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BF-A Brown-Forman Corporation - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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BF-A Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Consumer Defensive Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries
Current Price Live
$27.86
52W High
$38.21
52W Low
$25.53

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Confidence Score
68%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard shows a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, indicating stable financial health, but the absence of an Altman Z-Score limits distress risk assessment. Despite solid profitability metrics like a 29.44% operating margin and 20.67% ROE, the company faces significant headwinds with negative revenue and earnings growth. Valuation appears stretched relative to intrinsic value models, and insider selling, weak price performance, and declining fundamentals reinforce caution. The stock trades well above the Graham Number of $18.3, suggesting overvaluation absent exceptional growth—contradicted by current contraction trends.

Key Strengths

Strong operating profitability with 29.44% operating margin
High return on equity (20.67%) indicating efficient use of equity
Healthy current ratio of 2.97, signaling solid short-term liquidity
Attractive dividend yield of 3.23% above sector average
Debt/Equity of 0.64 is below sector average of 1.80, indicating conservative leverage

Key Risks

Revenue and earnings declining YoY (-5.40% and -13.90% respectively)
Negative insider sentiment with recent executive selling totaling $0.51M
Technical trend is bearish (0/100), aligning with multi-year price underperformance
Stock trades at $27.86 vs. Graham Number of $18.3, implying 52% overvaluation
Lack of analyst coverage and target price data increases uncertainty
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$19.5
-30.0% below current price

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Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis

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