GFF
BEARISH
$94.34
Live
Griffon Corporation · NYSE
Target $114.14
(+21.0%)
$65.01
52W Range
$97.58
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 28, 2026
Market cap
$4.39B
P/E
93.41
ROE
26.5%
Profit margin
1.8%
Debt/Equity
14.21
Dividend yield
0.93%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
GFF exhibits a critical disconnect between its market price ($94.34) and its deterministic value markers, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 (Stable) and a Graham Number of only $7.29. While the company has a strong history of earnings beats and a high ROE (26.52%), it is burdened by an extreme Debt/Equity ratio of 14.21 and a Price/Book ratio of 40.35. The combination of negative earnings growth (-5.40% YoY), bearish insider selling, and a technical trend score of 10/100 suggests the stock is severely overvalued relative to its fundamentals.
Key Strengths
Strong Return on Equity (ROE) of 26.52%
Consistent track record of beating quarterly earnings estimates
Healthy short-term liquidity with a Current Ratio of 2.56
Low PEG ratio (0.54) suggesting potential value if forward earnings materialize
Strong long-term price performance (5Y Change +323.3%)
Key Risks
Extreme leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 14.21
Massive valuation gap between current price and Graham/Intrinsic values
Negative YoY earnings growth (-5.40%) and Q/Q earnings growth (-9.10%)
High dividend payout ratio (75.25%) limiting capital reinvestment
Heavy exposure to cyclical housing and commercial property markets
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$12.5
-86.8% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
40
Moderate
10
45
75
30
40
AI Verdict
Speculative Bubble
Key drivers: Extreme P/B ratio, High Debt/Equity, Valuation disconnect, Bearish insider sentiment
Confidence
90%
Value
10/100
Ref P/E 93.41, PEG 0.54, Graham Number $7.29
Positives
- Low PEG ratio
Watchpoints
- P/E of 93.41 is excessive
- Price is >10x the Graham Number
- Price/Book of 40.35 is unsustainable
Future
45/100
Ref Growth rates and Analyst Targets
Positives
- Forward P/E (16.33) suggests expected earnings recovery
- Analyst target price of $114.14
Watchpoints
- Negative current earnings growth
- Stagnant revenue growth (2.60%)
Past
75/100
Ref Historical price trends and Earnings track record
Positives
- Exceptional 5-year price appreciation
- Consistent history of EPS surprises
Watchpoints
- Recent Q/Q earnings decline
Health
30/100
Ref Piotroski F-Score 4/9, Debt/Equity 14.21
Positives
- Current Ratio > 2.0
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score 4/9 is only mediocre
- Debt/Equity of 14.21 is dangerously high
Dividend
40/100
Ref Yield 0.93%, Payout 75.25%
Positives
- Consistent dividend payment
Watchpoints
- Low yield (0.93%)
- High payout ratio (75.25%)
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$94.34
Analyst Target
$114.14
Upside/Downside
+21.0%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for GFF and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-27
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
GFF
Griffon Corporation
Primary
|
+323.3% | +265.1% | +42.0% | +23.6% | +33.8% | +3.9% |
|
HAFN
Hafnia Limited
Peer
|
+50.2% | +50.2% | +105.7% | +45.5% | +14.8% | +3.5% |
|
HRI
Herc Holdings Inc.
Peer
|
+24.6% | +32.0% | +14.5% | -5.6% | +24.2% | +12.1% |
|
AIR
AAR Corp.
Peer
|
+176.4% | +117.3% | +70.2% | +45.2% | +1.6% | +8.9% |
|
ALK
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
Peer
|
-38.1% | -6.7% | -5.1% | -15.4% | +7.3% | -2.8% |
GFF
Griffon Corporation
Primary
5Y
+323.3%
3Y
+265.1%
1Y
+42.0%
6M
+23.6%
1M
+33.8%
1W
+3.9%
HAF
Hafnia Limited
Peer
5Y
+50.2%
3Y
+50.2%
1Y
+105.7%
6M
+45.5%
1M
+14.8%
1W
+3.5%
HRI
Herc Holdings Inc.
Peer
5Y
+24.6%
3Y
+32.0%
1Y
+14.5%
6M
-5.6%
1M
+24.2%
1W
+12.1%
AIR
AAR Corp.
Peer
5Y
+176.4%
3Y
+117.3%
1Y
+70.2%
6M
+45.2%
1M
+1.6%
1W
+8.9%
ALK
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-38.1%
3Y
-6.7%
1Y
-5.1%
6M
-15.4%
1M
+7.3%
1W
-2.8%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
93.41
Forward P/E
16.33
PEG Ratio
0.54
P/B Ratio
40.35
P/S Ratio
1.73
EV/Revenue
2.31
EV/EBITDA
11.26
Market Cap
$4.39B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
1.76%
Operating Margin
17.48%
Gross Margin
41.81%
ROE
26.52%
ROA
13.03%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+2.6%
Earnings Growth
-5.4%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+2.64%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-9.1%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
14.21
High debt
Current Ratio
2.56
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.08
Good
Cash/Share
$2.05
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.6B
Gross Margin
41.1%
Op. Margin
17.7%
Net Margin
9.9%
Total Assets
$2.1B
Liabilities
$1.9B
Equity
$0.1B
Debt/Equity
17.87x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
93%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-02-05
$1.45
+8.9% surprise
2025-11-19
$1.54
+1.6% surprise
2025-08-06
$1.5
+0.1% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing GFF against 465 companies in the Industrials sector
(39 bullish, 171 neutral, 255 bearish)
P/E Ratio
93.41
This Stock
vs
98.74
Sector Avg
-5.4%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
26.52%
This Stock
vs
-19.66%
Sector Avg
-234.9%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
1.76%
This Stock
vs
6.63%
Sector Avg
-73.5%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
14.21
This Stock
vs
2.65
Sector Avg
+436.3%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
2.6%
This Stock
vs
71.89%
Sector Avg
-96.4%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
2.56
This Stock
vs
3.1
Sector Avg
-17.5%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
GFF
Griffon Corporation
|
BEARISH | $4.39B | 93.41 | 26.5% | 1.8% | $94.34 | |
|
HAFN
Hafnia Limited
|
NEUTRAL | $4.29B | 12.82 | 14.8% | 14.9% | $8.59 | Compare |
|
HRI
Herc Holdings Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $4.16B | 6230.5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | $124.61 | Compare |
|
AIR
AAR Corp.
|
BEARISH | $4.69B | 26.05 | 6.9% | 3.2% | $118.52 | Compare |
|
ALK
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $4.7B | 52.47 | 1.9% | 0.5% | $41.45 | Compare |
GFF
Griffon Corporation
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$4.4B
P/E
93.4
ROE
26.5%
Price
$94.34
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-05 | ALPERT HENRY A | Director | Purchase | 1,000 | $79,990 |
| 2026-02-18 | SULLIVAN KEVIN F | Director | Stock Award | 1,340 | - |
| 2026-02-18 | DIAO H C CHARLES | Director | Stock Award | 1,340 | - |
| 2026-02-18 | GRABOWSKY LOUIS J | Director | Stock Award | 1,340 | - |
| 2026-02-18 | JOHNSON LACY M. | Director | Stock Award | 1,340 | - |
| 2026-02-18 | HEGEDUS SAMANTA | Director | Stock Award | 1,340 | - |
| 2026-02-18 | TAYLOR MICHELLE L | Director | Stock Award | 1,340 | - |
| 2026-02-18 | SIGHT JAMES W | Director | Stock Award | 1,340 | - |
| 2026-02-18 | COBEN JEROME L | Director | Stock Award | 1,340 | - |
| 2026-02-18 | TURNBULL CHERYL L | Director | Stock Award | 1,340 | - |
| 2026-02-18 | ALPERT HENRY A | Director | Stock Award | 1,340 | - |
| 2026-02-17 | DURBOROW CHRISTOPHER W | Officer | Sale | 10,000 | $919,700 |
| 2026-02-13 | GRABOWSKY LOUIS J | Director | Sale | 11,000 | $1,023,660 |
| 2026-02-12 | TAYLOR MICHELLE L | Director | Sale | 1,650 | $152,724 |
| 2026-02-09 | KAPLAN SETH L | General Counsel | Sale | 15,000 | $1,431,664 |
ALPERT HENRY A
Director
2026-03-05
1,000 shares
·
$79,990
SULLIVAN KEVIN F
Director
2026-02-18
1,340 shares
DIAO H C CHARLES
Director
2026-02-18
1,340 shares
GRABOWSKY LOUIS J
Director
2026-02-18
1,340 shares
JOHNSON LACY M.
Director
2026-02-18
1,340 shares
HEGEDUS SAMANTA
Director
2026-02-18
1,340 shares
TAYLOR MICHELLE L
Director
2026-02-18
1,340 shares
SIGHT JAMES W
Director
2026-02-18
1,340 shares
COBEN JEROME L
Director
2026-02-18
1,340 shares
TURNBULL CHERYL L
Director
2026-02-18
1,340 shares
ALPERT HENRY A
Director
2026-02-18
1,340 shares
DURBOROW CHRISTOPHER W
Officer
2026-02-17
10,000 shares
·
$919,700
GRABOWSKY LOUIS J
Director
2026-02-13
11,000 shares
·
$1,023,660
TAYLOR MICHELLE L
Director
2026-02-12
1,650 shares
·
$152,724
KAPLAN SETH L
General Counsel
2026-02-09
15,000 shares
·
$1,431,664
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
SEC Filings
Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
NONE
7 analysts
Stephens & Co.
2026-02-09
Overweight
Overweight
Stephens & Co.
2025-11-24
Overweight
Overweight
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning GFF from our newsroom.
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No matching news yet.