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BF-A

BEARISH
$27.86 Live
Brown-Forman Corporation · NYSE
$25.53 52W Range $38.21

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$12.91B
P/E
16.49
ROE
20.7%
Profit margin
20.8%
Debt/Equity
0.64
Dividend yield
3.23%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
68%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard shows a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, indicating stable financial health, but the absence of an Altman Z-Score limits distress risk assessment. Despite solid profitability metrics like a 29.44% operating margin and 20.67% ROE, the company faces significant headwinds with negative revenue and earnings growth. Valuation appears stretched relative to intrinsic value models, and insider selling, weak price performance, and declining fundamentals reinforce caution. The stock trades well above the Graham Number of $18.3, suggesting overvaluation absent exceptional growth—contradicted by current contraction trends.

Key Strengths

Strong operating profitability with 29.44% operating margin
High return on equity (20.67%) indicating efficient use of equity
Healthy current ratio of 2.97, signaling solid short-term liquidity
Attractive dividend yield of 3.23% above sector average
Debt/Equity of 0.64 is below sector average of 1.80, indicating conservative leverage

Key Risks

Revenue and earnings declining YoY (-5.40% and -13.90% respectively)
Negative insider sentiment with recent executive selling totaling $0.51M
Technical trend is bearish (0/100), aligning with multi-year price underperformance
Stock trades at $27.86 vs. Graham Number of $18.3, implying 52% overvaluation
Lack of analyst coverage and target price data increases uncertainty
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$19.5
-30.0% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
50
Moderate
Value
38
Future
30
Past
55
Health
65
Dividend
60
AI Verdict
Overvalued with deteriorating fundamentals
Key drivers: High P/E relative to shrinking earnings, Negative growth trajectory, Overvaluation vs. Graham Number, Insider selling, Strong margins but declining top line
Confidence
70%
Value
38/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/E of 16.49 below sector average of 30.91
Watchpoints
  • Price ($27.86) significantly above Graham Number ($18.3)
  • No PEG ratio due to negative growth, invalidating growth-adjusted valuation
Future
30/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Revenue Growth (YoY): -5.40%
  • Earnings Growth (YoY): -13.90%
  • Q/Q Earnings Growth: -13.20%
Past
55/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 5-Year ROE of 20.67% reflects historical efficiency
  • Long-term dividend history implied by 3.23% yield
Watchpoints
  • 5Y price change: -53.5%
  • 1Y price change: -13.0%
Health
65/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates stable financial condition
  • Current Ratio of 2.97 shows strong liquidity
  • Debt/Equity of 0.64 is conservative
Watchpoints
  • Quick Ratio of 0.96 suggests near-term liquidity pressure
  • Altman Z-Score not available, creating blind spot in bankruptcy risk
Dividend
60/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Dividend yield of 3.23% is attractive
  • Payout ratio of 52.98% is sustainable
Watchpoints
  • Dividend Strength score of 50/100 indicates moderate reliability
  • No data on dividend growth history

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$27.86

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BF-A and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
BF-
Brown-Forman Corporation
Primary
5Y
-53.5%
3Y
-55.7%
1Y
-13.0%
6M
-8.0%
1M
+4.2%
1W
+4.7%
BJ
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+124.1%
3Y
+40.4%
1Y
+0.4%
6M
-6.5%
1M
+3.1%
1W
+4.3%
BF-
Brown-Forman Corporation
Peer
5Y
-57.8%
3Y
-56.3%
1Y
-14.3%
6M
-9.6%
1M
+2.5%
1W
+4.4%
CLX
The Clorox Company
Peer
5Y
-37.7%
3Y
-33.2%
1Y
-25.0%
6M
-12.8%
1M
-4.6%
1W
-4.5%
HRL
Hormel Foods Corporation
Peer
5Y
-45.0%
3Y
-40.2%
1Y
-23.6%
6M
-7.1%
1M
-5.6%
1W
+0.7%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
16.49
Forward P/E
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
3.16
P/S Ratio
3.32
EV/Revenue
3.92
EV/EBITDA
12.97
Market Cap
$12.91B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 20.83%
Operating Margin 29.44%
Gross Margin 59.11%
ROE 20.67%
ROA 8.21%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -5.4%
Earnings Growth -13.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth -13.2%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.64
Moderate
Current Ratio
2.97
Strong
Quick Ratio
0.96
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.69

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-03-04
$N/A

Consumer Defensive Sector Comparison

Comparing BF-A against 170 companies in the Consumer Defensive sector (9 bullish, 60 neutral, 101 bearish)
P/E Ratio
16.49
This Stock
vs
37.45
Sector Avg
-56.0% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
20.67%
This Stock
vs
-13.91%
Sector Avg
-248.5% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
20.83%
This Stock
vs
-7.77%
Sector Avg
-368.0% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.64
This Stock
vs
1.89
Sector Avg
-66.0% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-5.4%
This Stock
vs
111.74%
Sector Avg
-104.8% (Slower)
Current Ratio
2.97
This Stock
vs
2.29
Sector Avg
+29.8% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

WHITING LAWSON E
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2025-12-12
8,834 shares · $273,854
WHITING LAWSON E
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2025-12-04
7,746 shares · $240,203
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning BF-A from our newsroom.

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