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QFIN

BULLISH
$14.13 Live
Qfin Holdings, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $23.57 (+66.8%)
$12.29 52W Range $47.0

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 18, 2026
Market cap
$1.86B
P/E
2.19
ROE
24.7%
Profit margin
31.2%
Debt/Equity
0.18
Dividend yield
10.89%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
75%
QFIN presents a classic deep-value opportunity, characterized by a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a massive valuation disconnect, trading at $14.13 against a Graham Number of $64.94. While the company is facing severe earnings contraction (-40.9% YoY) and a completely bearish technical trend (0/100), its fundamental profitability remains robust with an ROE of 24.69% and a very low P/E of 2.19. The high dividend yield of 10.89% is well-supported by a low payout ratio of 23.85%, providing a significant safety buffer. The bullish assessment is based on the extreme margin of safety provided by the Price-to-Book ratio of 0.49.

Key Strengths

Extreme valuation discount (P/E 2.19, P/B 0.49)
High and sustainable dividend yield (10.89% with 23.85% payout)
Strong profitability metrics (ROE 24.69%, Profit Margin 31.19%)
Conservative leverage (Debt/Equity 0.18)
Significant upside relative to Graham Number and Intrinsic Value

Key Risks

Severe YoY earnings decline (-40.90%)
Strongly bearish technical momentum (1Y change -58.1%)
Poor recent earnings track record (only 1 of last 4 quarters beat estimates)
Low Quick Ratio (0.42) compared to Current Ratio (2.43)
Negative revenue growth trend (-8.70% YoY)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$32.5
+130.0% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
66
Strong
Value
98
Future
35
Past
40
Health
65
Dividend
90
AI Verdict
Deep Value Play
Key drivers: Extreme P/E and P/B discounts, Strong dividend coverage, Severe growth deceleration
Confidence
80%
Value
98/100

Ref P/E 2.19, P/B 0.49, Graham Number $64.94

Positives
  • P/E of 2.19 is exceptionally low
  • Trading at 0.49x Book Value
  • Current price is ~78% below Graham Number
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Future
35/100

Ref Growth rates and Earnings track record

Positives
  • Recent Q/Q revenue growth recovery (+23.67%)
Watchpoints
  • YoY Earnings growth -40.90%
  • Consistent earnings misses in recent quarters
Past
40/100

Ref Historical price performance

Positives
  • Historical ability to generate high ROE
Watchpoints
  • 1Y price collapse of -58.1%
  • 6M price decline of -44.0%
Health
65/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score 4/9, Debt/Equity 0.18

Positives
  • Very low Debt/Equity (0.18)
  • Healthy Current Ratio (2.43)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score is only 4/9 (Stable, not Strong)
Dividend
90/100

Ref Yield 10.89%, Payout 23.85%

Positives
  • Double-digit yield (10.89%)
  • Very low payout ratio (23.85%)
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$14.13
Analyst Target
$23.57
Upside/Downside
+66.8%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for QFIN and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-17
QFI
Qfin Holdings, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-31.6%
3Y
-12.4%
1Y
-58.1%
6M
-44.0%
1M
+7.0%
1W
+4.0%
CLB
Columbia Financial, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+1.0%
3Y
-3.4%
1Y
+35.5%
6M
+19.9%
1M
-0.3%
1W
+1.7%
AGM
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation
Peer
5Y
+153.5%
3Y
+48.7%
1Y
-9.9%
6M
-0.9%
1M
-3.9%
1W
-0.9%
GCM
GCM Grosvenor Inc.
Peer
5Y
+1.0%
3Y
+45.6%
1Y
-19.0%
6M
-13.6%
1M
-15.2%
1W
+0.9%
AGM
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation
Peer
5Y
+116.9%
3Y
+37.7%
1Y
-10.3%
6M
+1.4%
1M
-2.7%
1W
+1.0%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
2.19
Forward P/E
2.78
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.49
P/S Ratio
0.1
EV/Revenue
0.02
EV/EBITDA
0.04
Market Cap
$1.86B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 31.19%
Operating Margin 29.45%
Gross Margin 61.41%
ROE 24.69%
ROA 9.93%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -8.7%
Earnings Growth -40.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +23.67%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -46.8%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.18
Low debt
Current Ratio
2.43
Strong
Quick Ratio
0.42
Poor
Cash/Share
$30.96

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-18
$N/A
2026-03-17
$7.82
-4.8% surprise
2025-11-18
$10.8
-8.5% surprise
2025-08-14
$12.76
+0.7% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing QFIN against 500 companies in the Financial Services sector (90 bullish, 207 neutral, 203 bearish)
P/E Ratio
2.19
This Stock
vs
45.14
Sector Avg
-95.2% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
24.69%
This Stock
vs
-0.0%
Sector Avg
-576048.4% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
31.19%
This Stock
vs
48.63%
Sector Avg
-35.9% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.18
This Stock
vs
1.45
Sector Avg
-87.4% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-8.7%
This Stock
vs
36.71%
Sector Avg
-123.7% (Slower)
Current Ratio
2.43
This Stock
vs
3.31
Sector Avg
-26.6% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

CHEN XIAOHUAN
Director
Buy
2026-03-31
250,000 shares · $3,197,900
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

20-F
20-F
2025-03-25

Qifu Technology (QFIN) filed its 20-F annual report on March 25, 2025, providing a comprehensive overview of its yearly financial performance and operational results. The filing details the company's financial position and outlines the primary regulatory and market risks associated with its AI-driven credit platform operations.

20-F
FORM 20-F
2024-04-26

Qifu Technology operates as a leading AI-driven credit platform in China, focusing on loan facilitation and risk management services. Investors should note significant risks associated with the evolving Chinese regulatory environment for fintech and macroeconomic volatility affecting credit quality.

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
12 analysts
Jefferies
2026-03-18
Maintains
Buy Buy
JP Morgan
2025-11-19
down
Overweight Neutral

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning QFIN from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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