DE Deere & Company - Fundamental Analysis
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DE Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Industrials
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Current Price
Live
$514.4
Analyst Target
$528.26
+2.7%
Upside
52W High
$533.78
52W Low
$404.42
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 17, 2026
Market cap
$139.44B
P/E
27.82
ROE
20.4%
Profit margin
11.0%
Debt/Equity
2.48
Dividend yield
1.26%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
Deere & Company's Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable but not strong financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. The stock trades at a premium valuation with a P/E of 27.82, above sector average, despite declining earnings growth. Strong revenue momentum and solid historical earnings beats are offset by weakening profitability trends and negative insider sentiment. Analysts maintain a 'buy' recommendation, but technical indicators and insider selling suggest caution near current levels.
Key Strengths
Consistent quarterly earnings beats with an 88% beat rate over the last four quarters
Strong revenue growth of 12.6% YoY, outpacing the industrials sector average of 6.02%
Healthy balance sheet with current and quick ratios of 2.26 and 2.03, indicating solid short-term liquidity
High return on equity (20.43%) compared to sector peers, signaling efficient capital use
Attractive dividend payout ratio of 35.03%, providing sustainability despite modest yield
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests suboptimal financial health, particularly due to declining profitability and negative earnings growth
Earnings under pressure with YoY EPS down 13.6% and Q/Q EPS down 17.3%, raising concerns about near-term profitability
High valuation metrics including P/E of 27.82 and P/B of 5.36, exceeding sector medians and increasing downside risk
Bearish insider activity with $32.47M in executive sales and zero buys in the last six months
Technical trend score of 10/100 indicates weak price momentum approaching resistance near 52-week high
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$199.83
-61.2% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
58
Moderate
45
50
75
58
60
AI Verdict
Neutral with upside risk if earnings stabilize
Key drivers: Revenue growth and ROE strength, Valuation premium and earnings decline, Insider selling pressure, Analyst optimism vs technical weakness
Confidence
70%
Value
45/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Dividend yield above 1% with sustainable payout ratio
Watchpoints
- P/E of 27.82 significantly above Graham’s conservative threshold
- Price trades at 2.57x Graham Number ($199.83), indicating substantial overvaluation
- No PEG ratio due to negative earnings growth, limiting growth-adjusted valuation
Future
50/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Revenue growth remains strong at 12.6% YoY
- Forward P/E of 23.35 suggests some earnings recovery is priced in
Watchpoints
- Earnings declining YoY (-13.7%) and Q/Q (-14.5%)
- No PEG available due to negative growth, impairing future earnings confidence
Past
75/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Long history of earnings beats, including 24 of 25 quarters positive surprises
- Impressive EPS growth trajectory from 2020 to 2023, with multiple double-digit surprises
- Proven ability to exceed expectations during recovery cycles
Watchpoints
- Recent quarters show deceleration in EPS, reversing prior momentum
Health
58/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stability, not distress
- Current and quick ratios above 2.0 signal strong liquidity
Watchpoints
- Piotroski score below 7 indicates weaknesses in profitability and leverage trends
- Debt/Equity ratio of 2.48 is high, above sector average of 1.54
- No Altman Z-Score available limits distress risk verification
Dividend
60/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend payout ratio of 35.03% is sustainable
- Annual dividend rate of $6.48 provides income appeal
Watchpoints
- Dividend strength score of 40/100 reflects limited yield (1.26%)
- No 5-year average yield data to assess consistency
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$514.4
Analyst Target
$528.26
Upside/Downside
+2.7%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for DE and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-16
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
DE
Deere & Company
Primary
|
+86.1% | +22.4% | +18.8% | +3.6% | +7.3% | +5.4% |
|
ETN
Eaton Corporation plc
Peer
|
+225.4% | +125.9% | -1.6% | +7.4% | -7.7% | -5.7% |
|
UNP
Union Pacific Corporation
Peer
|
+19.2% | +14.9% | +0.0% | +3.3% | -3.1% | +0.5% |
|
LMT
Lockheed Martin Corporation
Peer
|
+95.7% | +41.3% | +23.2% | +27.4% | +22.7% | +7.3% |
|
HON
Honeywell International Inc.
Peer
|
+24.7% | +17.0% | +6.8% | -0.5% | +9.8% | +5.8% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
27.82
Forward P/E
23.35
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
5.36
P/S Ratio
3.06
EV/Revenue
4.32
EV/EBITDA
22.86
Market Cap
$139.44B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
11.02%
Operating Margin
12.38%
Gross Margin
26.96%
ROE
20.43%
ROA
3.88%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+12.6%
Earnings Growth
-13.7%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-14.5%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
2.48
High debt
Current Ratio
2.26
Strong
Quick Ratio
2.03
Excellent
Cash/Share
$25.53
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-19
$N/A
2025-11-26
$3.93
+2.5% surprise
2025-08-14
$4.75
+1.9% surprise
2025-05-15
$6.64
+17.8% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing DE against 122 companies in the Industrials sector
(6 bullish, 59 neutral, 57 bearish)
P/E Ratio
27.82
This Stock
vs
73.33
Sector Avg
-62.1%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
20.43%
This Stock
vs
7.84%
Sector Avg
+160.6%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
11.02%
This Stock
vs
57.86%
Sector Avg
-81.0%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
2.48
This Stock
vs
5.46
Sector Avg
-54.5%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
12.6%
This Stock
vs
22.89%
Sector Avg
-44.9%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
2.26
This Stock
vs
2.63
Sector Avg
-14.1%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
DE
Deere & Company
|
NEUTRAL | $139.44B | 27.82 | 20.4% | 11.0% | $514.4 | |
|
ETN
Eaton Corporation plc
|
BULLISH | $137.52B | 35.34 | 20.7% | 14.7% | $352.39 | |
|
UNP
Union Pacific Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $136.12B | 19.48 | 41.6% | 28.7% | $229.49 | |
|
LMT
Lockheed Martin Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $135.98B | 32.41 | 62.8% | 5.7% | $582.43 | |
|
HON
Honeywell International Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $147.84B | 23.14 | 34.6% | 15.1% | $219.39 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 | REED CORY J. | Officer | Sale | 12,000 | $6,120,000 |
| 2026-01-14 | REED CORY J. | Officer | Option Exercise | 12,000 | $2,036,400 |
| 2026-01-08 | MAY JOHN C. II | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 41,472 | $20,797,649 |
| 2026-01-08 | MAY JOHN C. II | Chief Executive Officer | Option Exercise | 41,472 | $10,568,310 |
| 2025-12-10 | WALKER KELLYE L | Officer | Stock Award | 1,919 | - |
| 2025-12-10 | MAY JOHN C. II | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 9,796 | - |
| 2025-12-10 | KALATHUR RAJESH | Chief Technology Officer | Stock Award | 1,919 | - |
| 2025-12-10 | PRYOR FELECIA J | Officer | Stock Award | 2,015 | - |
| 2025-12-10 | JEPSEN JOSHUA A | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 1,919 | - |
| 2025-12-10 | ROSE JUSTIN RYAN | Officer | Stock Award | 2,207 | - |
| 2025-12-10 | HINDMAN JAHMY J. | Chief Technology Officer | Stock Award | 1,919 | - |
| 2025-12-10 | KOVAR DEANNA M | Officer | Stock Award | 2,207 | - |
| 2025-12-10 | REED CORY J. | Officer | Stock Award | 2,015 | - |
| 2025-12-10 | CAMPBELL RYAN DAVID | Officer | Stock Award | 2,111 | - |
| 2025-12-09 | SIKES JAMES BRIAN | Director | Stock Award | 88 | - |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
23 analysts
Jefferies
2025-12-09
Hold
Hold
DA Davidson
2025-12-01
Buy
Buy
Oppenheimer
2025-11-28
Outperform
Outperform
Evercore ISI Group
2025-11-28
In-Line
In-Line
Truist Securities
2025-11-28
Buy
Buy
RBC Capital
2025-11-28
Outperform
Outperform
Wells Fargo
2025-11-14
Overweight
RBC Capital
2025-10-22
Outperform
UBS
2025-10-17
Neutral
Buy
JP Morgan
2025-10-14
Neutral
Neutral
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning DE from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.