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MNSO

NEUTRAL
$14.53 Live
MINISO Group Holding Limited · NYSE
Target $23.22 (+59.8%)
$14.49 52W Range $26.74

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 30, 2026
Market cap
$4.53B
P/E
14.25
ROE
11.5%
Profit margin
5.6%
Debt/Equity
1.01
Dividend yield
4.58%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
MNSO exhibits a strong fundamental profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, indicating robust operational health, and impressive YoY revenue growth of 32.70%. However, the stock is currently in a severe technical downtrend (0/100) and is trading near its 52-week low, suggesting significant market pessimism. While valuation metrics like the Forward P/E (8.22) and Price/Sales (0.21) are highly attractive, the current price of $14.53 sits above the Graham Number ($10.82) and Intrinsic Value ($7.14). The disconnect between strong growth/health and poor price action warrants a neutral stance until a technical reversal is confirmed.

Key Strengths

Strong operational health evidenced by a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9
Exceptional top-line growth with 32.70% YoY revenue increase
Highly attractive valuation multiples, specifically a P/S ratio of 0.21
Consistent track record of beating earnings estimates (3 of last 4 quarters)
Sustainable dividend yield of 4.58% with a manageable payout ratio

Key Risks

Severe bearish technical momentum (0/100 trend score)
Weak insider sentiment (40/100) suggesting lack of internal confidence
Price is currently trading near its 52-week low ($14.49)
Exposure to consumer cyclical volatility in the specialty retail sector
Moderate leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.01
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$12.8
-11.9% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
68
Strong
Value
70
Future
85
Past
30
Health
80
Dividend
75
AI Verdict
Fundamental Value Trap
Key drivers: High Revenue Growth, Strong Piotroski Score, Extreme Technical Weakness, Low P/S Ratio
Confidence
80%
Value
70/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 8.22 is very low
  • P/S of 0.21 suggests deep undervaluation relative to sales
Watchpoints
  • Price is above Graham Number ($10.82) and Intrinsic Value ($7.14)
Future
85/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 32.7% YoY Revenue growth
  • 28.17% Q/Q Revenue growth
Watchpoints
  • Lack of provided EPS growth data for the most recent period
Past
30/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Consistent earnings surprises over the last 20 quarters
Watchpoints
  • 5Y change of -38.6%
  • 6M change of -30.8%
Health
80/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9 (Strong)
  • Current Ratio 1.66 indicates good liquidity
Watchpoints
  • Debt/Equity at 1.01 is moderate
Dividend
75/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Yield of 4.58% is strong for the sector
  • Dividend strength score 70/100
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 63.81% limits aggressive dividend growth

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$14.53
Analyst Target
$23.22
Upside/Downside
+59.8%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MNSO and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-29
MNS
MINISO Group Holding Limited
Primary
5Y
-38.6%
3Y
-10.4%
1Y
-15.5%
6M
-30.8%
1M
-3.1%
1W
-3.0%
ANF
Abercrombie & Fitch Co.
Peer
5Y
+294.4%
3Y
+242.8%
1Y
-22.4%
6M
+4.3%
1M
-24.0%
1W
-7.5%
MTH
Meritage Homes Corporation
Peer
5Y
+33.5%
3Y
+12.6%
1Y
+2.7%
6M
+1.3%
1M
+11.6%
1W
-2.5%
BBW
Bath & Body Works, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-30.8%
3Y
-47.1%
1Y
-38.5%
6M
-28.3%
1M
+12.6%
1W
-4.6%
MAT
Mattel, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-31.9%
3Y
-17.8%
1Y
-5.9%
6M
-23.1%
1M
+4.5%
1W
-0.6%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
14.25
Forward P/E
8.22
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.85
P/S Ratio
0.21
EV/Revenue
1.01
EV/EBITDA
6.07
Market Cap
$4.53B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 5.62%
Operating Margin 14.87%
Gross Margin 44.99%
ROE 11.48%
ROA 8.93%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +32.7%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +28.17%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.01
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.66
Good
Quick Ratio
1.06
Good
Cash/Share
$5.77

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q3 2025

Revenue
$5.8B
Gross Margin
44.7%
Op. Margin
14.0%
Net Margin
7.6%
Total Assets
$28.7B
Liabilities
$17.8B
Equity
$10.7B
Debt/Equity
1.66x

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-21
$N/A
2026-03-31
$2.8
+8.2% surprise
2025-11-20
$2.48
+5.3% surprise
2025-08-21
$2.24
+28.2% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing MNSO against 432 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (26 bullish, 157 neutral, 249 bearish)
P/E Ratio
14.25
This Stock
vs
32.3
Sector Avg
-55.9% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
11.48%
This Stock
vs
-49.64%
Sector Avg
-123.1% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
5.62%
This Stock
vs
-5.61%
Sector Avg
-200.1% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.01
This Stock
vs
1.61
Sector Avg
-37.2% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
32.7%
This Stock
vs
26.41%
Sector Avg
+23.8% (Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
1.66
This Stock
vs
2.5
Sector Avg
-33.6% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

20-F
20-F
2026-04-24

MNSO filed its 20-F annual report on April 24, 2026, providing a comprehensive overview of its yearly financial performance and operational results. The filing contains the company's audited financial statements and detailed disclosures regarding its business risks and strategic outlook.

20-F
20-F
2025-04-24

MNSO filed its annual 20-F report on April 24, 2025. Due to the absence of provided excerpts, specific financial highlights and risk factors cannot be detailed at this time.

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning MNSO from our newsroom.

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