MPC
BEARISH
$236.84
Live
Marathon Petroleum Corporation · NYSE
Target $223.78
(-5.5%)
$115.1
52W Range
$255.77
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 01, 2026
Market cap
$69.81B
P/E
17.93
ROE
24.2%
Profit margin
3.0%
Debt/Equity
1.43
Dividend yield
1.56%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
70%
MPC shows bearish fundamentals based on deterministic rules. Financial strength is stable (F-Score 4/9). Concerns include weak profitability or high valuation.
Key Strengths
Strong ROE of 24.2%
Key Risks
Premium vs Graham Number ($132.08)
Low profit margin of 3.0%
Declining revenue (-1.2%)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$389.7
+64.5% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
44
Moderate
50
45
50
50
25
AI Verdict
MPC shows bearish fundamentals based on deterministic rules. Financial strength is stable (F-Score 4/9). Concerns include weak profitability or high valuation.
Key drivers: Strong ROE of 24.2%, Premium vs Graham Number ($132.08), Low profit margin of 3.0%
Confidence
30%
Value
50/100
Rule-based valuation (P/E + Graham).
Positives
- Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
- Trades above Graham Number.
Future
45/100
Rule-based growth outlook.
Positives
- Growth-implied value exceeds price.
Watchpoints
- Revenue is contracting.
Past
50/100
Historical performance + price trend: Shares moved +380.6% over 5Y and +65.0% over 1Y.
Positives
- ROE sits at 24.2%.
Watchpoints
- Thin profit margins.
Health
50/100
Balance sheet & liquidity (Z-Score: N/A).
Positives
- Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Dividend
25/100
Dividend policy fallback.
Positives
- Yield: 1.6%.
Watchpoints
- Weak dividend profile (Score: 25/100).
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$236.84
Analyst Target
$223.78
Upside/Downside
-5.5%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MPC and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-01
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
Primary
|
+380.6% | +86.2% | +65.0% | +24.4% | +12.9% | -1.8% |
|
PSX
Phillips 66
Peer
|
+156.1% | +90.0% | +46.5% | +32.8% | +9.7% | -3.1% |
|
VLO
Valero Energy Corporation
Peer
|
+279.5% | +90.0% | +85.0% | +45.1% | +11.8% | +2.5% |
|
EOG
EOG Resources, Inc.
Peer
|
+137.8% | +28.3% | +12.5% | +28.5% | +9.1% | -2.0% |
|
OXY
Occidental Petroleum Corporation
Peer
|
+142.7% | +0.7% | +29.5% | +32.0% | +15.5% | +0.8% |
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
Primary
5Y
+380.6%
3Y
+86.2%
1Y
+65.0%
6M
+24.4%
1M
+12.9%
1W
-1.8%
PSX
Phillips 66
Peer
5Y
+156.1%
3Y
+90.0%
1Y
+46.5%
6M
+32.8%
1M
+9.7%
1W
-3.1%
VLO
Valero Energy Corporation
Peer
5Y
+279.5%
3Y
+90.0%
1Y
+85.0%
6M
+45.1%
1M
+11.8%
1W
+2.5%
EOG
EOG Resources, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+137.8%
3Y
+28.3%
1Y
+12.5%
6M
+28.5%
1M
+9.1%
1W
-2.0%
OXY
Occidental Petroleum Corporation
Peer
5Y
+142.7%
3Y
+0.7%
1Y
+29.5%
6M
+32.0%
1M
+15.5%
1W
+0.8%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
17.93
Forward P/E
13.4
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
4.04
P/S Ratio
0.52
EV/Revenue
0.82
EV/EBITDA
11.55
Market Cap
$69.81B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
3.04%
Operating Margin
6.29%
Gross Margin
10.31%
ROE
24.19%
ROA
4.78%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-1.2%
Earnings Growth
+350.7%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+313.7%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
1.43
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.26
Good
Quick Ratio
0.71
Poor
Cash/Share
$12.46
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$32.6B
Gross Margin
8.9%
Op. Margin
5.7%
Net Margin
4.7%
Total Assets
$84.0B
Liabilities
$59.9B
Equity
$17.3B
Debt/Equity
3.46x
Operating CF
$3.1B
CapEx
$-1.2B
Free Cash Flow
$1.9B
FCF Yield
62%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-05
$N/A
2026-02-03
$4.07
+50.1% surprise
2025-11-04
$3.01
-4.9% surprise
2025-08-05
$3.96
+23.0% surprise
Energy Sector Comparison
Comparing MPC against 107 companies in the Energy sector
(9 bullish, 37 neutral, 61 bearish)
P/E Ratio
17.93
This Stock
vs
31.33
Sector Avg
-42.8%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
24.19%
This Stock
vs
3.08%
Sector Avg
+685.7%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
3.04%
This Stock
vs
5.34%
Sector Avg
-43.1%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.43
This Stock
vs
1.35
Sector Avg
+5.3%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
-1.2%
This Stock
vs
20.6%
Sector Avg
-105.8%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.26
This Stock
vs
2.09
Sector Avg
-39.6%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
|
BEARISH | $69.81B | 17.93 | 24.2% | 3.0% | $236.84 | |
|
PSX
Phillips 66
|
NEUTRAL | $70.43B | 16.29 | 15.4% | 3.3% | $175.75 | Compare |
|
VLO
Valero Energy Corporation
|
BEARISH | $71.86B | 31.79 | 8.3% | 2.0% | $240.33 | Compare |
|
EOG
EOG Resources, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $75.29B | 15.39 | 16.8% | 22.0% | $140.33 | Compare |
|
OXY
Occidental Petroleum Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $61.8B | 46.16 | 5.9% | 10.8% | $62.31 | Compare |
MPC
Marathon...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$69.8B
P/E
17.9
ROE
24.2%
Price
$236.84
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | HESSLING RICKY D. | Officer | Sale | 1,626 | $371,021 |
| 2026-03-12 | HESSLING RICKY D. | Officer | Sale | 2,847 | $644,401 |
| 2026-03-11 | LYON SHAWN M. | Officer | Gift | 1,186 | - |
| 2026-03-02 | HESSLING RICKY D. | Officer | Gift | 2,028 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | LYON SHAWN M. | Officer | Stock Award | 1,730 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | BENSON MOLLY R. | Officer | Stock Award | 2,544 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | BRZEZINSKI ERIN M | Officer | Stock Award | 509 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | HESSLING RICKY D. | Officer | Stock Award | 2,748 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | HENSCHEN MICHAEL A II | Officer | Stock Award | 2,290 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | KHOURY MARIA A. | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 2,443 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | MANNEN MARYANN T. | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 15,266 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | FLOERKE GREGORY SCOTT | Officer | Stock Award | 1,730 | - |
| 2026-02-12 | HENSCHEN MICHAEL A II | Officer | Gift | 511 | - |
| 2026-02-12 | HENSCHEN MICHAEL A II | Officer | Sale | 5,289 | $1,070,070 |
| 2026-01-30 | KHOURY MARIA A. | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 1,574 | - |
HESSLING RICKY D.
Officer
2026-03-13
1,626 shares
·
$371,021
HESSLING RICKY D.
Officer
2026-03-12
2,847 shares
·
$644,401
LYON SHAWN M.
Officer
2026-03-11
1,186 shares
HESSLING RICKY D.
Officer
2026-03-02
2,028 shares
LYON SHAWN M.
Officer
2026-02-27
1,730 shares
BENSON MOLLY R.
Officer
2026-02-27
2,544 shares
BRZEZINSKI ERIN M
Officer
2026-02-27
509 shares
HESSLING RICKY D.
Officer
2026-02-27
2,748 shares
HENSCHEN MICHAEL A II
Officer
2026-02-27
2,290 shares
KHOURY MARIA A.
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-27
2,443 shares
MANNEN MARYANN T.
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-27
15,266 shares
FLOERKE GREGORY SCOTT
Officer
2026-02-27
1,730 shares
HENSCHEN MICHAEL A II
Officer
2026-02-12
511 shares
HENSCHEN MICHAEL A II
Officer
2026-02-12
5,289 shares
·
$1,070,070
KHOURY MARIA A.
Chief Financial Officer
2026-01-30
1,574 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
18 analysts
Wells Fargo
2026-03-31
Overweight
Overweight
Raymond James
2026-03-25
Outperform
Outperform
Mizuho
2026-03-17
Neutral
Neutral
Goldman Sachs
2026-03-12
Buy
Buy
Citigroup
2026-02-09
Neutral
Neutral
BMO Capital
2026-02-09
Outperform
Outperform
Wells Fargo
2026-02-04
Overweight
Overweight
Citigroup
2026-01-14
Neutral
Neutral
Barclays
2026-01-13
Overweight
Overweight
Mizuho
2026-01-13
Neutral
Neutral
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning MPC from our newsroom.
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