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MWA

NEUTRAL
$27.7 Live
Mueller Water Products, Inc. · NYSE
Target $31.6 (+14.1%)
$22.74 52W Range $31.0

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 30, 2026
Market cap
$4.33B
P/E
21.81
ROE
21.6%
Profit margin
13.8%
Debt/Equity
0.44
Dividend yield
0.99%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
80%
MWA presents a dichotomy between strong fundamental profitability and bearish sentiment indicators. The Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable financial health, supported by a very strong current ratio (4.02) and low debt-to-equity (0.44). While the stock trades significantly above its Graham Number ($13.64), it remains below its growth-based intrinsic value ($37.47). However, the combination of a 0/100 technical trend and consistent insider selling creates a significant headwind for short-term price appreciation.

Key Strengths

Strong Return on Equity (ROE) of 21.55%
Excellent liquidity with a Current Ratio of 4.02
Conservative leverage with Debt/Equity at 0.44
Consistent track record of earnings beats over 25 quarters
Strong YoY earnings growth of 22.70%

Key Risks

Bearish insider sentiment with $1.80M in recent sales
Sluggish revenue growth (4.60% YoY)
Bearish technical trend (0/100 score)
High Price-to-Book ratio (4.25) compared to defensive benchmarks
Low dividend yield (0.99%) providing little downside protection
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$31.6
+14.1% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
63
Strong
Value
55
Future
65
Past
85
Health
70
Dividend
40
AI Verdict
Fundamental Strength vs. Sentiment Weakness
Key drivers: High ROE, Low Debt, Insider Selling, Bearish Technicals
Confidence
85%
Value
55/100

Ref P/E 21.81, PEG 1.29, Graham Number $13.64

Positives
  • Trades below intrinsic value of $37.47
  • Forward P/E (17.85) is lower than trailing P/E
Watchpoints
  • Trades at a significant premium to Graham Number ($13.64)
  • P/B ratio of 4.25 is elevated
Future
65/100

Ref Growth rates and Analyst Targets

Positives
  • Strong earnings growth (22.70%)
  • Positive analyst target price ($31.60)
Watchpoints
  • Low revenue growth (4.60%) suggests limited top-line expansion
Past
85/100

Ref 25-quarter earnings track record

Positives
  • Impressive earnings surprise history
  • Strong 5-year price appreciation (+108%)
Watchpoints
  • Recent Q/Q EPS growth dip (-23.7%)
Health
70/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score 4/9, Debt/Equity 0.44

Positives
  • Very low Debt/Equity (0.44)
  • Exceptional Current Ratio (4.02)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score is only 4/9 (Stable, not Strong)
Dividend
40/100

Ref Yield 0.99%, Payout 21.34%

Positives
  • Very low payout ratio (21.34%) indicates high safety
Watchpoints
  • Low yield (0.99%) is unattractive for income investors

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$27.7
Analyst Target
$31.6
Upside/Downside
+14.1%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MWA and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-29
MWA
Mueller Water Products, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+108.0%
3Y
+109.8%
1Y
+7.1%
6M
+8.4%
1M
+3.2%
1W
-0.3%
HAF
Hafnia Limited
Peer
5Y
+50.2%
3Y
+50.2%
1Y
+105.7%
6M
+45.5%
1M
+14.8%
1W
+3.5%
GFF
Griffon Corporation
Peer
5Y
+323.3%
3Y
+265.1%
1Y
+42.0%
6M
+23.6%
1M
+33.8%
1W
+3.9%
HRI
Herc Holdings Inc.
Peer
5Y
+24.6%
3Y
+32.0%
1Y
+14.5%
6M
-5.6%
1M
+24.2%
1W
+12.1%
KBR
KBR, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-4.9%
3Y
-34.3%
1Y
-30.9%
6M
-15.7%
1M
+0.5%
1W
-1.9%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
21.81
Forward P/E
17.85
PEG Ratio
1.29
P/B Ratio
4.25
P/S Ratio
3.0
EV/Revenue
3.0
EV/EBITDA
13.22
Market Cap
$4.33B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 13.83%
Operating Margin 18.86%
Gross Margin 37.01%
ROE 21.55%
ROA 10.14%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +4.6%
Earnings Growth +22.7%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +4.57%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +22.4%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.44
Low debt
Current Ratio
4.02
Strong
Quick Ratio
2.33
Excellent
Cash/Share
$2.94

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.3B
Gross Margin
37.6%
Op. Margin
18.9%
Net Margin
13.6%
Total Assets
$1.8B
Liabilities
$0.8B
Equity
$1.0B
Debt/Equity
0.81x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
72%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-05
$N/A
2026-02-04
$0.29
+10.1% surprise
2025-11-06
$0.38
+12.3% surprise
2025-08-04
$0.34
+0.5% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing MWA against 514 companies in the Industrials sector (42 bullish, 195 neutral, 277 bearish)
P/E Ratio
21.81
This Stock
vs
93.12
Sector Avg
-76.6% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
21.55%
This Stock
vs
0.92%
Sector Avg
+2251.0% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
13.83%
This Stock
vs
6.42%
Sector Avg
+115.5% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.44
This Stock
vs
2.75
Sector Avg
-83.9% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
4.6%
This Stock
vs
66.24%
Sector Avg
-93.1% (Slower)
Current Ratio
4.02
This Stock
vs
3.02
Sector Avg
+33.2% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

HELMS TODD P
Officer
Sell
2026-03-17
10,720 shares · $295,952
SENGSTACK GREGG C
Director
Buy
2026-02-25
25,000 shares · $739,415
HELMS TODD P
Officer
Sell
2026-02-19
10,720 shares · $318,548
MCANDREW PAUL
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-10
20,250 shares
SHARRITTS JEFFERY S.
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-09
4,381 shares
HEALY BRIAN C
Director
Buy
2026-01-07
1,125 shares · $27,462
HEINRICHS STEVEN SCOTT
Former
Sell
2025-12-09
33,522 shares · $814,105
HELMS TODD P
Officer
Sell
2025-12-04
15,094 shares · $371,616
HELMS TODD P
Officer
Option Exercise
2025-12-04
20,798 shares · $254,444
HELMS TODD P
Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-02
21,476 shares
FLOYD SCOTT P.
Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-02
26,427 shares
MCANDREW PAUL
President
Stock Award
2025-12-02
21,476 shares
FEYERHERM RICHELLE R.
Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-02
7,263 shares
ZAKAS MARIETTA EDMUNDS
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-02
40,576 shares
ZAKAS MARIETTA EDMUNDS
Chief Executive Officer
Gift
2025-12-02
20,620 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-02-25

MWA filed an 8-K on February 25, 2026, likely to announce its annual or quarterly financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-23

MWA filed an 8-K on February 23, 2026, likely to report its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-12

MWA filed an 8-K on February 12, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2026-02-05

MWA filed its 10-Q on February 5, 2026. The provided excerpt does not contain specific financial highlights but references the company's Risk Factors under Item 1A.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-04

MWA likely filed this 8-K to report its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2025-12-19

MWA filed a Definitive Proxy Statement on December 19, 2025, providing shareholders with information regarding matters to be voted on at an upcoming meeting.

10-K
10-K
2025-11-19

MWA's 10-K filing dated November 19, 2025, provides an overview of the company's financial condition, focusing on results of operations, liquidity, and capital resources. The report details the company's business strategy and manufacturing processes while identifying key risk factors associated with its operations.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-10

MWA filed an 8-K on November 10, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-06
8-K
8-K
2025-11-06
8-K
8-K
2025-10-24
8-K
8-K
2025-09-02
8-K
8-K
2025-08-15
10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-05
8-K
8-K
2025-08-04
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
5 analysts
Oppenheimer
2026-02-09
reit
Outperform Outperform
RBC Capital
2026-02-06
Maintains
Sector Perform Sector Perform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning MWA from our newsroom.

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