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DBD

NEUTRAL
$85.64 Live
Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated · NYSE
Target $96.67 (+12.9%)
$43.0 52W Range $89.05

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 26, 2026
Market cap
$2.98B
P/E
33.72
ROE
9.5%
Profit margin
2.5%
Debt/Equity
0.99
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
DBD presents a stark dichotomy between explosive earnings growth and concerning sentiment indicators. With a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, the company's financial health is categorized as stable but lacks strong momentum. While the stock currently trades at a premium to its Graham Number ($42.15) and Intrinsic Value ($74.93), the low forward P/E of 12.75 suggests the market is pricing in continued earnings acceleration. However, heavy insider liquidation and a bearish technical trend significantly offset the strong analyst 'strong_buy' consensus.

Key Strengths

Explosive YoY earnings growth of 815.40%
Strong earnings track record with 3/4 recent beats and high average surprise (39.13%)
Attractive Price/Sales ratio of 0.78, suggesting undervaluation relative to top-line revenue
Significant compression in Forward P/E (12.75) compared to Trailing P/E (33.72)
Consistent double-digit revenue growth (11.70% YoY)

Key Risks

Heavy insider selling totaling $92.42M by major beneficial owners
Current price ($85.64) exceeds both Graham and Intrinsic value estimates
Weak technical trend score (10/100) indicating bearish price action
Mediocre Piotroski F-Score (4/9) suggesting stagnant financial health improvements
Low Quick Ratio (0.73) indicating potential short-term liquidity pressure
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$78.5
-8.3% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
55
Moderate
Value
45
Future
88
Past
92
Health
50
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Speculative Growth
Key drivers: Earnings acceleration, Insider divestment, Valuation premium
Confidence
90%
Value
45/100

Trades at a premium to defensive fair value ($42.15) but looks cheap on a forward earnings basis.

Positives
  • Low Price/Sales
  • Low Forward P/E
Watchpoints
  • Price > Graham Number
  • Price > Intrinsic Value
Future
88/100

Growth metrics are the primary bullish driver for the stock.

Positives
  • Massive EPS growth
  • Strong revenue trajectory
  • Consistent earnings beats
Watchpoints
  • Sustainability of 800%+ growth is questionable
Past
92/100

Exceptional historical price appreciation over the last year.

Positives
  • 1Y return of +97.7%
  • Strong 3Y/5Y performance
Watchpoints
  • Recent 1W dip
Health
50/100

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates a stable but non-improving financial condition.

Positives
  • Current ratio > 1.0
  • Stable Piotroski score
Watchpoints
  • Debt/Equity near 1.0
  • Quick ratio below 1.0
Dividend
0/100

Company is not returning capital to shareholders via dividends.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend payments
  • 0% payout ratio

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$85.64
Analyst Target
$96.67
Upside/Downside
+12.9%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for DBD and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-24
DBD
Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated
Primary
5Y
+316.3%
3Y
+316.3%
1Y
+97.7%
6M
+45.8%
1M
+7.9%
1W
-3.5%
QLY
Qualys, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-21.9%
3Y
-34.5%
1Y
-31.1%
6M
-34.3%
1M
-13.9%
1W
+9.2%
RUN
Sunrun Inc.
Peer
5Y
-74.5%
3Y
-38.9%
1Y
+81.0%
6M
-36.4%
1M
-3.0%
1W
-6.6%
ACM
ACM Research, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+47.7%
3Y
+266.9%
1Y
+69.0%
6M
+55.3%
1M
-34.4%
1W
+3.2%
LIF
Life360, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+41.1%
3Y
+41.1%
1Y
+12.2%
6M
-63.5%
1M
-15.5%
1W
-5.8%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
33.72
Forward P/E
12.75
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.76
P/S Ratio
0.78
EV/Revenue
0.97
EV/EBITDA
8.19
Market Cap
$2.98B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 2.49%
Operating Margin 11.57%
Gross Margin 26.37%
ROE 9.54%
ROA 5.68%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +11.7%
Earnings Growth +815.4%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +11.66%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +785.7%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.99
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.3
Good
Quick Ratio
0.73
Poor
Cash/Share
$11.31

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$1.1B
Gross Margin
25.3%
Op. Margin
7.5%
Net Margin
4.5%
Total Assets
$3.9B
Liabilities
$2.7B
Equity
$1.1B
Debt/Equity
2.50x
Operating CF
$0.2B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.2B
FCF Yield
90%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-30
$N/A
2026-02-12
$2.75
+66.7% surprise
2025-11-05
$1.38
+47.9% surprise
2025-08-06
$0.6
+2.9% surprise

Technology Sector Comparison

Comparing DBD against 542 companies in the Technology sector (46 bullish, 183 neutral, 313 bearish)
P/E Ratio
33.72
This Stock
vs
83.93
Sector Avg
-59.8% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
9.54%
This Stock
vs
-35.44%
Sector Avg
-126.9% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
2.49%
This Stock
vs
-12.42%
Sector Avg
-120.0% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.99
This Stock
vs
0.7
Sector Avg
+40.9% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
11.7%
This Stock
vs
4573.41%
Sector Avg
-99.7% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.3
This Stock
vs
3.64
Sector Avg
-64.2% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

MILLSTREET CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
2026-04-16
112,305 shares · $9,554,388
MILLSTREET CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
2026-04-08
399,929 shares · $32,960,468
TIMKO THOMAS S.
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
15,308 shares
SESPLANKIS JEFFREY M
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
2,215 shares
MARQUEZ OCTAVIO
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
44,286 shares
MYERS JONATHAN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
9,448 shares
BAUR FRANK TOBIAS
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
7,589 shares
RADIGAN ELIZABETH CHRISTINE
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
6,607 shares
ZOSEL ANDREW JOSEPH
Chief Technology Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
6,561 shares
MILLSTREET CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
2026-01-15
500,000 shares · $34,000,000
MILLSTREET CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
2025-11-06
251,726 shares · $15,906,630
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
3 analysts
DA Davidson
2026-04-21
Maintains
Buy Buy
DA Davidson
2026-02-13
Maintains
Buy Buy
Wedbush
2026-02-13
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Wedbush
2026-02-09
reit
Outperform Outperform
Wedbush
2025-11-18
reit
Outperform Outperform
Wedbush
2025-11-06
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Wedbush
2025-10-28
reit
Outperform Outperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning DBD from our newsroom.

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