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GUG

BEARISH
$15.61 Live
Guggenheim Active Allocation Fund · NYSE
$14.7 52W Range $16.5

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 28, 2026
Market cap
$514.82M
P/E
12.2
ROE
N/A
Profit margin
N/A
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
9.13%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
GUG exhibits severe fundamental weakness, highlighted by a critical Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, indicating poor financial health. The asset is trading at a significant premium to its growth-based intrinsic value of $8.96, while the dividend payout ratio of 111.33% suggests an unsustainable distribution policy. Despite positive long-term price performance, current technical trends are bearish and insider activity is negative. The combination of a failing health scorecard and overvaluation makes this a high-risk position.

Key Strengths

Strong 3-year price appreciation (+47.0%)
High current dividend yield of 9.13%
Positive 1-year price return (+14.8%)
Stable market capitalization of $0.51B
Consistent historical performance over 5 years

Key Risks

Critical financial health (Piotroski F-Score 1/9)
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (111.33%)
Trading at a ~74% premium to intrinsic value ($15.61 vs $8.96)
Bearish technical trend (0/100 score)
Negative insider sentiment with recent selling activity
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$8.96
-42.6% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
35
Weak
Value
20
Future
30
Past
75
Health
11
Dividend
40
AI Verdict
Underperform
Key drivers: Extreme Piotroski F-Score weakness, Dividend payout exceeds earnings, Significant overvaluation relative to intrinsic value
Confidence
90%
Value
20/100

Current price $15.61 vs Intrinsic Value $8.96

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Price significantly exceeds intrinsic value
  • Lack of Graham Number for defensive valuation
Future
30/100

Ref Growth rates and Payout Ratio

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio > 100% threatens future distributions
  • Bearish technical trend
Past
75/100

Ref Historical price changes

Positives
  • Strong 3Y and 5Y returns
  • Positive 1Y momentum
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Health
11/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 is critically weak
Dividend
40/100

Ref Yield and Payout Ratio

Positives
  • High nominal yield (9.13%)
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 111.33% indicates capital erosion

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$15.61

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for GUG and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-27
GUG
Guggenheim Active Allocation Fund
Primary
5Y
+17.1%
3Y
+47.0%
1Y
+14.8%
6M
+2.6%
1M
+6.0%
1W
-0.1%
ACN
ACNB Corporation
Peer
5Y
+114.0%
3Y
+74.0%
1Y
+24.0%
6M
+13.8%
1M
+5.3%
1W
-1.8%
DIA
Nuveen Dow 30 Dynamic Overwrite Fund
Peer
5Y
+22.8%
3Y
+23.6%
1Y
+3.2%
6M
-2.5%
1M
-8.7%
1W
+0.5%
IFN
Aberdeen India Fund, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+11.8%
3Y
+8.0%
1Y
-15.2%
6M
-16.9%
1M
+8.6%
1W
-2.3%
MSB
Midland States Bancorp, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+9.0%
3Y
+40.8%
1Y
+67.8%
6M
+48.0%
1M
+13.6%
1W
+0.7%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
12.2
Forward P/E
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
N/A
P/S Ratio
N/A
EV/Revenue
N/A
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$514.82M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin N/A
Operating Margin N/A
Gross Margin N/A
ROE N/A
ROA N/A

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth N/A
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Cash/Share
$N/A

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Total Assets
$0.8B
Liabilities
$0.2B
Equity
$0.6B
Debt/Equity
0.37x

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing GUG against 820 companies in the Financial Services sector (141 bullish, 351 neutral, 328 bearish)
P/E Ratio
12.2
This Stock
vs
36.01
Sector Avg
-66.1% (Discount)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

BARNES RANDALL C
Director
Sell
2026-03-06
3,000 shares · $47,550
NYBERG RONALD A
Trustee
Buy
2025-12-18
321 shares · $4,985
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
GUG
2025-12-15
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning GUG from our newsroom.

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