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EOG EOG Resources, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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EOG Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Energy Oil & Gas E&P
Current Price Live
$105.32
Analyst Target
$134.34
+27.6% Upside
52W High
$136.44
52W Low
$101.59

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 17, 2026
Market cap
$57.5B
P/E
10.46
ROE
18.5%
Profit margin
24.4%
Debt/Equity
0.27
Dividend yield
3.78%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
65%
EOG Resources exhibits mixed financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating stable but not strong fundamentals. Profitability metrics are robust, with high margins and ROE above sector average, yet growth is negative year-over-year and insider sentiment is bearish. The stock trades below the analyst target price and offers a high dividend yield, but technical trend and recent price performance are weak. While valuation appears attractive relative to peers on P/E, declining earnings and lack of Altman Z-Score data limit confidence in long-term stability.

Key Strengths

Strong profitability with ROE of 18.48% and operating margin of 33.22%, well above sector averages
Low debt/equity ratio of 0.27, indicating conservative capital structure and strong balance sheet flexibility
High dividend yield of 3.78% with a sustainable payout ratio of 38.08%
Valuation is favorable compared to sector, trading at P/E of 10.46 vs. peer average of 19.81
Consistent history of beating earnings estimates, with 3 out of last 4 quarters showing positive surprises

Key Risks

Weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests deteriorating financial health and limited operational momentum
Negative revenue and earnings growth (YoY: -2.40% and -8.50%) raise concerns about future scalability
Bearish technical trend (0/100) and declining 1-year price performance (-21.1%) indicate weak market sentiment
Insider selling activity over the past 6 months signals lack of confidence from executives
Missing Altman Z-Score prevents full assessment of bankruptcy risk, creating analytical blind spot
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$112.33
+6.7% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
61
Strong
Value
75
Future
40
Past
68
Health
52
Dividend
70
AI Verdict
Neutral with upside potential if growth stabilizes
Key drivers: Attractive valuation relative to peers, Strong historical profitability, High dividend yield, Negative earnings momentum, Lack of Altman Z-Score
Confidence
65%
Value
75/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/E of 10.46 is significantly below sector average of 19.81
  • Current price ($105.32) below Graham Number ($112.33), suggesting undervaluation
  • Price/Book of 1.89 is reasonable for an energy producer
Watchpoints
  • No PEG ratio due to negative growth, limiting growth-adjusted valuation analysis
  • EV/EBITDA and other key multiples unavailable
Future
40/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Q/Q EPS growth of +16.8% in most recent quarter shows short-term rebound
  • Analyst target price implies 27.5% upside
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth YoY: -2.40%
  • Earnings growth YoY: -8.50%
  • Q/Q earnings growth: -12.10%
Past
68/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Long track record of beating earnings estimates (20+ quarters with positive or small negative surprises)
  • 5-year price return of +120.3% shows strong long-term capital appreciation
  • Consistent profitability over multiple cycles
Watchpoints
  • Recent 3-year and 1-year returns are negative (-10.1%, -21.1%)
  • Earnings peaked in early 2024 and have declined since
Health
52/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Current ratio of 1.62 and quick ratio of 1.29 indicate solid short-term liquidity
  • Debt/equity of 0.27 is low and supports financial resilience
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health trend
  • Altman Z-Score is missing, preventing full distress risk assessment
Dividend
70/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Dividend yield of 3.78% is high and attractive in current market
  • Payout ratio of 38.08% is sustainable given cash flow profile
  • Dividend strength score of 50/100 suggests moderate reliability
Watchpoints
  • No data on 5-year average yield or dividend growth history

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$105.32
Analyst Target
$134.34
Upside/Downside
+27.6%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for EOG and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-16
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
EOG
EOG Resources, Inc.
Primary
+120.3% -10.1% -21.1% -9.6% +0.6% +0.4%
VLO
Valero Energy Corporation
Peer
+263.6% +46.2% +35.8% +27.4% +12.6% -1.0%
PSX
Phillips 66
Peer
+124.8% +50.4% +19.9% +11.9% +4.8% -2.7%
KMI
Kinder Morgan, Inc.
Peer
+168.4% +73.3% +7.0% -0.2% +0.4% +3.3%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
10.46
Forward P/E
10.46
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.89
P/S Ratio
2.54
EV/Revenue
2.73
EV/EBITDA
5.25
Market Cap
$57.5B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 24.41%
Operating Margin 33.22%
Gross Margin 62.29%
ROE 18.48%
ROA 9.09%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -2.4%
Earnings Growth -8.5%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth -12.1%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.27
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.62
Good
Quick Ratio
1.29
Good
Cash/Share
$6.51

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-24
$N/A
2025-11-06
$2.71
+10.8% surprise
2025-08-07
$2.32
+5.2% surprise
2025-05-01
$2.87
+3.5% surprise

Energy Sector Comparison

Comparing EOG against 26 companies in the Energy sector (0 bullish, 20 neutral, 6 bearish)
P/E Ratio
10.46
This Stock
vs
23.13
Sector Avg
-54.8% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
18.48%
This Stock
vs
7.95%
Sector Avg
+132.3% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
24.41%
This Stock
vs
8.82%
Sector Avg
+176.8% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.27
This Stock
vs
0.68
Sector Avg
-60.3% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-2.4%
This Stock
vs
4.1%
Sector Avg
-158.6% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.62
This Stock
vs
1.18
Sector Avg
+37.2% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
EOG
EOG Resources, Inc.
NEUTRAL $57.5B 10.46 18.5% 24.4% $105.32
VLO
Valero Energy Corporation
NEUTRAL $56.99B 38.06 5.2% 1.3% $183.46
BKR
Baker Hughes Company
NEUTRAL $58.23B 22.66 14.6% 9.3% $58.92
PSX
Phillips 66
NEUTRAL $55.88B 37.27 5.6% 1.1% $138.28
KMI
Kinder Morgan, Inc.
NEUTRAL $61.0B 22.48 8.9% 16.6% $27.42

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2026-01-14 DONALDSON MICHAEL P Officer Gift 10,000 -
2025-12-31 LEITZELL JEFFREY R Chief Operating Officer Sale 2,000 $211,360
2025-12-31 DONALDSON MICHAEL P Officer Stock Award 103 $9,228
2025-12-31 JANSSEN ANN D Chief Financial Officer Stock Award 103 $9,228
2025-12-31 YACOB EZRA Y Chief Executive Officer Stock Award 103 $9,228
2025-12-15 CHANDLER JOHN D Director Stock Award 826 -
2025-10-31 GAUT CHARLES CHRISTOPHER Director Stock Award 178 $18,877
2025-10-31 CRISP CHARLES RICHARD Director Stock Award 386 $40,947
2025-10-31 KERR MICHAEL T. Director Stock Award 481 $50,999
2025-10-31 LEITZELL JEFFREY R Chief Operating Officer Stock Award 5 $604
2025-10-31 DONALDSON MICHAEL P Officer Stock Award 202 $21,422
2025-10-31 DUGLE LYNN A Director Stock Award 39 $4,145
2025-10-31 DANIELS ROBERT P Director Stock Award 592 $62,748
2025-10-31 CLARK JANET F Director Stock Award 430 $45,536
2025-10-31 YACOB EZRA Y Chief Executive Officer Stock Award 3 $348
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
30 analysts
Keybanc
2026-01-16
down
Overweight Sector Weight
RBC Capital
2026-01-13
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Bernstein
2026-01-05
Maintains
Market Perform Market Perform
Citigroup
2025-12-17
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
UBS
2025-12-12
Maintains
Buy Buy
Mizuho
2025-12-12
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Piper Sandler
2025-11-18
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Wells Fargo
2025-11-11
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Piper Sandler
2025-10-21
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Susquehanna
2025-10-20
Maintains
Positive Positive

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning EOG from our newsroom.

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