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IPI

NEUTRAL
$37.53 Live
Intrepid Potash, Inc. · NYSE
Target $25.0 (-33.4%)
$22.55 52W Range $50.34
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 29, 2026
Market cap
$504.17M
P/E
44.15
ROE
2.3%
Profit margin
4.7%
Debt/Equity
0.01
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
IPI exhibits strong deterministic health with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and a nearly debt-free balance sheet (Debt/Equity 0.01). However, the stock is significantly overvalued relative to its Graham Number ($26.75) and Intrinsic Value ($5.95), trading at a steep premium. While explosive YoY EPS growth (+545.5%) and a PEG ratio of 0.96 provide a growth-based justification, the bearish technical trend and a lone analyst target of $25.00 suggest a high risk of price correction.

Key Strengths

Strong financial health indicated by Piotroski F-Score of 7/9
Exceptional liquidity with a Current Ratio of 4.38
Negligible leverage with Debt/Equity at 0.01
Robust top-line growth with 33.9% YoY revenue increase
Attractive PEG ratio (0.96) suggesting growth justifies a portion of the premium

Key Risks

Severe overvaluation relative to intrinsic value ($5.95) and Graham Number ($26.75)
Bearish technical trend (0/100) indicating strong downward momentum
Forward P/E (60.24) is higher than trailing P/E (44.15), suggesting decelerating earnings expectations
Highly volatile historical earnings track record with frequent large misses
Significant gap between current price ($37.53) and analyst target ($25.00)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$25.88
-31.0% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
50
Moderate
Value
30
Future
75
Past
50
Health
95
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Speculative Growth
Key drivers: Pristine balance sheet, Extreme valuation premium, High revenue growth, Bearish technicals
Confidence
80%
Value
30/100

Ref P/E 44.15, PEG 0.96, Graham Number $26.75

Positives
  • Price/Book is 1.00
Watchpoints
  • Price far exceeds Graham Number
  • High P/E and Forward P/E
  • Price is ~6x growth-based intrinsic value
Future
75/100

Ref Growth rates and Q/Q revenue trends

Positives
  • 33.9% YoY Revenue Growth
  • Explosive EPS growth (+545.5%)
Watchpoints
  • Earnings volatility
Past
50/100

Ref Historical earnings track record

Positives
  • Positive 3Y and 5Y price change
Watchpoints
  • Inconsistent earnings surprises over 25 quarters
Health
95/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score and Liquidity ratios

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
  • Debt/Equity 0.01
  • Current Ratio 4.38
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield and Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • 0% payout ratio

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$37.53
Analyst Target
$25.0
Upside/Downside
-33.4%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for IPI and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-28
IPI
Intrepid Potash, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+13.9%
3Y
+45.6%
1Y
+11.8%
6M
+37.7%
1M
-14.8%
1W
+1.5%
CMC
Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc
Peer
5Y
+116.3%
3Y
+104.1%
1Y
+92.1%
6M
-19.9%
1M
+11.8%
1W
-3.5%
AST
Algoma Steel Group Inc.
Peer
5Y
-48.5%
3Y
-34.3%
1Y
-46.5%
6M
-27.1%
1M
+8.9%
1W
+3.2%
ALO
REalloys Inc.
Peer
5Y
-36.8%
3Y
+136.1%
1Y
+180.0%
6M
+15.5%
1M
-49.7%
1W
-19.7%
GEV
Gevo, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-73.9%
3Y
+52.8%
1Y
+75.2%
6M
-15.9%
1M
-17.0%
1W
-17.0%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
44.15
Forward P/E
60.24
PEG Ratio
0.96
P/B Ratio
1.0
P/S Ratio
2.12
EV/Revenue
1.74
EV/EBITDA
6.71
Market Cap
$504.17M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 4.7%
Operating Margin 13.14%
Gross Margin 24.92%
ROE 2.32%
ROA 2.02%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +33.9%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +35.97%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.01
Low debt
Current Ratio
4.38
Strong
Quick Ratio
2.19
Excellent
Cash/Share
$6.37

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.1B
Gross Margin
20.2%
Op. Margin
2.1%
Net Margin
-0.6%
Total Assets
$0.6B
Liabilities
$0.1B
Equity
$0.5B
Debt/Equity
0.29x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
-13%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-06
$N/A
2026-03-04
$0.49
+48.1% surprise
2025-11-05
$0.11
-38.2% surprise
2025-08-06
$0.45
+141.2% surprise

Basic Materials Sector Comparison

Comparing IPI against 148 companies in the Basic Materials sector (16 bullish, 57 neutral, 75 bearish)
P/E Ratio
44.15
This Stock
vs
39.31
Sector Avg
+12.3% (Premium)
Return on Equity (ROE)
2.32%
This Stock
vs
-6.19%
Sector Avg
-137.4% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
4.7%
This Stock
vs
-5.38%
Sector Avg
-187.4% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.01
This Stock
vs
0.86
Sector Avg
-98.8% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
33.9%
This Stock
vs
36.62%
Sector Avg
-7.4% (Slower)
Current Ratio
4.38
This Stock
vs
5.08
Sector Avg
-13.8% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

IPI Intrepid Potash, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$504M
P/E
44.2
ROE
2.3%
Price
$37.53
CMCL Caledonia...
BULLISH
Mkt Cap
$488M
P/E
8.9
ROE
26.1%
Price
$25.26
 Compare with IPI
ASTL Algoma Steel Group Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$476M
P/E
-
ROE
-%
Price
$4.54
 Compare with IPI
ALOY REalloys Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$469M
P/E
-
ROE
-%
Price
$7.84
 Compare with IPI
GEVO Gevo, Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$464M
P/E
-
ROE
-6.8%
Price
$1.91
 Compare with IPI

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

SHEEHAN CHRISTINA
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-03-17
3,952 shares
INGOLD CRIS
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-17
1,897 shares
KIM RICHARD CHARLES
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-17
4,611 shares
CRUTCHFIELD KEVIN S
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-17
22,766 shares
CRUTCHFIELD KEVIN S
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-02
932 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-17

IPI filed a Definitive Proxy Statement on April 17, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information to vote on corporate matters at the upcoming annual meeting.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-04-02

IPI filed a Form 8-K on April 2, 2026, likely to announce its quarterly financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-03-16
10-K
10-K
2026-03-05

IPI filed its annual 10-K report on March 5, 2026. The provided excerpts do not contain specific financial data or detailed risk factors, limiting the available analysis of the company's current financial highlights and operational risks.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-04
10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-06

IPI filed its 10-Q on November 6, 2025. Due to the limited information provided, specific financial highlights are unavailable, although the filing includes a dedicated section outlining the company's risk factors.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-05
10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-07

IPI filed its quarterly 10-Q report on August 7, 2025. While specific financial highlights were not provided in the excerpt, the filing includes a dedicated section detailing the company's risk factors.

8-K
8-K
2025-08-06

IPI filed an 8-K on August 6, 2025, likely to announce its quarterly financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-06-02
10-Q
10-Q
2025-05-06
8-K
8-K
2025-05-05
DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2025-04-17
10-K
10-K
2025-03-04
8-K
8-K
2025-03-03
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
1 analysts
UBS
2026-03-05
Maintains
Sell Sell
UBS
2026-01-12
Maintains
Sell Sell

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning IPI from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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