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NBHC

NEUTRAL
$42.22 Live
National Bank Holdings Corporation · NYSE
Target $48.25 (+14.3%)
$35.06 52W Range $43.86

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 30, 2026
Market cap
$1.89B
P/E
15.75
ROE
7.1%
Profit margin
24.7%
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
3.03%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
NBHC presents a contradictory profile characterized by a very weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, indicating significant deterioration in fundamental financial health. While the stock trades below its Graham Number ($47.02), suggesting defensive value, it is priced far above its growth-based intrinsic value ($18.76). Strong top-line revenue growth (33.7%) is currently offset by a sharp decline in earnings growth (-27%), creating a divergence between scale and profitability. Despite bullish analyst targets, the combination of poor health scores, bearish insider sentiment, and negative earnings momentum warrants a cautious approach.

Key Strengths

Trades below the Graham Number ($47.02), providing a defensive valuation floor
Strong year-over-year revenue growth of 33.70%
Attractive and sustainable dividend profile with a 45.90% payout ratio
Low Price-to-Book ratio (1.15) relative to typical regional bank premiums
Positive analyst consensus with a target price of $48.25

Key Risks

Critical financial health warning indicated by a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9
Significant earnings contraction with YoY growth at -27.00%
Bearish insider activity with net selling in the last 6 months
Strongly bearish technical trend (10/100)
Divergence between revenue growth and net income, suggesting margin compression
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$32.89
-22.1% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
51
Moderate
Value
65
Future
40
Past
55
Health
20
Dividend
75
AI Verdict
Cautionary Value Trap
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score (2/9), Earnings Growth (-27%), Graham Number ($47.02), Revenue Growth (33.7%)
Confidence
80%
Value
65/100

Ref P/E 15.75, PEG 1.57, Graham Number $47.02

Positives
  • P/B of 1.15 is low
  • Current price is below Graham Number
Watchpoints
  • Price is significantly higher than growth-based intrinsic value ($18.76)
Future
40/100

Ref Revenue Growth 33.7% vs Earnings Growth -27%

Positives
  • High revenue growth
Watchpoints
  • Negative earnings growth
  • Negative Q/Q earnings growth
Past
55/100

Ref 1Y Change +19.6%

Positives
  • Strong 1Y and 6M price performance
Watchpoints
  • Inconsistent earnings surprises in recent quarters
Health
20/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates weak financial health
Dividend
75/100

Ref Yield 3.03%, Payout 45.90%

Positives
  • Sustainable payout ratio
  • Consistent yield
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$42.22
Analyst Target
$48.25
Upside/Downside
+14.3%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for NBHC and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-29
NBH
National Bank Holdings Corporation
Primary
5Y
+21.2%
3Y
+48.5%
1Y
+19.6%
6M
+19.9%
1M
+10.1%
1W
+1.7%
FCF
First Commonwealth Financial Corporation
Peer
5Y
+53.6%
3Y
+73.5%
1Y
+26.2%
6M
+14.9%
1M
+7.7%
1W
-1.0%
AGM
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation
Peer
5Y
+153.5%
3Y
+48.7%
1Y
-9.9%
6M
-0.9%
1M
-3.9%
1W
-0.9%
QFI
Qfin Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-31.6%
3Y
-12.4%
1Y
-58.1%
6M
-44.0%
1M
+7.0%
1W
+4.0%
EVT
Eaton Vance Tax-Advantaged Dividend Income Fund
Peer
5Y
+41.6%
3Y
+47.7%
1Y
+26.1%
6M
+8.6%
1M
+5.2%
1W
-1.1%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
15.75
Forward P/E
10.23
PEG Ratio
1.57
P/B Ratio
1.15
P/S Ratio
4.4
EV/Revenue
3.78
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$1.89B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 24.73%
Operating Margin 23.14%
Gross Margin N/A
ROE 7.09%
ROA 0.94%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +33.7%
Earnings Growth -27.0%
Q/Q Revenue Growth -0.43%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -14.2%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Cash/Share
$10.65

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-07-28
$N/A
2026-04-21
$0.72
+10.8% surprise
2026-01-27
$0.6
-26.6% surprise
2025-10-21
$0.92
+8.2% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing NBHC against 915 companies in the Financial Services sector (148 bullish, 394 neutral, 373 bearish)
P/E Ratio
15.75
This Stock
vs
34.57
Sector Avg
-54.4% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
7.09%
This Stock
vs
0.12%
Sector Avg
+5792.0% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
24.73%
This Stock
vs
92.09%
Sector Avg
-73.1% (Weaker)
Revenue Growth
33.7%
This Stock
vs
33.99%
Sector Avg
-0.9% (Slower)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

LANEY G TIMOTHY
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-17
33,326 shares
NEWFIELD RICHARD U JR
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-17
2,781 shares
BIRKANS ALDIS
President
Stock Award
2026-03-17
15,523 shares
VAN DENABEELE NICOLE
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-17
5,821 shares
PETRUCCI ANGELA NICOLE
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-17
4,178 shares
GOODEN EMILY
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-17
517 shares
SZNEWAJS DANIEL L
Officer and Treasurer
Stock Award
2026-03-17
3,250 shares
LANEY G TIMOTHY
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
9,075 shares
NEWFIELD RICHARD U JR
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
2,104 shares
BIRKANS ALDIS
President
Stock Award
2026-02-27
2,971 shares
VAN DENABEELE NICOLE
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
568 shares
PETRUCCI ANGELA NICOLE
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
1,402 shares
PETRUCCI ANGELA NICOLE
Officer
Option Exercise
2026-02-24
675 shares · $13,203
BIRKANS ALDIS
President
Option Exercise
2026-02-11
3,080 shares · $60,245
LANEY G TIMOTHY
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-07
377,724 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-04-21

NBHC likely filed this 8-K to announce its first quarter financial results for 2026.

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-03

NBHC filed a definitive proxy statement (DEF 14A) on April 3, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for the upcoming annual meeting.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-24

NBHC filed its annual 10-K report on February 24, 2026. The provided excerpts do not contain specific financial data or detailed risk disclosures, as only page references for the Business, Risk Factors, and MD&A sections were included.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-19

NBHC filed an 8-K on February 19, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-02-11

NBHC Holdings Corp filed an 8-K likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-10

NBHC filed an 8-K on February 10, 2026, likely to announce its financial results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-02-05

Northwest Bancorp, Inc. filed an 8-K on February 5, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-02-04

Northwest Bancorp, Inc. likely reported its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results for 2025.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-27

NBHC filed an 8-K on January 27, 2026, likely to announce its quarterly or annual financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-01-07

NBHC Holdings Corp filed an 8-K likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-12-23
8-K
8-K
2025-11-03
10-Q
10-Q
2025-10-29
8-K
8-K
2025-10-29
8-K
8-K
2025-10-21
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
4 analysts
Piper Sandler
2026-04-27
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
DA Davidson
2026-04-22
Maintains
Buy Buy
DA Davidson
2026-04-06
Maintains
Buy Buy
DA Davidson
2026-02-19
Maintains
Buy Buy
DA Davidson
2026-01-29
Maintains
Buy Buy
DA Davidson
2026-01-28
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning NBHC from our newsroom.

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