MFG

NEUTRAL

$8.42 Live

Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. · NYSE

Target $9.0 (+6.9%)

$4.77 52W Range $10.28

MFG Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL

Console Chart News

MFG Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights

NYSE • Financial Services • Banks - Regional

Current Price Live

$8.42

Analyst Target

$9.0

+6.9% Upside

52W High

$10.28

52W Low

$4.77

Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 30, 2026

Market cap

$102.66B

P/E

15.89

ROE

9.7%

Profit margin

26.1%

Debt/Equity

N/A

Dividend yield

2.33%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence

85%

MFG presents a stark dichotomy between poor operational health (Piotroski F-Score: 2/9) and highly attractive valuation metrics. The stock is currently trading near its Graham Number ($8.22) and significantly below its growth-based intrinsic value ($15.64). While the company demonstrates strong earnings growth (16.4% YoY) and a compelling forward P/E of 6.06, the low F-Score suggests deteriorating fundamental trends that offset the valuation appeal. Consequently, the stock is a high-value play burdened by significant internal health warnings.

Key Strengths

Significant undervaluation with a Forward P/E of 6.06 and PEG of 0.95

Strong earnings track record with 3/4 recent quarters beating estimates

Impressive long-term price appreciation (5Y Change: +206.5%)

Sustainable dividend profile with a conservative payout ratio of 34.75%

Trading very close to the Graham Number defensive fair value ($8.22)

Key Risks

Critical weakness in operational health as indicated by a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9

Very low Return on Assets (ROA: 0.36%) indicating inefficient asset utilization

Bearish technical trend score (0/100) despite recent price increases

Weak insider sentiment (40/100) suggesting lack of internal confidence

Potential volatility inherent in the regional banking sector

AI Fair Value Estimate

Based on comprehensive analysis

$11.93

+41.7% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall

Strong

Value

Future

Past

Health

Dividend

AI Verdict

Value Trap Warning

Key drivers: Extreme valuation discount, Poor Piotroski health score, Strong earnings growth

Confidence

90%

Value

90/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives

Forward P/E 6.06
PEG 0.95
Price near Graham Number

Watchpoints

P/B of 1.49 is slightly elevated for a struggling health profile

Future

75/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives

16.4% YoY Earnings Growth
Consistent earnings surprises

Watchpoints

Recent Q/Q EPS growth decline of 19%

Past

85/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives

Strong 1Y (+65.1%) and 5Y (+206.5%) returns
Consistent history of beating analyst estimates

Watchpoints

No urgent risks highlighted.

Health

20/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives

No standout positives identified.

Watchpoints

Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 is critically low
Low ROA

Dividend

60/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives

Low payout ratio (34.75%)

Watchpoints

Relatively low yield (2.33%) for a financial institution

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price

$8.42

Analyst Target

$9.0

Upside/Downside

+6.9%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MFG and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-29

Company	5Y	3Y	1Y	6M	1M	1W
MFG Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. Primary	+206.5%	+204.4%	+65.1%	+27.4%	+10.3%	+1.9%
CME CME Group Inc. Peer	+107.0%	+88.5%	+33.3%	+4.1%	+6.3%	+3.1%
CM Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Peer	+164.8%	+204.6%	+84.8%	+34.2%	+13.4%	+0.2%
BN Brookfield Corporation Peer	+139.4%	+96.9%	+19.5%	+4.9%	+1.2%	-0.4%
BMO Bank of Montreal Peer	+120.0%	+57.5%	+42.1%	+21.6%	+5.5%	+0.9%

MFG

Mizuho Financial Group, Inc.

Primary

+206.5%

+204.4%

+65.1%

+27.4%

+10.3%

+1.9%

CME

CME Group Inc.

Peer

+107.0%

+88.5%

+33.3%

+4.1%

+6.3%

+3.1%

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Peer

+164.8%

+204.6%

+84.8%

+34.2%

+13.4%

+0.2%

Brookfield Corporation

Peer

+139.4%

+96.9%

+19.5%

+4.9%

+1.2%

-0.4%

BMO

Bank of Montreal

Peer

+120.0%

+57.5%

+42.1%

+21.6%

+5.5%

+0.9%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

15.89

6.06

0.95

1.49

0.03

-13.3

N/A

$102.66B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 26.13%

Operating Margin 36.26%

Gross Margin N/A

ROE 9.65%

ROA 0.36%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +5.5%

Earnings Growth +16.4%

Q/Q Revenue Growth +11.16%

Q/Q Earnings Growth +14.1%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity

N/A

Current Ratio

N/A

Quick Ratio

N/A

Cash/Share

$51518.0

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue

$1072.6B

Net Margin

30.8%

Total Assets

$297570.2B

Liabilities

$286311.4B

Equity

$11175.4B

Debt/Equity

25.62x

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-15

$N/A

2026-02-02

$0.17

+22.0% surprise

2025-11-14

$0.21

+24.8% surprise

2025-07-31

$0.16

+6.0% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing MFG against 900 companies in the Financial Services sector (146 bullish, 386 neutral, 368 bearish)

P/E Ratio

15.89

This Stock

34.62

Sector Avg

-54.1% (Discount)

Return on Equity (ROE)

9.65%

This Stock

0.0%

Sector Avg

+338243.4% (Excellent)

Profit Margin

26.13%

This Stock

91.87%

Sector Avg

-71.6% (Weaker)

Revenue Growth

5.5%

This Stock

34.34%

Sector Avg

-84.0% (Slower)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company	AI Rating	Market Cap	P/E	ROE	Profit Margin	Price
MFG Mizuho Financial Group, Inc.	NEUTRAL	$102.66B	15.89	9.7%	26.1%	$8.42
CME CME Group Inc.	NEUTRAL	$102.78B	27.62	13.3%	58.9%	$285.04	Compare
CM Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce	NEUTRAL	$100.8B	15.6	14.7%	33.5%	$109.52	Compare
BN Brookfield Corporation	NEUTRAL	$106.0B	131.03	1.0%	1.3%	$47.17	Compare
BMO Bank of Montreal	NEUTRAL	$98.97B	16.77	10.1%	26.7%	$137.69	Compare

MFG Mizuho Financial...

NEUTRAL

Mkt Cap

$102.7B

P/E

15.9

ROE

9.7%

Price

$8.42

Compare with MFG

Compare with MFG

BN Brookfield Corporation

Compare with MFG

Compare with MFG

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

20-F

ANNUAL REPORT

2025-06-25

MFG filed its annual report on Form 20-F on June 25, 2025. Specific financial highlights and risk factors were not provided in the available metadata.

20-F

ANNUAL REPORT

2024-06-26

MFG filed its annual report on Form 20-F on June 26, 2024. Due to the limited content provided, specific financial highlights and risk factors are unavailable for summary.

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning MFG from our newsroom.

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MFG

MFG Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

At a glance

AI Analysis

Key Strengths

Key Risks

Performance Snowflake

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Historical Performance Trends

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Valuation Metrics

Profitability

Growth

Financial Health

Financial Statement Flow

Quarterly Earnings History

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Similar Companies

SEC Filings

Past News Coverage

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