sector coverage
Low debt/equity ratio of 0.16 indicates conservative capital structure
Attractive dividend yield of 3.19% with sustainable 57.56% payout ratio
Trading near analyst target price of $130.50, implying near-term price consensus
Historically strong 5-year price return of +225.4%, outperforming peers
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests suboptimal financial health, particularly in profitability and leverage trends
Declining YoY revenue (-5.10%) and earnings (-8.30%) indicate fundamental headwinds
Quick ratio of 0.76 signals potential short-term liquidity pressure
Bearish insider sentiment with net selling activity by officers in last 6 months
Technical trend score of 10/100 reflects weak near-term momentum despite recent price strength
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$97.8
-24.7% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
64
Strong
58
52
70
60
78
AI Verdict
Neutral with value constraints and modest growth concerns
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score of 4 limits health score, Valuation above Graham Number but supported by analyst target, Dividend strength offsets weak technical trend, Declining growth metrics cap future optimism, Insider selling pressures sentiment
Confidence
75%
Value
58/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- P/E of 18.88 below sector average of 19.72
- Price/Book of 2.10 in line with industry norms
Watchpoints
- Current price 32.7% above Graham Number of $97.80
- Intrinsic value (Formula) at $48.16 implies deep undervaluation only under growth pessimism
Future
52/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Most recent Q/Q EPS growth of +7.3% shows short-term rebound
- Analyst target implies 0.5% upside to $130.50
Watchpoints
- YoY revenue and earnings down -5.10% and -8.30%
- PEG Ratio N/A due to negative growth, limiting forward valuation
Past
70/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- 5-year price appreciation of +225.4% demonstrates long-term strength
- History of beating earnings estimates in volatile pattern (13 of 25 quarters beat)
Watchpoints
- Earnings surprise volatility: from -486.9% to +52.1%, indicating unpredictability
Health
60/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stability
- Debt/Equity of 0.16 is very low, reducing solvency risk
Watchpoints
- Piotroski score below 7 signals weaknesses in profitability and leverage trends
- Altman Z-Score unavailable, creating blind spot in distress risk modeling
Dividend
78/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend yield of 3.19% above market average
- Payout ratio of 57.56% is sustainable for energy sector
- Dividend Strength score of 50/100 reflects reliable but not exceptional growth
Watchpoints
- 5-Year Avg Yield unavailable, limiting trend analysis
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$129.89
Analyst Target
$130.5
Upside/Downside
+0.5%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for XOM and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-16
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
XOM
Exxon Mobil Corporation
Primary
|
+225.4% | +27.5% | +21.0% | +22.7% | +10.6% | +4.2% |
|
CVX
Chevron Corporation
Peer
|
+117.6% | +4.5% | +9.2% | +13.3% | +11.2% | +2.6% |
|
COP
ConocoPhillips
Peer
|
+155.6% | -9.9% | -3.8% | +9.0% | +3.4% | +0.7% |
|
BP
BP p.l.c.
Peer
|
+103.5% | +21.2% | +23.0% | +16.7% | +6.5% | +3.2% |
|
SLB
SLB N.V.
Peer
|
+104.7% | -13.8% | +17.3% | +42.5% | +21.3% | +3.4% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
18.88
Forward P/E
18.41
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.1
P/S Ratio
1.7
EV/Revenue
1.79
EV/EBITDA
9.46
Market Cap
$553.75B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
9.18%
Operating Margin
11.06%
Gross Margin
31.22%
ROE
11.42%
ROA
5.11%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-5.1%
Earnings Growth
-8.3%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-12.3%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.16
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.14
Good
Quick Ratio
0.76
Poor
Cash/Share
$3.28
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-01-30
$N/A
2025-10-31
$1.76
-1.6% surprise
2025-08-01
$1.64
+4.9% surprise
2025-05-02
$1.76
+1.2% surprise
Energy Sector Comparison
Comparing XOM against 26 companies in the Energy sector
(0 bullish, 20 neutral, 6 bearish)
P/E Ratio
18.88
This Stock
vs
23.13
Sector Avg
-18.4%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
11.42%
This Stock
vs
7.95%
Sector Avg
+43.7%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
9.18%
This Stock
vs
8.82%
Sector Avg
+4.1%
(Better)
Debt to Equity
0.16
This Stock
vs
0.68
Sector Avg
-76.8%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-5.1%
This Stock
vs
4.1%
Sector Avg
-224.5%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.14
This Stock
vs
1.18
Sector Avg
-4.0%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
XOM
Exxon Mobil Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $553.75B | 18.88 | 11.4% | 9.2% | $129.89 | |
|
CVX
Chevron Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $334.98B | 23.38 | 7.3% | 6.8% | $166.26 | |
|
COP
ConocoPhillips
|
NEUTRAL | $122.63B | 13.87 | 15.4% | 14.4% | $98.19 | |
|
BP
BP p.l.c.
|
NEUTRAL | $93.78B | 57.08 | 3.6% | 0.8% | $36.53 | |
|
SLB
SLB N.V.
|
NEUTRAL | $69.81B | 18.18 | 15.2% | 10.3% | $46.73 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-02 | GARLAND GREGORY C. | Director | Stock Award | 2,500 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | KARSNER ALEXANDER A | Director | Stock Award | 2,500 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | HOOLEY JOSEPH L. | Director | Stock Award | 2,500 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | HARRIS JOHN D. II | Director | Stock Award | 2,500 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | BRALY ANGELA F | Director | Stock Award | 2,500 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | KANDARIAN STEVEN A | Director | Stock Award | 2,500 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | UBBEN JEFFREY W | Director | Stock Award | 2,500 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | KELLNER LAWRENCE W. | Director | Stock Award | 2,500 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | POWELL DINA H | Director | Stock Award | 2,500 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | ANGELAKIS MICHAEL J | Director | Stock Award | 2,500 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | HIETALA KAISA | Director | Stock Award | 2,500 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | DREYFUS MARIA S | Director | Stock Award | 2,500 | - |
| 2025-12-18 | CHAPMAN NEIL A | Officer | Gift | 1,340 | - |
| 2025-12-17 | TALLEY DARRIN L | Officer | Sale | 3,000 | $351,570 |
| 2025-12-15 | TALLEY DARRIN L | Officer | Sale | 3,000 | $356,250 |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
25 analysts
Piper Sandler
2026-01-08
Overweight
Overweight
Freedom Capital Markets
2026-01-06
Hold
Sell
Bernstein
2026-01-05
Outperform
Outperform
TD Cowen
2025-12-12
Buy
Buy
Mizuho
2025-12-12
Neutral
Neutral
Wells Fargo
2025-12-11
Overweight
Overweight
B of A Securities
2025-12-11
Neutral
Neutral
Citigroup
2025-12-10
Neutral
Neutral
Jefferies
2025-12-10
Buy
Buy
Morgan Stanley
2025-12-10
Overweight
Overweight
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning XOM from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.