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BJ BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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BJ Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Consumer Defensive Discount Stores
Current Price Live
$97.45
Analyst Target
$105.5
+8.3% Upside
52W High
$121.1
52W Low
$86.68

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Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
BJ's Wholesale Club has a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating marginal financial health, and lacks an Altman Z-Score, limiting distress risk assessment. While profitability metrics like ROE (29.24%) and consistent earnings beat rates (3/4 last quarters) are strong, weak liquidity (Current Ratio: 0.79, Quick Ratio: 0.13) and negative insider sentiment raise concerns. The stock trades at a significant premium to the Graham Number ($40.26) and intrinsic value ($30.38), supported by a high P/E of 22.45, though below sector average. Analysts recommend a 'buy' with a $105.50 target, but insider selling and declining short-term earnings growth (-1.7% YoY) temper bullishness.

Key Strengths

High ROE of 29.24% indicates efficient use of shareholder equity
Consistent earnings beats: 3 out of last 4 quarters exceeded estimates, with strong historical surprise averages
Revenue growth remains positive at 4.90% YoY, outperforming some peers
Analyst consensus is 'buy' with a target price above current market value
Price/Sales of 0.61 is low, suggesting potential revenue efficiency

Key Risks

Low Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals weak financial health and operational stability
Poor liquidity: Current Ratio (0.79) and Quick Ratio (0.13) indicate potential short-term solvency risk
Debt/Equity of 1.24 is elevated, increasing financial leverage risk
Insider selling: $14.63M in sales over last 6 months with no buys, signaling management skepticism
Stock trades at a large premium to Graham Number ($40.26) and intrinsic value ($30.38), implying overvaluation
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$45.0
-53.8% below current price

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