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MSB

BEARISH
$26.68 Live
Mesabi Trust · NYSE
$22.55 52W Range $42.38
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 30, 2026
Market cap
$350.04M
P/E
25.17
ROE
63.4%
Profit margin
79.1%
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
3.6%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
95%
MSB exhibits severe valuation misalignment and deteriorating fundamentals, anchored by a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 (Stable/Weak) and a massive gap between its current price ($26.68) and its Graham Number ($6.09). The company is experiencing a collapse in growth, with revenue and earnings both plummeting over 47% YoY. Furthermore, the dividend is unsustainable with a payout ratio of 121.10%, and the technical trend is completely bearish (0/100).

Key Strengths

Strong liquidity with a Current Ratio of 6.16
Historically high profit margins (79.14%)
High Return on Equity (63.43%)
Positive long-term 3Y and 5Y price performance
Low debt profile (implied by high current ratio and sector context)

Key Risks

Extreme overvaluation relative to Graham Number and Intrinsic Value
Severe revenue contraction (-47.60% YoY)
Earnings collapse (-55.10% YoY)
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (121.10%)
Strong bearish momentum across 1-month and 6-month timeframes
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$6.75
-74.7% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
28
Weak
Value
10
Future
15
Past
50
Health
45
Dividend
20
AI Verdict
Strong Sell
Key drivers: Price-to-Intrinsic Value gap, Negative growth trajectory, Dividend insolvency risk
Confidence
90%
Value
10/100

Ref P/E 25.17, Graham Number $6.09

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • P/B of 17.16 is excessive
  • Price is ~4.4x the Graham Number
  • P/S of 19.98 is extremely high for Basic Materials
Future
15/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth -47.60%
  • Earnings growth -55.10%
  • Forward P/E is negative
Past
50/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Strong 3Y and 5Y returns
Watchpoints
  • Recent 6M performance is -23.6%
  • Consistent earnings misses in recent quarters
Health
45/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • High Current Ratio (6.16)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates mediocre financial health
Dividend
20/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • 3.60% yield
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio 121.10% indicates dividend is not covered by earnings

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$26.68

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MSB and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-29
MSB
Mesabi Trust
Primary
5Y
+24.0%
3Y
+55.7%
1Y
-4.1%
6M
-23.6%
1M
-17.2%
1W
-6.8%
ALT
Alto Ingredients, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-18.0%
3Y
+142.7%
1Y
+253.0%
6M
+294.9%
1M
+68.2%
1W
+6.2%
ION
ioneer Ltd
Peer
5Y
-79.0%
3Y
-55.1%
1Y
+11.8%
6M
-40.0%
1M
-3.1%
1W
-5.8%
NVA
Nova Minerals Limited
Peer
5Y
+577.1%
3Y
+577.1%
1Y
+160.0%
6M
-40.5%
1M
+1.4%
1W
+4.2%
GOR
Gold Resource Corporation
Peer
5Y
-39.8%
3Y
+76.1%
1Y
+326.3%
6M
+116.0%
1M
+39.7%
1W
-2.4%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
25.17
Forward P/E
-1.35
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
17.16
P/S Ratio
19.98
EV/Revenue
18.65
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$350.04M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 79.14%
Operating Margin 78.44%
Gross Margin 100.0%
ROE 63.43%
ROA 13.84%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -47.6%
Earnings Growth -55.1%
Q/Q Revenue Growth -41.57%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -55.1%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
6.16
Strong
Quick Ratio
6.12
Excellent
Cash/Share
$1.76

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q1 2026

Revenue
$0.0B
Op. Margin
-1.7%
Net Margin
79.9%
Total Assets
$0.0B
Liabilities
$0.0B
Equity
$0.0B
Debt/Equity
0.19x
Operating CF
$0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
100%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2013-04-10
$0.36
-13.3% surprise
2012-12-06
$0.89
+15.1% surprise
2012-09-05
$0.83
-5.8% surprise
2012-06-05
$0.26
-14.4% surprise

Basic Materials Sector Comparison

Comparing MSB against 169 companies in the Basic Materials sector (17 bullish, 66 neutral, 86 bearish)
P/E Ratio
25.17
This Stock
vs
38.64
Sector Avg
-34.9% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
63.43%
This Stock
vs
-5.54%
Sector Avg
-1244.9% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
79.14%
This Stock
vs
-4.44%
Sector Avg
-1880.8% (Weaker)
Revenue Growth
-47.6%
This Stock
vs
37.0%
Sector Avg
-228.7% (Slower)
Current Ratio
6.16
This Stock
vs
4.77
Sector Avg
+29.2% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

MSB Mesabi Trust
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$350M
P/E
25.2
ROE
63.4%
Price
$26.68
ALTO Alto Ingredients, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$360M
P/E
29.1
ROE
5.7%
Price
$4.66
 Compare with MSB
IONR ioneer Ltd
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$297M
P/E
-
ROE
-%
Price
$3.7
 Compare with MSB
NVA Nova Minerals Limited
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$275M
P/E
-
ROE
-15.6%
Price
$6.5
 Compare with MSB
GORO Gold Resource...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$262M
P/E
-
ROE
-18.1%
Price
$1.62
 Compare with MSB

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

10-K
10-K
2026-04-22

MSB filed its annual 10-K report on April 22, 2026. The provided excerpts do not contain specific financial highlights or detailed risk factors.

8-K
8-K
2026-04-14

MSB likely filed this 8-K to announce its first-quarter financial results for 2026.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-03

MSB likely filed this 8-K to announce its fourth quarter and full-year financial results for 2025.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-16
10-Q
10-Q
2025-12-12

MSB filed its quarterly 10-Q report on December 12, 2025. While the filing includes a section dedicated to risk factors, specific financial highlights and detailed risk disclosures were not provided in the available excerpts.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-31

MSB filed an 8-K on October 31, 2025, likely to report its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-10

MSB filed an 8-K on October 10, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-09-26
10-Q
10-Q
2025-09-15

MSB submitted its quarterly 10-Q filing on September 15, 2025. While the document includes a section dedicated to risk factors, specific financial highlights and detailed risk disclosures were not provided in the available excerpts.

8-K
8-K
2025-08-01

MSB filed an 8-K on August 1, 2025, likely to announce its second-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-07-11
10-Q
10-Q
2025-06-12
8-K
8-K
2025-05-02
10-K
10-K
2025-04-24
8-K
8-K
2025-04-15
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning MSB from our newsroom.

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