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JBGS

BEARISH
$15.59 Live
JBG SMITH Properties · NYSE
Target $14.5 (-7.0%)
$13.28 52W Range $24.3
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 29, 2026
Market cap
$919.91M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-8.6%
Profit margin
-28.0%
Debt/Equity
1.53
Dividend yield
4.49%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
90%
JBGS exhibits severe financial fragility, highlighted by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 and a negative profit margin of -27.96%. The company is caught in a structural decline of the office real estate sector, with a dividend payout ratio of 101.09% indicating that current distributions are unsustainable. While the stock trades at a discount to book value (P/B 0.80), this appears to be a value trap given the negative revenue growth and bearish insider sentiment. The combination of deteriorating fundamentals and high sector-specific risk makes the outlook negative.

Key Strengths

Trading at a discount to book value (P/B 0.80)
Strategic focus on high-amenity, Metro-served submarkets like National Landing
Debt/Equity ratio (1.53) is lower than the sector average (2.41)
Positive 1-year price performance (+10.5%) despite fundamental headwinds
Diversified revenue streams across multifamily and third-party services

Key Risks

Structural decline in office demand due to work-from-home (WFH) policies
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio exceeding 100%
Negative profitability with a profit margin of -27.96%
High geographic concentration in the Washington D.C. metropolitan area
Liquidity pressure leading to the sale of multifamily assets to support office holdings
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$14.0
-10.2% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
26
Weak
Value
40
Future
20
Past
30
Health
15
Dividend
25
AI Verdict
High Risk / Value Trap
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score 2/9, Unsustainable Payout Ratio, Office Sector Headwinds, Negative Profitability
Confidence
90%
Value
40/100

P/B 0.80; Forward P/E -9.51

Positives
  • Price/Book of 0.80 suggests undervaluation relative to assets
Watchpoints
  • Negative Forward P/E
  • Lack of earnings growth to justify current price
Future
20/100

Revenue Growth (YoY): -3.00%

Positives
  • Potential for recovery if return-to-office trends accelerate
Watchpoints
  • Negative YoY Revenue Growth (-3.00%)
  • Declining demand for core office assets
Past
30/100

5Y Change: -40.5%

Positives
  • Short-term 1Y price recovery
Watchpoints
  • Severe 5Y price decline (-40.5%)
  • Consistent failure to beat earnings estimates (1/4 last 4 quarters)
Health
15/100

Piotroski F-Score: 2/9

Positives
  • Debt/Equity is relatively moderate for a REIT
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9 (Weak)
  • Current Ratio below 1.0 (0.97)
Dividend
25/100

Payout Ratio: 101.09%

Positives
  • Yield of 4.49% is attractive on the surface
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 101.09% indicates the dividend is not covered by earnings

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$15.59
Analyst Target
$14.5
Upside/Downside
-7.0%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for JBGS and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-28
JBG
JBG SMITH Properties
Primary
5Y
-40.5%
3Y
+25.9%
1Y
+10.5%
6M
-25.5%
1M
+6.0%
1W
0.0%
SVC
Service Properties Trust
Peer
5Y
-85.1%
3Y
-81.8%
1Y
-19.9%
6M
-36.0%
1M
-31.1%
1W
+14.3%
ESR
Empire State Realty Trust, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-46.0%
3Y
+0.0%
1Y
-20.1%
6M
-29.4%
1M
+11.0%
1W
+1.1%
EXP
eXp World Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-84.6%
3Y
-47.3%
1Y
-31.9%
6M
-44.3%
1M
-5.8%
1W
+1.0%
AIV
Apartment Investment and Management Company
Peer
5Y
+84.8%
3Y
+15.4%
1Y
-7.9%
6M
-5.0%
1M
-1.2%
1W
-0.8%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-9.51
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.8
P/S Ratio
1.92
EV/Revenue
7.86
EV/EBITDA
20.89
Market Cap
$919.91M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -27.96%
Operating Margin 0.46%
Gross Margin 49.5%
ROE -8.62%
ROA -0.04%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -3.0%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth -2.46%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.53
High debt
Current Ratio
0.97
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.86
Poor
Cash/Share
$1.28

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.1B
Gross Margin
48.7%
Op. Margin
1.3%
Net Margin
-35.7%
Total Assets
$4.4B
Liabilities
$2.7B
Equity
$1.2B
Debt/Equity
2.35x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
8%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-05
$N/A
2024-07-30
$-0.27
+34.1% surprise
2024-04-30
$-0.36
-20.0% surprise
2024-02-20
$-0.35
-75.0% surprise

Real Estate Sector Comparison

Comparing JBGS against 179 companies in the Real Estate sector (8 bullish, 35 neutral, 136 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-8.62%
This Stock
vs
-32.13%
Sector Avg
-73.2% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-27.96%
This Stock
vs
11.45%
Sector Avg
-344.3% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.53
This Stock
vs
2.37
Sector Avg
-35.5% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-3.0%
This Stock
vs
15557.44%
Sector Avg
-100.0% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.97
This Stock
vs
7.46
Sector Avg
-86.9% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

JBGS JBG SMITH Properties
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$920M
P/E
-
ROE
-8.6%
Price
$15.59
SVC Service...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$932M
P/E
-
ROE
-27.0%
Price
$1.44
 Compare with JBGS
ESRT Empire State...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$951M
P/E
22.2
ROE
4.0%
Price
$5.56
 Compare with JBGS
EXPI eXp World...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$965M
P/E
-
ROE
-10.1%
Price
$5.99
 Compare with JBGS
AIV Apartment...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$849M
P/E
-
ROE
-30.6%
Price
$5.89
 Compare with JBGS

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

MUSELES STEVEN A
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-17
20,010 shares
REGAN-LEVINE EVAN
Officer
Sell
2025-11-24
4,485 shares · $80,286
STEWART ROBERT ALEXANDER
Director
Stock Award
2025-11-17
200,000 shares
REGAN-LEVINE EVAN
Officer
Sell
2025-11-07
5,200 shares · $96,512
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-03-18

JBGS filed a definitive proxy statement on March 18, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information to vote at the company's annual meeting.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-17

JBG SMITH is a Maryland REIT specializing in mixed-use properties in the Washington, D.C. area, managing 39 operating assets as of December 31, 2025. The company maintains its REIT status by distributing at least 90% of its taxable income to shareholders, with future distributions dependent on cash generation. A primary risk is the declining demand for its significant office asset portfolio driven by the continued prevalence of work-from-home policies.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-17

JBGS Homes filed an 8-K likely announcing its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results for 2025.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-10-28

JBGS filed its 10-Q on October 28, 2025. The company reported no material changes to the risk factors previously disclosed in its Annual Report. No specific financial highlights were provided in the available excerpts.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-28

JBGS Homes filed an 8-K on October 28, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-07-29

JBGS filed its quarterly 10-Q report on July 29, 2025. The company reported that there have been no material changes to the risk factors previously disclosed in its Annual Report.

8-K
8-K
2025-07-29

JBGS Homes filed an 8-K on July 29, 2025, likely to announce its second-quarter financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-04-29

JBGS filed its quarterly 10-Q report on April 29, 2025. The company stated that there have been no material changes to the risk factors previously disclosed in its Annual Report. No specific financial highlights were provided in the available excerpts.

8-K
8-K
2025-04-29

JBGS Homes likely filed this 8-K to report its first-quarter financial results for 2025.

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2025-03-12

JBGS filed a definitive proxy statement on March 12, 2025, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for its upcoming annual meeting.

10-K
10-K
2025-02-18
8-K
8-K
2025-02-18
10-Q
10-Q
2024-10-29
8-K
8-K
2024-10-29
10-Q
10-Q
2024-07-30
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
UNDERPERFORM
2 analysts
Evercore ISI Group
2026-04-02
Maintains
Underperform Underperform
Evercore ISI Group
2026-02-20
Maintains
Underperform Underperform
Evercore ISI Group
2025-11-14
Maintains
Underperform Underperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning JBGS from our newsroom.

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