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BF-B

NEUTRAL
$27.57 Live
Brown-Forman Corporation · NYSE
Target $30.26 (+9.8%)
$25.32 52W Range $38.85

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$12.77B
P/E
16.31
ROE
20.7%
Profit margin
20.8%
Debt/Equity
0.64
Dividend yield
3.26%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
68%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard shows a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, indicating stable financial health, but the absence of an Altman Z-Score limits distress risk assessment. Despite solid profitability metrics like a 29.44% operating margin and 20.67% ROE, the company faces declining revenue and earnings, with YoY revenue down 5.40% and earnings down 13.90%. The stock trades above the Graham Number of $18.30 at $27.57, supported by a 3.26% dividend yield and analyst target of $30.26, but weak recent earnings surprises and insider selling temper optimism.

Key Strengths

Strong profitability with operating margin of 29.44% and ROE of 20.67%, well above sector averages
Healthy balance sheet with a current ratio of 2.97 and moderate debt/equity of 0.64
Piotroski F-Score of 6 indicates stable financial condition
Dividend yield of 3.26% is attractive relative to sector and market
Trading below analyst target price of $30.26, implying 9.7% upside

Key Risks

Revenue and earnings declining YoY by 5.40% and 13.90% respectively, signaling operational headwinds
Recent earnings misses: 0 out of last 4 quarters beat estimates, with an average surprise of -4.36%
Insider selling activity: CEO sold $0.15M in shares, indicating bearish sentiment
Technical trend score of 0/100 suggests strong bearish momentum
Long-term price performance weak: 5Y return of -57.8%, underperforming peers significantly
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$24.5
-11.1% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
57
Moderate
Value
58
Future
42
Past
50
Health
70
Dividend
65
AI Verdict
Neutral with caution due to mixed profitability and growth signals
Key drivers: Stable Piotroski score and strong margins support stability, Declining growth and weak earnings surprises drag down future outlook, Dividend provides floor, but insider selling raises concerns
Confidence
70%
Value
58/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/E of 16.31 below sector average of 30.43
  • Price below analyst target of $30.26
Watchpoints
  • Current price ($27.57) significantly above Graham Number ($18.30)
  • No PEG ratio due to negative growth, limiting growth-adjusted valuation
Future
42/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Most recent Q/Q EPS growth of +30.6% shows potential rebound
Watchpoints
  • Revenue Growth (YoY): -5.40%
  • Earnings Growth (YoY): -13.90%
  • Q/Q Earnings Growth: -13.20%
  • Last 4 quarters missed earnings estimates
Past
50/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Historical ROE consistently strong at 20.67%
  • Profit margin of 20.83% well above sector average
Watchpoints
  • 5Y price return of -57.8% indicates prolonged underperformance
  • Inconsistent earnings surprises with multiple large misses
Health
70/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates stable financial health
  • Current ratio of 2.97 shows strong liquidity
  • Debt/Equity of 0.64 is conservative
Watchpoints
  • Altman Z-Score not available, limiting distress risk analysis
  • Quick ratio of 0.96 is below 1, indicating potential short-term liquidity pressure
Dividend
65/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Dividend yield of 3.26% is attractive
  • Payout ratio of 52.98% is sustainable
Watchpoints
  • Dividend Strength score of 50/100 suggests uncertainty in long-term growth
  • No 5-year average yield data to assess consistency

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$27.57
Analyst Target
$30.26
Upside/Downside
+9.8%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BF-B and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
BF-
Brown-Forman Corporation
Primary
5Y
-57.8%
3Y
-56.3%
1Y
-14.3%
6M
-9.6%
1M
+2.5%
1W
+4.4%
BJ
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+124.1%
3Y
+40.4%
1Y
+0.4%
6M
-6.5%
1M
+3.1%
1W
+4.3%
BF-
Brown-Forman Corporation
Peer
5Y
-53.5%
3Y
-55.7%
1Y
-13.0%
6M
-8.0%
1M
+4.2%
1W
+4.7%
CLX
The Clorox Company
Peer
5Y
-37.7%
3Y
-33.2%
1Y
-25.0%
6M
-12.8%
1M
-4.6%
1W
-4.5%
HRL
Hormel Foods Corporation
Peer
5Y
-45.0%
3Y
-40.2%
1Y
-23.6%
6M
-7.1%
1M
-5.6%
1W
+0.7%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
16.31
Forward P/E
15.94
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
3.13
P/S Ratio
3.28
EV/Revenue
3.88
EV/EBITDA
12.86
Market Cap
$12.77B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 20.83%
Operating Margin 29.44%
Gross Margin 59.11%
ROE 20.67%
ROA 8.21%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -5.4%
Earnings Growth -13.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth -13.2%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.64
Moderate
Current Ratio
2.97
Strong
Quick Ratio
0.96
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.69

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-03-04
$N/A
2025-12-04
$0.47
-1.5% surprise
2025-08-28
$0.36
-1.9% surprise
2025-06-05
$0.31
-9.8% surprise

Consumer Defensive Sector Comparison

Comparing BF-B against 170 companies in the Consumer Defensive sector (9 bullish, 60 neutral, 101 bearish)
P/E Ratio
16.31
This Stock
vs
37.45
Sector Avg
-56.4% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
20.67%
This Stock
vs
-13.91%
Sector Avg
-248.5% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
20.83%
This Stock
vs
-7.77%
Sector Avg
-368.0% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.64
This Stock
vs
1.89
Sector Avg
-66.0% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-5.4%
This Stock
vs
111.74%
Sector Avg
-104.8% (Slower)
Current Ratio
2.97
This Stock
vs
2.29
Sector Avg
+29.8% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

WHITING LAWSON E
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2025-12-04
4,785 shares · $148,335
FARRER MARSHALL B
Director
Gift
2025-10-08
2,720 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
HOLD
17 analysts
Citigroup
2026-01-14
Maintains
Sell Sell
Citigroup
2025-12-17
down
Neutral Sell
Evercore ISI Group
2025-12-05
Maintains
In-Line In-Line
JP Morgan
2025-12-05
Maintains
Underweight Underweight
Barclays
2025-11-28
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Needham
2025-10-16
reit
Hold Hold
Barclays
2025-10-07
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
JP Morgan
2025-09-02
Maintains
Underweight Underweight
Barclays
2025-09-02
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
UBS
2025-08-29
Maintains
Neutral Neutral

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning BF-B from our newsroom.

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