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EGY

BEARISH
$6.1 Live
VAALCO Energy, Inc. · NYSE
Target $8.8 (+44.3%)
$3.14 52W Range $6.72

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 26, 2026
Market cap
$635.98M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-8.8%
Profit margin
-11.5%
Debt/Equity
0.33
Dividend yield
4.1%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
EGY exhibits severe fundamental weakness, highlighted by a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, indicating poor financial health. The company is struggling with negative profit margins (-11.52%) and a significant decline in year-over-year revenue (-25.20%). While analysts maintain a 'strong_buy' rating with a target of $8.80, this is sharply contradicted by a bearish technical trend (10/100) and an unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 92.59%. The disconnect between analyst optimism and deteriorating hard data suggests a high-risk profile.

Key Strengths

Low Debt/Equity ratio (0.33) compared to sector average (1.46)
Strong Gross Margin of 55.97%
Strong historical price performance over 1, 3, and 5-year horizons
Relatively low Price-to-Book ratio of 1.43
Positive analyst sentiment with a target price of $8.80

Key Risks

Critical financial health deterioration (Piotroski F-Score 2/9)
Negative Return on Equity (-8.76%) and Profit Margin (-11.52%)
Severe revenue contraction of -25.20% YoY
Liquidity risk evidenced by a Current Ratio of 0.69
Dividend sustainability risk due to a 92.59% payout ratio amid losses
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$4.8
-21.3% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
33
Weak
Value
40
Future
20
Past
55
Health
20
Dividend
30
AI Verdict
Fundamental Deterioration
Key drivers: Negative profitability, Revenue decline, Weak Piotroski score, Liquidity constraints
Confidence
90%
Value
40/100

High PEG and negative margins suggest the stock is overvalued relative to growth.

Positives
  • P/B ratio is moderate at 1.43
Watchpoints
  • PEG ratio of 3.98 is excessively high
  • Forward P/E of 21.79 is high given negative current earnings
Future
20/100

Growth metrics are trending sharply downward.

Positives
  • Analyst target price suggests potential upside
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth is -25.20%
  • YoY EPS growth is -128.6%
Past
55/100

Past price gains are not supported by recent earnings performance.

Positives
  • Strong 5Y (+208.7%) and 1Y (+89.5%) price returns
Watchpoints
  • Recent earnings track record is poor (1/4 beats)
  • Average surprise of -105.56% over last 4 quarters
Health
20/100

Low debt is offset by poor operational health and liquidity.

Positives
  • Low Debt/Equity ratio
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9
  • Current Ratio (0.69) and Quick Ratio (0.56) indicate liquidity stress
Dividend
30/100

Dividend is at high risk of cut given the lack of earnings to support it.

Positives
  • Yield of 4.10% is attractive on the surface
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 92.59% is unsustainable given negative profit margins

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$6.1
Analyst Target
$8.8
Upside/Downside
+44.3%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for EGY and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-24
EGY
VAALCO Energy, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+208.7%
3Y
+75.4%
1Y
+89.5%
6M
+60.8%
1M
-1.1%
1W
+14.7%
CLN
Clean Energy Fuels Corp.
Peer
5Y
-80.6%
3Y
-43.2%
1Y
+77.6%
6M
-4.2%
1M
+8.6%
1W
+2.4%
HNR
Hallador Energy Company
Peer
5Y
+660.0%
3Y
+61.9%
1Y
+21.6%
6M
-25.0%
1M
-19.7%
1W
-4.0%
HPK
HighPeak Energy, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-15.8%
3Y
-72.1%
1Y
-24.0%
6M
-3.5%
1M
+8.4%
1W
-8.1%
CLB
Core Laboratories Inc.
Peer
5Y
-37.7%
3Y
-16.6%
1Y
+50.7%
6M
+3.6%
1M
+10.1%
1W
+5.8%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
21.79
PEG Ratio
3.98
P/B Ratio
1.43
P/S Ratio
1.77
EV/Revenue
2.01
EV/EBITDA
4.54
Market Cap
$635.98M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -11.52%
Operating Margin 6.57%
Gross Margin 55.97%
ROE -8.76%
ROA 3.31%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -25.2%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth -25.2%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.33
Low debt
Current Ratio
0.69
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.56
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.56

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.1B
Gross Margin
18.8%
Op. Margin
2.6%
Net Margin
-64.4%
Total Assets
$0.9B
Liabilities
$0.5B
Equity
$0.4B
Debt/Equity
1.06x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
31%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-03-12
$-0.02
-200.0% surprise
2025-11-10
$-0.1
-150.0% surprise
2025-08-06
$0.02
+33.3% surprise

Energy Sector Comparison

Comparing EGY against 88 companies in the Energy sector (7 bullish, 32 neutral, 49 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-8.76%
This Stock
vs
5.41%
Sector Avg
-261.8% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-11.52%
This Stock
vs
7.5%
Sector Avg
-253.7% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.33
This Stock
vs
1.45
Sector Avg
-77.3% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-25.2%
This Stock
vs
23.66%
Sector Avg
-206.5% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.69
This Stock
vs
2.23
Sector Avg
-68.9% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-24

EGY filed a definitive proxy statement (DEF 14A) on April 24, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information to vote on corporate matters.

8-K
8-K
2026-04-21

EGY filed an 8-K on April 21, 2026, likely to announce its first-quarter financial results.

10-K
10-K
2026-03-16

EGY filed its annual 10-K on March 16, 2026, providing comprehensive disclosures on its business operations and financial condition. The filing includes detailed sections on risk factors and management's discussion and analysis of results of operations.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-12
8-K
8-K
2026-02-10

EGY likely filed this 8-K to announce its annual financial results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-15
10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-10

EGY submitted its quarterly 10-Q filing on November 10, 2025. While specific financial metrics were not provided in the excerpt, the filing includes a dedicated section for risk factors under Item 1A.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-10

EGY filed an 8-K on November 10, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-11

EGY filed its Form 10-Q on August 11, 2025. While the filing includes a section dedicated to risk factors, no specific financial highlights or detailed risk descriptions were provided in the available excerpts.

8-K
8-K
2025-08-08

EGY filed a current report on August 8, 2025, likely announcing its second-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-06-06
10-Q
10-Q
2025-05-12
8-K
8-K
2025-05-09
DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2025-04-25
8-K
8-K
2025-03-20
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
3 analysts
Freedom Capital Markets
2026-01-16
init
Buy
Freedom Broker
2026-01-16
init
Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning EGY from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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