LYB
BEARISH
$73.29
Live
LyondellBasell Industries N.V. · NYSE
Target $75.82
(+3.5%)
$41.58
52W Range
$83.94
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 30, 2026
Market cap
$23.66B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-6.9%
Profit margin
-2.5%
Debt/Equity
1.44
Dividend yield
6.55%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
LYB exhibits severe fundamental deterioration, highlighted by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 and a critical dividend payout ratio of 1146.81%. While the stock has seen a recent price rally, the underlying financials show negative profit margins, negative ROE, and contracting revenue growth (-25.33% Q/Q). The combination of bearish insider sentiment and a 0/100 technical trend suggests the current price is unsupported by operational reality. The company is currently operating as a dividend trap, paying out far more than it earns.
Key Strengths
Reasonable Forward P/E of 12.85
Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.78)
Healthy Current Ratio (1.77) providing short-term liquidity
Strong 1-year price appreciation (+36.1%)
High nominal dividend yield (6.55%)
Key Risks
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (1146.81%)
Severe fundamental weakness (Piotroski F-Score 2/9)
Negative profitability (Profit Margin -2.47%, ROE -6.95%)
Accelerating revenue decline (-25.33% Q/Q)
Bearish insider activity with $26.26M in recent sales
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$58.5
-20.2% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
26
Weak
45
20
40
15
10
AI Verdict
Fundamental Decay
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score, Dividend Payout Ratio, Revenue Growth, Profitability
Confidence
90%
Value
45/100
Forward P/E 12.85, P/S 0.78
Positives
- Low P/S ratio
- Moderate Forward P/E
Watchpoints
- P/B of 2.34 is high relative to negative ROE
- Lack of earnings stability
Future
20/100
Negative growth trajectory across revenue and earnings
Positives
- Analyst target price ($75.82) is slightly above current price
Watchpoints
- YoY Revenue Growth -9.20%
- Q/Q Revenue Growth -25.33%
- Recent EPS surprise of -204.9%
Past
40/100
Recent price gains are decoupled from earnings performance
Positives
- Strong 6-month price momentum (+63.4%)
Watchpoints
- Poor earnings track record in the last 4 quarters (1/4 beats)
- Long-term 5Y change is flat (-0.4%)
Health
15/100
F-Score indicates significant financial health deterioration
Positives
- Current Ratio 1.77
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score 2/9 (Weak)
- Debt/Equity 1.44 is higher than sector average (0.86)
Dividend
10/100
Extreme payout ratio indicates imminent risk of dividend cut
Positives
- High yield of 6.55%
Watchpoints
- Payout ratio of 1146.81% is mathematically unsustainable
- Dividends are likely being funded by debt or cash reserves rather than earnings
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$73.29
Analyst Target
$75.82
Upside/Downside
+3.5%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for LYB and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-29
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
LYB
LyondellBasell Industries N.V.
Primary
|
-0.4% | -4.0% | +36.1% | +63.4% | -11.0% | +1.8% |
|
RGLD
Royal Gold, Inc.
Peer
|
+142.6% | +99.0% | +46.3% | +38.9% | +10.8% | +0.5% |
|
PPG
PPG Industries, Inc.
Peer
|
-29.3% | -15.9% | +9.9% | +6.0% | +6.2% | -3.9% |
|
ALB
Albemarle Corporation
Peer
|
+13.7% | -25.1% | +115.4% | +128.2% | +27.6% | +16.2% |
|
CDE
Coeur Mining, Inc.
Peer
|
+97.8% | +427.6% | +230.7% | +3.5% | +8.2% | -5.2% |
LYB
LyondellBasell Industries N.V.
Primary
5Y
-0.4%
3Y
-4.0%
1Y
+36.1%
6M
+63.4%
1M
-11.0%
1W
+1.8%
RGL
Royal Gold, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+142.6%
3Y
+99.0%
1Y
+46.3%
6M
+38.9%
1M
+10.8%
1W
+0.5%
PPG
PPG Industries, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-29.3%
3Y
-15.9%
1Y
+9.9%
6M
+6.0%
1M
+6.2%
1W
-3.9%
ALB
Albemarle Corporation
Peer
5Y
+13.7%
3Y
-25.1%
1Y
+115.4%
6M
+128.2%
1M
+27.6%
1W
+16.2%
CDE
Coeur Mining, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+97.8%
3Y
+427.6%
1Y
+230.7%
6M
+3.5%
1M
+8.2%
1W
-5.2%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
12.85
PEG Ratio
1.53
P/B Ratio
2.34
P/S Ratio
0.78
EV/Revenue
1.16
EV/EBITDA
16.07
Market Cap
$23.66B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
-2.47%
Operating Margin
-0.92%
Gross Margin
8.96%
ROE
-6.95%
ROA
1.69%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-9.2%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
-25.33%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
1.44
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.77
Good
Quick Ratio
1.02
Good
Cash/Share
$10.69
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$7.1B
Gross Margin
4.7%
Op. Margin
-1.0%
Net Margin
-2.0%
Total Assets
$34.0B
Liabilities
$23.8B
Equity
$10.1B
Debt/Equity
2.36x
Operating CF
$1.5B
CapEx
$-0.5B
Free Cash Flow
$1.1B
FCF Yield
70%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-01
$N/A
2026-01-30
$-0.26
-204.9% surprise
2025-10-31
$1.01
+25.9% surprise
2025-08-01
$0.62
-20.8% surprise
Basic Materials Sector Comparison
Comparing LYB against 159 companies in the Basic Materials sector
(17 bullish, 61 neutral, 81 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-6.95%
This Stock
vs
-6.54%
Sector Avg
+6.2%
(Above Avg)
Profit Margin
-2.47%
This Stock
vs
-5.1%
Sector Avg
-51.6%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.44
This Stock
vs
0.87
Sector Avg
+65.6%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
-9.2%
This Stock
vs
38.08%
Sector Avg
-124.2%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.77
This Stock
vs
4.87
Sector Avg
-63.6%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
LYB
LyondellBasell Industries N.V.
|
BEARISH | $23.66B | - | -6.9% | -2.5% | $73.29 | |
|
RGLD
Royal Gold, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $22.75B | 40.02 | 9.1% | 45.6% | $268.12 | Compare |
|
PPG
PPG Industries, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $24.68B | 15.94 | 21.1% | 9.9% | $110.3 | Compare |
|
ALB
Albemarle Corporation
|
BEARISH | $22.3B | - | 0.2% | -0.4% | $189.51 | Compare |
|
CDE
Coeur Mining, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $19.99B | 20.33 | 26.4% | 28.3% | $19.31 | Compare |
LYB
LyondellBasell...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$23.7B
P/E
-
ROE
-6.9%
Price
$73.29
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | KARLIN BRIDGET E | Director | Stock Award | 708 | - |
| 2026-03-31 | KAMSKY VIRGINIA ANN | Director | Stock Award | 646 | - |
| 2026-03-09 | AI INVESTMENTS HOLDINGS, L.L.C. | Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Gift | 464,610 | - |
| 2026-03-09 | AI INVESTMENTS HOLDINGS, L.L.C. | Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Sale | 385,390 | $26,256,663 |
| 2026-02-27 | FRIEDRICHS DALE D | Officer | Stock Award | 15,998 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | RHENMAN TORKEL | Officer | Stock Award | 22,552 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | SEWARD JAMES MALCOLM | Officer | Stock Award | 12,209 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | FOLEY KIMBERLY A | Officer | Stock Award | 23,052 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | VANACKER PETER Z E | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 98,549 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | VAN DER LAAN YVONNE | Officer | Stock Award | 12,475 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | KAPLAN JEFFREY A | General Counsel | Stock Award | 21,203 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | CAMPBELL TRACEY D | Officer | Stock Award | 5,282 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | CONLEY TRISHA L | Officer | Stock Award | 15,068 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | LEDET AARON J | Officer | Stock Award | 17,247 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | IZQUIERDO SABIDO AGUSTIN | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 20,158 | - |
KARLIN BRIDGET E
Director
2026-03-31
708 shares
KAMSKY VIRGINIA ANN
Director
2026-03-31
646 shares
AI INVESTMENTS HOLDINGS, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
2026-03-09
464,610 shares
AI INVESTMENTS HOLDINGS, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
2026-03-09
385,390 shares
·
$26,256,663
FRIEDRICHS DALE D
Officer
2026-02-27
15,998 shares
RHENMAN TORKEL
Officer
2026-02-27
22,552 shares
SEWARD JAMES MALCOLM
Officer
2026-02-27
12,209 shares
FOLEY KIMBERLY A
Officer
2026-02-27
23,052 shares
VANACKER PETER Z E
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-27
98,549 shares
VAN DER LAAN YVONNE
Officer
2026-02-27
12,475 shares
KAPLAN JEFFREY A
General Counsel
2026-02-27
21,203 shares
CAMPBELL TRACEY D
Officer
2026-02-27
5,282 shares
CONLEY TRISHA L
Officer
2026-02-27
15,068 shares
LEDET AARON J
Officer
2026-02-27
17,247 shares
IZQUIERDO SABIDO AGUSTIN
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-27
20,158 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
SEC Filings
Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database
DEF 14A
10-K
8-K
8-K
10-Q
8-K
10-Q
8-K
8-K
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
HOLD
17 analysts
Morgan Stanley
2026-04-21
Overweight
Overweight
Citigroup
2026-04-08
Buy
Buy
Wells Fargo
2026-03-30
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Mizuho
2026-03-23
Neutral
Neutral
Deutsche Bank
2026-03-19
Hold
Hold
UBS
2026-03-18
Sell
Neutral
Wells Fargo
2026-03-13
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Citigroup
2026-03-12
Neutral
Buy
Jefferies
2026-03-10
Hold
Hold
Fermium Research
2026-03-09
Hold
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning LYB from our newsroom.
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No matching news yet.