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KR

NEUTRAL
$66.93 Live
The Kroger Co. · NYSE
Target $75.45 (+12.7%)
$58.6 52W Range $76.58

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 29, 2026
Market cap
$42.36B
P/E
43.46
ROE
14.4%
Profit margin
0.7%
Debt/Equity
4.16
Dividend yield
2.09%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
The Kroger Co. presents a dichotomy between strong operational execution and deteriorating financial health. While the company maintains a stellar earnings beat record and strong YoY earnings growth (50.9%), its deterministic health is only 'Stable' with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9. Valuation is a primary concern, as the current price of $66.93 significantly exceeds both the Graham Number ($17.90) and the growth-based Intrinsic Value ($45.43). High leverage (Debt/Equity 4.16) and poor liquidity (Current Ratio 0.80) offset the bullish analyst sentiment.

Key Strengths

Exceptional earnings track record with consistent beats over 25 quarters
Strong YoY earnings growth of 50.90%
Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.29) typical of high-volume grocery efficiency
Positive ROE of 14.41% indicating effective equity utilization
Strong analyst consensus with a target price of $75.45

Key Risks

Excessive leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 4.16
Liquidity risk indicated by a Current Ratio of 0.80 and Quick Ratio of 0.30
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 87.01%
Extremely thin net profit margins (0.69%) leaving little room for error
Significant valuation premium over intrinsic and defensive fair values
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$48.5
-27.5% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
53
Moderate
Value
30
Future
75
Past
85
Health
35
Dividend
40
AI Verdict
Speculative Hold
Key drivers: Earnings consistency, High debt load, Valuation gap, Liquidity constraints
Confidence
90%
Value
30/100

Trading at a significant premium to defensive and intrinsic baselines; Forward P/E of 11.90 suggests expected earnings recovery.

Positives
  • Low P/S ratio
Watchpoints
  • Price far exceeds Graham Number ($17.9)
  • Price exceeds Intrinsic Value ($45.43)
  • High P/B ratio of 7.23
Future
75/100

Growth is driven by margin optimization and EPS expansion rather than top-line revenue growth.

Positives
  • Strong YoY earnings growth (50.9%)
  • Consistent quarterly EPS surprises
  • Positive analyst target price
Watchpoints
  • Stagnant revenue growth (1.2%)
Past
85/100

Historically a reliable performer in terms of earnings delivery.

Positives
  • 25-quarter history of meeting or beating estimates
  • Strong 5-year price appreciation (+100.8%)
Watchpoints
  • Recent 1-month bearish trend (-9.2%)
Health
35/100

Financial structure is fragile with high leverage and low immediate liquidity.

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 (Stable)
Watchpoints
  • Debt/Equity of 4.16 is alarmingly high
  • Current Ratio < 1.0
  • Quick Ratio of 0.30 indicates heavy inventory reliance
Dividend
40/100

Dividend is high-risk due to the payout ratio consuming nearly all net income.

Positives
  • Consistent yield of 2.09%
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 87.01% limits dividend growth and safety

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$66.93
Analyst Target
$75.45
Upside/Downside
+12.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for KR and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-28
KR
The Kroger Co.
Primary
5Y
+100.8%
3Y
+47.0%
1Y
-3.0%
6M
-0.1%
1M
-9.2%
1W
-2.7%
ABE
Ambev S.A.
Peer
5Y
+22.3%
3Y
+20.9%
1Y
+57.3%
6M
+17.5%
1M
+17.3%
1W
+7.3%
DEO
Diageo plc
Peer
5Y
-49.1%
3Y
-53.8%
1Y
-26.4%
6M
-16.8%
1M
+8.2%
1W
-3.2%
FMX
Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V.
Peer
5Y
+64.0%
3Y
+33.8%
1Y
+11.3%
6M
+21.0%
1M
+6.5%
1W
-1.9%
HSY
The Hershey Company
Peer
5Y
+29.8%
3Y
-10.8%
1Y
+3.5%
6M
+13.9%
1M
-6.5%
1W
+5.0%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
43.46
Forward P/E
11.9
PEG Ratio
1.58
P/B Ratio
7.23
P/S Ratio
0.29
EV/Revenue
0.51
EV/EBITDA
9.24
Market Cap
$42.36B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 0.69%
Operating Margin 3.44%
Gross Margin 24.1%
ROE 14.41%
ROA 5.76%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +1.2%
Earnings Growth +50.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +1.22%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +35.8%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
4.16
High debt
Current Ratio
0.8
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.3
Poor
Cash/Share
$4.18

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q1 2026

Revenue
$34.7B
Gross Margin
23.4%
Op. Margin
3.6%
Net Margin
2.5%
Total Assets
$50.0B
Liabilities
$44.0B
Equity
$5.9B
Debt/Equity
7.43x
Operating CF
$2.7B
CapEx
$-0.9B
Free Cash Flow
$1.7B
FCF Yield
64%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-06-22
$N/A
2026-03-05
$1.28
+6.5% surprise
2025-12-04
$1.05
+1.7% surprise
2025-09-11
$1.04
+4.2% surprise

Consumer Defensive Sector Comparison

Comparing KR against 178 companies in the Consumer Defensive sector (11 bullish, 65 neutral, 102 bearish)
P/E Ratio
43.46
This Stock
vs
37.2
Sector Avg
+16.8% (Premium)
Return on Equity (ROE)
14.41%
This Stock
vs
-12.61%
Sector Avg
-214.2% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
0.69%
This Stock
vs
-7.14%
Sector Avg
-109.6% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
4.16
This Stock
vs
1.87
Sector Avg
+122.7% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
1.2%
This Stock
vs
106.86%
Sector Avg
-98.9% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.8
This Stock
vs
2.27
Sector Avg
-64.7% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

COSSET YAEL
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-12
36,961 shares
FIKE CARIN L
Officer and Treasurer
Stock Award
2026-03-12
3,194 shares
ARREAGA GABRIEL
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-12
6,504 shares
JABBAR VALERIE L
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-12
13,140 shares
NICHOLS BRIAN W
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-12
5,558 shares
KENNERLEY DAVID JOHN CHRISTOPHER
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-12
18,386 shares
KELLEY JOSEPH MICHAEL
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-12
9,345 shares
SHAFFER MEGAN N
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-12
4,159 shares
VINCENT GEORGE H.
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-12
8,455 shares
MASSA TIMOTHY A
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-12
30,281 shares
FORAN GREGORY S
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-12
48,026 shares
ADCOCK MARY ELLEN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-12
29,481 shares
SARGENT RONALD L
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-19
96,139 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

10-K
10-K
2026-03-31

The provided excerpts for KR's 10-K filing consist primarily of the table of contents and standard forward-looking statement disclosures. Specific financial highlights and detailed risk factors were not included in the provided text.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-03-05

Kimberly-Clark Corporation filed an 8-K likely to announce its quarterly or annual financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-02-09

Kimberly-Clark Corporation likely filed this 8-K to announce its quarterly financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-12-12

KR submitted its quarterly 10-Q filing on December 12, 2025. Due to the lack of provided excerpts, specific financial highlights and risk factors are unavailable for analysis.

8-K/A
FORM 8-K/A
2025-12-05

The Kroger Co. filed an amendment to a previously submitted Form 8-K.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-12-04

The Kroger Co. likely reported its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-11-18

Kroger Co. filed an 8-K likely announcing its third-quarter financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-09-19

KR filed its Form 10-Q on September 19, 2025. Due to the absence of provided excerpts, specific financial highlights and risk factors are unavailable for summary.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-09-11
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-06-27
10-Q
10-Q
2025-06-27
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-06-20
DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2025-05-15
10-K
10-K
2025-04-01
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-03-20
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
22 analysts
Evercore ISI Group
2026-03-09
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Citigroup
2026-03-09
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Roth Capital
2026-03-06
reit
Buy Buy
Morgan Stanley
2026-03-06
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Telsey Advisory Group
2026-03-05
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Wells Fargo
2026-02-25
down
Overweight Equal-Weight
Guggenheim
2026-02-10
reit
Buy Buy
Telsey Advisory Group
2026-02-09
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Morgan Stanley
2026-01-15
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Barclays
2026-01-08
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning KR from our newsroom.

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