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HRL

BEARISH
$21.47 Live
Hormel Foods Corporation · NYSE
Target $26.75 (+24.6%)
$20.32 52W Range $31.86
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 28, 2026
Market cap
$11.81B
P/E
24.12
ROE
6.1%
Profit margin
4.0%
Debt/Equity
0.04
Dividend yield
5.45%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
HRL exhibits a stark divergence between its balance sheet health and operational performance. While the Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicates strong financial health and the Debt/Equity ratio (0.04) is exemplary, the company is struggling with negative YoY revenue (-2.90%) and earnings growth (-5.10%). The current price of $21.47 trades at a premium to the Graham Number ($17.0) and significantly above the growth-based intrinsic value ($6.23). Most critically, the dividend payout ratio of 130.62% is unsustainable, suggesting a high risk of a dividend cut to align with actual earnings.

Key Strengths

Strong Piotroski F-Score (7/9) indicating robust short-term financial health
Extremely low leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.04
Excellent liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 2.66
Diverse global revenue streams across Retail, Foodservice, and International segments
Positive Q/Q revenue growth (1.29%) suggesting a potential stabilization in sales

Key Risks

Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (130.62%) exceeding net earnings
Persistent input cost inflation in pork, beef, and nut markets
Negative year-over-year growth in both revenue and earnings
Severe long-term price erosion with a 5-year change of -45.0%
Bearish technical trend (0/100) and negative insider sentiment
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$16.5
-23.1% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
40
Moderate
Value
35
Future
30
Past
20
Health
95
Dividend
20
AI Verdict
Operationally Distressed Value Trap
Key drivers: Balance sheet strength, Dividend sustainability risk, Negative growth trajectory, Input cost pressures
Confidence
90%
Value
35/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Price/Sales under 1.0
Watchpoints
  • Price exceeds Graham Number ($17.0)
  • P/E of 24.12 is high for a company with negative earnings growth
Future
30/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Slight Q/Q revenue recovery
Watchpoints
  • Negative YoY Revenue and Earnings growth
  • Ongoing corporate restructuring costs
Past
20/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Consistent history of meeting/beating estimates in previous years
Watchpoints
  • Catastrophic 5-year price performance (-45%)
  • Declining earnings progression over the last 2 years
Health
95/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
  • Near-zero Debt/Equity
  • Strong Current Ratio
Watchpoints
  • Lack of Altman Z-Score data
Dividend
20/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • High nominal yield (5.45%)
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 130.62% indicates the dividend is not covered by earnings

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$21.47
Analyst Target
$26.75
Upside/Downside
+24.6%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for HRL and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-27
HRL
Hormel Foods Corporation
Primary
5Y
-45.0%
3Y
-40.2%
1Y
-23.6%
6M
-7.1%
1M
-5.6%
1W
+0.7%
CLX
The Clorox Company
Peer
5Y
-37.7%
3Y
-33.2%
1Y
-25.0%
6M
-12.8%
1M
-4.6%
1W
-4.5%
SFD
Smithfield Foods, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+53.9%
3Y
+53.9%
1Y
+50.7%
6M
+36.3%
1M
+8.8%
1W
+0.6%
BF-
Brown-Forman Corporation
Peer
5Y
-57.8%
3Y
-56.3%
1Y
-14.3%
6M
-9.6%
1M
+2.5%
1W
+4.4%
BJ
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+124.1%
3Y
+40.4%
1Y
+0.4%
6M
-6.5%
1M
+3.1%
1W
+4.3%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
24.12
Forward P/E
13.66
PEG Ratio
1.45
P/B Ratio
1.49
P/S Ratio
0.97
EV/Revenue
0.95
EV/EBITDA
9.48
Market Cap
$11.81B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 4.03%
Operating Margin 11.06%
Gross Margin 15.61%
ROE 6.12%
ROA 4.43%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -2.9%
Earnings Growth -5.1%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +1.29%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -5.1%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.04
Low debt
Current Ratio
2.66
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.3
Good
Cash/Share
$1.04

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q1 2026

Revenue
$3.0B
Gross Margin
15.5%
Op. Margin
7.5%
Net Margin
6.0%
Total Assets
$13.3B
Liabilities
$5.4B
Equity
$7.9B
Debt/Equity
0.68x
Operating CF
$0.3B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.3B
FCF Yield
80%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-28
$N/A
2026-02-26
$0.34
+6.1% surprise
2025-12-04
$0.32
+6.0% surprise
2025-08-28
$0.35
-14.6% surprise

Consumer Defensive Sector Comparison

Comparing HRL against 170 companies in the Consumer Defensive sector (9 bullish, 60 neutral, 101 bearish)
P/E Ratio
24.12
This Stock
vs
37.45
Sector Avg
-35.6% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
6.12%
This Stock
vs
-13.91%
Sector Avg
-144.0% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
4.03%
This Stock
vs
-7.77%
Sector Avg
-151.9% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.04
This Stock
vs
1.89
Sector Avg
-97.7% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-2.9%
This Stock
vs
111.74%
Sector Avg
-102.6% (Slower)
Current Ratio
2.66
This Stock
vs
2.29
Sector Avg
+16.2% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

HRL Hormel Foods Corporation
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$11.8B
P/E
24.1
ROE
6.1%
Price
$21.47
CLX The Clorox Company
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$11.9B
P/E
16.2
ROE
987.2%
Price
$98.68
 Compare with HRL
SFD Smithfield Foods, Inc.
BULLISH
Mkt Cap
$11.3B
P/E
11.4
ROE
15.2%
Price
$28.73
 Compare with HRL
BF-B Brown-Forman...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$12.8B
P/E
16.3
ROE
20.7%
Price
$27.57
 Compare with HRL
BJ BJ's Wholesale...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$12.8B
P/E
22.5
ROE
29.2%
Price
$97.45
 Compare with HRL

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

BHOJWANI GARY C.
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-31
2,665 shares · $60,375
WHITE STEVEN ANDREW
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-31
2,665 shares · $60,375
SCHONEMAN DEBBRA L.EE
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-31
1,332 shares · $30,187
POLICINSKI CHRISTOPHER J
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-31
2,491 shares · $56,437
NEWLANDS WILLIAM A
Chairman of the Board
Stock Award
2026-03-31
6,721 shares · $152,250
WHITE STEVEN ANDREW
Director
Gift
2026-03-18
5,405 shares
BHOJWANI GARY C.
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-02
6,541 shares
WHITE STEVEN ANDREW
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-02
6,541 shares
ZECHMEISTER MICHAEL PAUL
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-02
6,541 shares
GHINGO JOHN F
President
Stock Award
2026-02-02
32,707 shares
AAKRE SCOTT D
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-02
6,541 shares
MURANO ELSA A
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-02
6,541 shares
SCHONEMAN DEBBRA L.EE
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-02
6,541 shares
LACY STEPHEN MARK
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-02
6,541 shares
SMITH SALLY J
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-02
6,541 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-02-26

HRL filed an 8-K on February 26, 2026, likely to announce its annual financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2026-02-26

HRL filed its 10-Q on February 26, 2026. The provided excerpts are limited to the identification of Risk Factors under Item 1A, with no specific financial highlights or detailed risk disclosures available.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-18

HRL filed an 8-K on February 18, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K/A
8-K/A
2026-02-13
8-K
8-K
2026-02-02

HRL filed an 8-K on February 2, 2026, likely to announce its fourth quarter and full-year financial results for 2025.

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2025-12-17

Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) filed a definitive proxy statement on December 17, 2025, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for the upcoming annual meeting.

10-K
10-K
2025-12-05

Hormel Foods Corporation reported fiscal 2025 net sales of $12.1 billion, representing a 2% increase over the prior year. Despite this growth, the company described the period as challenging, noting that strong net sales performance did not translate into net earnings growth. The company continues to operate a diverse global portfolio across its Retail, Foodservice, and International segments.

8-K
8-K
2025-12-04
8-K
8-K
2025-11-04

HRL filed an 8-K on November 4, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K/A
8-K/A
2025-10-31

HRL filed an amendment to a previously submitted current report (Form 8-K) on October 31, 2025.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-29
10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-28
8-K
8-K
2025-08-28
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-06-23
10-Q
10-Q
2025-05-29
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
HOLD
8 analysts
JP Morgan
2026-04-09
down
Overweight Neutral
Stephens & Co.
2026-02-27
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Stephens & Co.
2026-02-11
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Barclays
2025-12-09
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Piper Sandler
2025-12-05
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
JP Morgan
2025-12-05
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
B of A Securities
2025-12-05
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
JP Morgan
2025-11-21
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Piper Sandler
2025-11-06
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Goldman Sachs
2025-10-30
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning HRL from our newsroom.

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