LW

BEARISH

$43.03 Live

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. · NYSE

Target $46.36 (+7.7%)

$37.62 52W Range $67.07

LW Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH

Console Chart News

LW Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights

NYSE • Consumer Defensive • Packaged Foods

Current Price Live

$43.03

Analyst Target

$46.36

+7.7% Upside

52W High

$67.07

52W Low

$37.62

Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 30, 2026

Market cap

$5.94B

P/E

20.2

ROE

17.4%

Profit margin

4.6%

Debt/Equity

2.2

Dividend yield

3.53%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence

85%

Lamb Weston exhibits significant fundamental deterioration, highlighted by a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 (Stable/Weak) and a severe earnings collapse of -62.20% YoY. The stock is trading at a substantial premium to its Graham Number ($25.10) and Intrinsic Value ($14.91), suggesting a lack of valuation support. While analysts maintain a 'Buy' rating, the technical trend is 0/100 (Bearish) and the company's high Debt/Equity ratio (2.20) combined with a low Quick Ratio (0.57) indicates mounting financial pressure.

Key Strengths

Strong ROE of 17.36% indicating efficient equity utilization

Consistent history of beating earnings estimates in recent quarters

Operates in the Consumer Defensive sector providing some recessionary hedge

Positive PEG ratio (0.97) suggesting some growth potential relative to P/E

Analyst consensus remains positive with a target price of $46.36

Key Risks

Severe earnings contraction (-62.20% YoY) indicating operational distress

High leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.20

Poor liquidity indicated by a Quick Ratio of 0.57

Extreme bearish technical momentum (0/100 trend score)

Dividend sustainability risk given the 69.95% payout ratio amidst falling earnings

AI Fair Value Estimate

Based on comprehensive analysis

$25.1

-41.7% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall

Weak

Value

Future

Past

Health

Dividend

AI Verdict

Underperforming/Overvalued

Key drivers: Earnings collapse, High leverage, Price-to-Intrinsic gap, Bearish technicals

Confidence

90%

Value

20/100

Ref P/E 20.20, Graham Number $25.1

Positives

P/S ratio under 1.0

Watchpoints

Price ($43.03) is 71% above Graham Number ($25.1)
Price is nearly 3x the Intrinsic Value ($14.91)

Future

30/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives

Forward P/E (14.36) is lower than trailing P/E

Watchpoints

Earnings growth -62.20% YoY
Stagnant revenue growth (2.90%)

Past

15/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives

Recent quarterly earnings beats

Watchpoints

3Y Change: -59.2%
5Y Change: -41.6%

Health

45/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score, Debt/Equity

Positives

Current Ratio 1.46 is above 1.0

Watchpoints

Piotroski F-Score 4/9 is barely stable
Debt/Equity 2.20 is high for the sector

Dividend

60/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives

Yield of 3.53% is attractive

Watchpoints

Payout ratio 69.95% is high given earnings volatility

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price

$43.03

Analyst Target

$46.36

Upside/Downside

+7.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for LW and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-29

Company	5Y	3Y	1Y	6M	1M	1W
LW Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. Primary	-41.6%	-59.2%	-15.2%	-30.9%	+5.1%	-4.4%
OLLI Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. Peer	-0.5%	+57.4%	-16.8%	-24.5%	-10.7%	-2.1%
SFM Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. Peer	+169.9%	+104.1%	-58.3%	-33.8%	-8.4%	-6.0%
CAG Conagra Brands, Inc. Peer	-51.7%	-56.2%	-38.9%	-19.4%	-7.5%	-4.6%
GHC Graham Holdings Company Peer	+91.6%	+107.1%	+26.8%	+12.7%	+10.8%	+0.9%

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.

Primary

-41.6%

-59.2%

-15.2%

-30.9%

+5.1%

-4.4%

OLL

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.

Peer

-0.5%

+57.4%

-16.8%

-24.5%

-10.7%

-2.1%

SFM

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.

Peer

+169.9%

+104.1%

-58.3%

-33.8%

-8.4%

-6.0%

CAG

Conagra Brands, Inc.

Peer

-51.7%

-56.2%

-38.9%

-19.4%

-7.5%

-4.6%

GHC

Graham Holdings Company

Peer

+91.6%

+107.1%

+26.8%

+12.7%

+10.8%

+0.9%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

20.2

14.36

0.97

3.27

0.91

1.52

8.5

$5.94B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 4.61%

Operating Margin 10.93%

Gross Margin 20.66%

ROE 17.36%

ROA 6.34%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +2.9%

Earnings Growth -62.2%

Q/Q Revenue Growth +2.91%

Q/Q Earnings Growth -63.0%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity

2.2

High debt

Current Ratio

1.46

Good

Quick Ratio

0.57

Poor

Cash/Share

$0.42

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q1 2026

Revenue

$1.6B

Gross Margin

21.2%

Op. Margin

11.2%

Net Margin

3.5%

Total Assets

$7.4B

Liabilities

$5.6B

Equity

$1.8B

Debt/Equity

3.05x

Operating CF

$0.1B

CapEx

$-0.1B

Free Cash Flow

$-0.0B

FCF Yield

-56%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-07-22

$N/A

2026-04-01

$0.72

+17.4% surprise

2025-12-19

$0.69

+6.4% surprise

2025-09-30

$0.74

+38.7% surprise

Consumer Defensive Sector Comparison

Comparing LW against 185 companies in the Consumer Defensive sector (10 bullish, 66 neutral, 109 bearish)

P/E Ratio

20.2

This Stock

36.87

Sector Avg

-45.2% (Discount)

Return on Equity (ROE)

17.36%

This Stock

-12.24%

Sector Avg

-241.8% (Below Avg)

Profit Margin

4.61%

This Stock

-7.91%

Sector Avg

-158.2% (Weaker)

Debt to Equity

2.2

This Stock

1.85

Sector Avg

+18.8% (Higher)

Revenue Growth

2.9%

This Stock

103.21%

Sector Avg

-97.2% (Slower)

Current Ratio

1.46

This Stock

2.28

Sector Avg

-35.9% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company	AI Rating	Market Cap	P/E	ROE	Profit Margin	Price
LW Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.	BEARISH	$5.94B	20.2	17.4%	4.6%	$43.03
OLLI Ollie's Bargain Outlet...	NEUTRAL	$5.84B	24.48	13.4%	9.1%	$95.23	Compare
SFM Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.	NEUTRAL	$6.69B	13.32	38.4%	5.9%	$70.74	Compare
CAG Conagra Brands, Inc.	BEARISH	$6.78B	-	-0.5%	-0.4%	$14.17	Compare
GHC Graham Holdings Company	NEUTRAL	$5.05B	17.48	6.5%	6.0%	$1161.64	Compare

LW Lamb Weston...

BEARISH

Mkt Cap

$5.9B

P/E

20.2

ROE

17.4%

Price

$43.03

Compare with LW

Compare with LW

CAG Conagra Brands, Inc.

Compare with LW

GHC Graham Holdings Company

Compare with LW

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date	Insider	Position	Transaction	Shares	Value
2026-04-27	GRAY JAMES D.	Chief Financial Officer	Purchase	4,556	$199,781
2026-04-15	JANA PARTNERS MANAGEMENT, L.P.	Unknown	Purchase	150,000	$6,371,500
2026-04-10	GRAY JAMES D.	Chief Financial Officer	Stock Award	54,985	-
2026-04-08	JANA PARTNERS MANAGEMENT, L.P.	Unknown	Purchase	236,000	$9,702,040
2026-04-07	PRESTAGE NORMAN	Director	Purchase	2,500	$103,500
2026-04-06	BENSEN PETER J	Director	Purchase	5,000	$197,225
2026-02-06	SPYTEK ERYK J	General Counsel	Stock Award	11,726	-
2026-02-06	SMITH MICHAEL JARED	Chief Executive Officer	Stock Award	29,314	-
2026-02-06	YOUNES STEVEN J	Officer	Stock Award	13,680	-
2026-02-06	SCHROEDER MARC	Officer	Stock Award	13,680	-
2026-02-06	WILKS SYLVIA	Officer	Stock Award	13,680	-
2026-02-06	CROWLEY MICHAEL CHRISTOPHER	Officer	Stock Award	13,680	-
2026-02-06	HESELTON BENJAMIN	Chief Technology Officer	Stock Award	8,208	-

GRAY JAMES D.

Chief Financial Officer

Buy

2026-04-27

4,556 shares · $199,781

JANA PARTNERS MANAGEMENT, L.P.

Unknown

Buy

2026-04-15

150,000 shares · $6,371,500

GRAY JAMES D.

Chief Financial Officer

Stock Award

2026-04-10

54,985 shares

JANA PARTNERS MANAGEMENT, L.P.

Unknown

Buy

2026-04-08

236,000 shares · $9,702,040

PRESTAGE NORMAN

Director

Buy

2026-04-07

2,500 shares · $103,500

BENSEN PETER J

Director

Buy

2026-04-06

5,000 shares · $197,225

SPYTEK ERYK J

General Counsel

Stock Award

2026-02-06

11,726 shares

SMITH MICHAEL JARED

Chief Executive Officer

Stock Award

2026-02-06

29,314 shares

YOUNES STEVEN J

Officer

Stock Award

2026-02-06

13,680 shares

SCHROEDER MARC

Officer

Stock Award

2026-02-06

13,680 shares

WILKS SYLVIA

Officer

Stock Award

2026-02-06

13,680 shares

CROWLEY MICHAEL CHRISTOPHER

Officer

Stock Award

2026-02-06

13,680 shares

HESELTON BENJAMIN

Chief Technology Officer

Stock Award

2026-02-06

8,208 shares

Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K

2026-04-01

10-Q

2026-04-01

LW's 10-Q filing dated April 1, 2026, includes disclosures regarding unregistered sales of equity securities and defaults upon senior securities. These items suggest potential liquidity pressures and credit risks that may impact the company's financial stability.

8-K/A

2026-02-20

LW filed an amendment to a previously submitted Form 8-K.

8-K

FORM 8-K

2026-02-04

Lululemon Athletica Inc. filed an 8-K likely reporting its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K

2026-01-08

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. filed an 8-K, likely to announce its quarterly financial results or a material corporate update.

10-Q

2025-12-19

LW's 10-Q filing dated December 19, 2025, includes disclosures regarding risk factors and unregistered sales of equity securities. The report also contains a section addressing defaults upon senior securities, indicating potential credit and liquidity risks.

8-K

2025-12-19

10-Q

2025-09-30

LW's 10-Q filing dated September 30, 2025, includes sections addressing unregistered sales of equity securities and defaults upon senior securities. These entries suggest potential investor risks related to capital structure changes and debt obligations. No specific financial performance metrics were provided in the available excerpt.

8-K

2025-09-30

8-K

2025-09-26

DEF 14A

2025-08-07

10-K

2025-07-23

8-K

2025-07-23

8-K

2025-06-30

10-Q

2025-04-03

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus

BUY

11 analysts

BNP Paribas

2026-04-02

Maintains

Neutral Neutral

Barclays

2026-04-02

Maintains

Overweight Overweight

Stifel

2026-04-02

Maintains

Hold Hold

Wells Fargo

2026-04-02

Maintains

Overweight Overweight

B of A Securities

2026-04-02

Maintains

Neutral Neutral

Deutsche Bank

2026-03-30

Maintains

Hold Hold

JP Morgan

2026-03-24

Maintains

Neutral Neutral

Barclays

2025-12-23

Maintains

Overweight Overweight

Wells Fargo

2025-12-23

Maintains

Overweight Overweight

Deutsche Bank

2025-12-22

Maintains

Hold Hold

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning LW from our newsroom.

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LW

LW Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

At a glance

AI Analysis

Key Strengths

Key Risks

Performance Snowflake

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Historical Performance Trends

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Valuation Metrics

Profitability

Growth

Financial Health

Financial Statement Flow

Quarterly Earnings History

Consumer Defensive Sector Comparison

Similar Companies

Recent Insider Trading

SEC Filings

Wall Street Analysts

Past News Coverage

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