VLO
BEARISH
$240.33
Live
Valero Energy Corporation · NYSE
Target $225.0
(-6.4%)
$99.0
52W Range
$258.43
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 01, 2026
Market cap
$71.86B
P/E
31.79
ROE
8.3%
Profit margin
2.0%
Debt/Equity
0.44
Dividend yield
1.94%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
70%
VLO shows bearish fundamentals based on deterministic rules. Financial strength is strong (F-Score 8/9). Concerns include weak profitability or high valuation.
Key Strengths
Strong financial trend (Piotroski F-Score: 8/9)
Low debt with D/E ratio of 0.44
Key Risks
High valuation with P/E of 31.8
Premium vs Graham Number ($116.19)
Low profit margin of 2.0%
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$223.02
-7.2% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
45
Moderate
35
35
40
75
40
AI Verdict
VLO shows bearish fundamentals based on deterministic rules. Financial strength is strong (F-Score 8/9). Concerns include weak profitability or high valuation.
Key drivers: Strong financial trend (Piotroski F-Score: 8/9), Low debt with D/E ratio of 0.44, High valuation with P/E of 31.8
Confidence
30%
Value
35/100
Rule-based valuation (P/E + Graham).
Positives
- Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
- Premium 31.8x trailing earnings multiple.
- Trades above Graham Number.
Future
35/100
Rule-based growth outlook.
Positives
- Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
- Revenue is contracting.
Past
40/100
Historical performance + price trend: Shares moved +279.5% over 5Y and +85.0% over 1Y.
Positives
- Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
- Thin profit margins.
Health
75/100
Balance sheet & liquidity (Z-Score: N/A).
Positives
- Low D/E ratio (0.44).
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Dividend
40/100
Dividend policy fallback.
Positives
- Moderate dividend profile (Score: 40/100).
- Yield: 1.9%.
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$240.33
Analyst Target
$225.0
Upside/Downside
-6.4%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for VLO and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-01
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
VLO
Valero Energy Corporation
Primary
|
+279.5% | +90.0% | +85.0% | +45.1% | +11.8% | +2.5% |
|
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
Peer
|
+380.6% | +86.2% | +65.0% | +24.4% | +12.9% | -1.8% |
|
EOG
EOG Resources, Inc.
Peer
|
+137.8% | +28.3% | +12.5% | +28.5% | +9.1% | -2.0% |
|
PSX
Phillips 66
Peer
|
+146.7% | +85.6% | +61.8% | +25.6% | -10.7% | +3.6% |
|
E
Eni S.p.A.
Peer
|
+200.8% | +113.0% | +93.3% | +48.7% | +0.5% | +3.6% |
VLO
Valero Energy Corporation
Primary
5Y
+279.5%
3Y
+90.0%
1Y
+85.0%
6M
+45.1%
1M
+11.8%
1W
+2.5%
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
Peer
5Y
+380.6%
3Y
+86.2%
1Y
+65.0%
6M
+24.4%
1M
+12.9%
1W
-1.8%
EOG
EOG Resources, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+137.8%
3Y
+28.3%
1Y
+12.5%
6M
+28.5%
1M
+9.1%
1W
-2.0%
PSX
Phillips 66
Peer
5Y
+146.7%
3Y
+85.6%
1Y
+61.8%
6M
+25.6%
1M
-10.7%
1W
+3.6%
E
Eni S.p.A.
Peer
5Y
+200.8%
3Y
+113.0%
1Y
+93.3%
6M
+48.7%
1M
+0.5%
1W
+3.6%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
31.79
Forward P/E
14.98
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
3.03
P/S Ratio
0.62
EV/Revenue
0.72
EV/EBITDA
11.03
Market Cap
$71.86B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
2.02%
Operating Margin
5.93%
Gross Margin
13.19%
ROE
8.3%
ROA
5.02%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-2.1%
Earnings Growth
+317.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+303.6%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.44
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.65
Good
Quick Ratio
1.03
Good
Cash/Share
$15.68
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$30.4B
Gross Margin
6.2%
Op. Margin
5.2%
Net Margin
3.7%
Total Assets
$58.0B
Liabilities
$31.4B
Equity
$23.7B
Debt/Equity
1.32x
Operating CF
$2.1B
CapEx
$-0.2B
Free Cash Flow
$1.8B
FCF Yield
89%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-04-30
$N/A
2026-01-29
$3.82
+16.9% surprise
2025-10-23
$3.66
+19.9% surprise
2025-07-24
$2.28
+29.1% surprise
Energy Sector Comparison
Comparing VLO against 113 companies in the Energy sector
(11 bullish, 37 neutral, 65 bearish)
P/E Ratio
31.79
This Stock
vs
31.31
Sector Avg
+1.5%
(Premium)
Return on Equity (ROE)
8.3%
This Stock
vs
3.03%
Sector Avg
+173.9%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
2.02%
This Stock
vs
5.63%
Sector Avg
-64.0%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.44
This Stock
vs
1.3
Sector Avg
-66.3%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-2.1%
This Stock
vs
20.28%
Sector Avg
-110.4%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.65
This Stock
vs
2.14
Sector Avg
-23.1%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
VLO
Valero Energy Corporation
|
BEARISH | $71.86B | 31.79 | 8.3% | 2.0% | $240.33 | |
|
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
|
BEARISH | $69.81B | 17.93 | 24.2% | 3.0% | $236.84 | Compare |
|
EOG
EOG Resources, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $75.29B | 15.39 | 16.8% | 22.0% | $140.33 | Compare |
|
PSX
Phillips 66
|
NEUTRAL | $66.21B | 15.29 | 15.4% | 3.3% | $165.13 | Compare |
|
E
Eni S.p.A.
|
NEUTRAL | $79.57B | 29.73 | 5.9% | 3.0% | $54.11 | Compare |
VLO
Valero Energy Corporation
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$71.9B
P/E
31.8
ROE
8.3%
Price
$240.33
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | FISHER ERIC A | Officer | Sale | 8,711 | $1,987,772 |
| 2026-02-25 | RIGGS R LANE | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 37,850 | - |
| 2026-02-25 | SIMMONS GARY K. | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 13,320 | - |
| 2026-02-25 | WALSH RICHARD JOE | General Counsel | Stock Award | 8,800 | - |
| 2026-02-25 | FISHER ERIC A | Officer | Stock Award | 5,990 | - |
| 2026-02-25 | BHULLAR HARMINDER S. | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 7,050 | - |
| 2026-02-05 | SIMMONS GARY K. | Chief Operating Officer | Gift | 768 | - |
| 2026-01-21 | SIMMONS GARY K. | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 27,546 | - |
| 2026-01-21 | WALSH RICHARD JOE | General Counsel | Stock Award | 14,941 | - |
| 2026-01-21 | FISHER ERIC A | Officer | Stock Award | 13,073 | - |
| 2026-01-21 | BHULLAR HARMINDER S. | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 6,284 | - |
| 2026-01-21 | RIGGS R LANE | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 72,232 | - |
| 2025-12-18 | RIGGS R LANE | Chief Executive Officer | Gift | 6,756 | - |
| 2025-12-17 | WALSH RICHARD JOE | General Counsel | Gift | 1,250 | - |
| 2025-11-21 | FRASER JASON W. | Chief Financial Officer | Gift | 4,877 | - |
FISHER ERIC A
Officer
2026-03-12
8,711 shares
·
$1,987,772
RIGGS R LANE
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-25
37,850 shares
SIMMONS GARY K.
Chief Operating Officer
2026-02-25
13,320 shares
WALSH RICHARD JOE
General Counsel
2026-02-25
8,800 shares
FISHER ERIC A
Officer
2026-02-25
5,990 shares
BHULLAR HARMINDER S.
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-25
7,050 shares
SIMMONS GARY K.
Chief Operating Officer
2026-02-05
768 shares
SIMMONS GARY K.
Chief Operating Officer
2026-01-21
27,546 shares
WALSH RICHARD JOE
General Counsel
2026-01-21
14,941 shares
FISHER ERIC A
Officer
2026-01-21
13,073 shares
BHULLAR HARMINDER S.
Chief Financial Officer
2026-01-21
6,284 shares
RIGGS R LANE
Chief Executive Officer
2026-01-21
72,232 shares
RIGGS R LANE
Chief Executive Officer
2025-12-18
6,756 shares
WALSH RICHARD JOE
General Counsel
2025-12-17
1,250 shares
FRASER JASON W.
Chief Financial Officer
2025-11-21
4,877 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
17 analysts
Wells Fargo
2026-03-31
Overweight
Overweight
Raymond James
2026-03-25
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Goldman Sachs
2026-03-12
Buy
Buy
Citigroup
2026-02-09
Neutral
Neutral
Piper Sandler
2026-01-30
Overweight
Overweight
Morgan Stanley
2026-01-30
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Morgan Stanley
2026-01-27
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
JP Morgan
2026-01-08
Overweight
Overweight
Piper Sandler
2026-01-08
Overweight
Overweight
Mizuho
2025-12-12
Outperform
Neutral
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning VLO from our newsroom.
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