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NJR

NEUTRAL
$56.31 Live
New Jersey Resources Corporation · NYSE
Target $59.33 (+5.4%)
$43.46 52W Range $57.7

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated May 01, 2026
Market cap
$5.68B
P/E
17.43
ROE
13.7%
Profit margin
15.2%
Debt/Equity
1.61
Dividend yield
3.37%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
80%
NJR presents a dichotomy between strong operational efficiency and stretched valuation. While the Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates stable financial health, the stock is trading at a significant premium to its Graham Number ($42.23) and Intrinsic Value ($22.61). Strong revenue growth is currently decoupled from earnings growth, which has turned negative YoY. Despite analyst 'buy' ratings, bearish insider activity and a weak technical trend suggest limited immediate upside.

Key Strengths

Superior ROE (13.66%) compared to the utility sector average (0.23%)
Strong revenue growth (23.90% YoY) indicating successful scale or rate adjustments
Healthy profit margins (15.18%) and operating margins (29.63%)
Sustainable dividend payout ratio of 57.28%
Regulated utility business model providing a defensive floor

Key Risks

Significant overvaluation relative to deterministic fair value models
Negative earnings growth (-7.60% YoY) despite rising revenues
Liquidity concerns with a Current Ratio of 0.83 and Quick Ratio of 0.43
Bearish insider sentiment with C-suite selling (CFO and General Counsel)
Weak technical trend (10/100) suggesting strong downward momentum or resistance
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$41.5
-26.3% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
54
Moderate
Value
30
Future
45
Past
75
Health
55
Dividend
65
AI Verdict
Overvalued Stable Utility
Key drivers: Valuation gap, Operational efficiency, Earnings divergence, Insider selling
Confidence
85%
Value
30/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/E (17.43) is lower than sector average (26.43)
Watchpoints
  • Price ($56.31) is 33% above Graham Number ($42.23)
  • Price is 149% above Intrinsic Value ($22.61)
  • High PEG ratio (2.23)
Future
45/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Strong YoY and Q/Q revenue growth (~23.9%)
Watchpoints
  • Negative YoY earnings growth (-7.60%)
  • Negative Q/Q earnings growth (-6.70%)
Past
75/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Strong 5-year price appreciation (+56.7%)
  • Consistent dividend history
Watchpoints
  • Recent earnings volatility
Health
55/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates stability
Watchpoints
  • Current Ratio < 1.0 indicates potential short-term liquidity pressure
  • Debt/Equity (1.61) is slightly above sector average
Dividend
65/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Sustainable payout ratio (57.28%)
  • Consistent yield (3.37%)
Watchpoints
  • Yield is modest for a utility stock

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$56.31
Analyst Target
$59.33
Upside/Downside
+5.4%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for NJR and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-30
NJR
New Jersey Resources Corporation
Primary
5Y
+56.7%
3Y
+22.2%
1Y
+19.7%
6M
+28.2%
1M
+2.5%
1W
-0.3%
BIP
Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation
Peer
5Y
+23.0%
3Y
+12.8%
1Y
+12.4%
6M
+11.4%
1M
-2.0%
1W
-0.1%
BKH
Black Hills Corporation
Peer
5Y
+43.4%
3Y
+15.9%
1Y
+30.7%
6M
+29.1%
1M
+3.2%
1W
-2.3%
ENI
Enel Chile S.A.
Peer
5Y
+89.7%
3Y
+113.0%
1Y
+27.3%
6M
+13.9%
1M
+13.3%
1W
-1.4%
AQN
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.
Peer
5Y
-53.0%
3Y
+1.0%
1Y
+47.5%
6M
+6.3%
1M
+2.4%
1W
-1.4%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
17.43
Forward P/E
16.39
PEG Ratio
2.23
P/B Ratio
2.29
P/S Ratio
2.64
EV/Revenue
4.48
EV/EBITDA
14.02
Market Cap
$5.68B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 15.18%
Operating Margin 29.63%
Gross Margin 37.1%
ROE 13.66%
ROA 4.1%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +23.9%
Earnings Growth -7.6%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +23.85%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -6.7%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.61
High debt
Current Ratio
0.83
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.43
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.02

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.6B
Gross Margin
43.3%
Op. Margin
29.6%
Net Margin
20.3%
Total Assets
$7.9B
Liabilities
$5.4B
Equity
$2.5B
Debt/Equity
2.20x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.2B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.2B
FCF Yield
-572%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-04
$N/A
2026-02-02
$1.17
+17.4% surprise
2025-11-19
$0.16
-16.9% surprise
2025-08-04
$0.06
+274.1% surprise

Utilities Sector Comparison

Comparing NJR against 74 companies in the Utilities sector (4 bullish, 43 neutral, 27 bearish)
P/E Ratio
17.43
This Stock
vs
26.37
Sector Avg
-33.9% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
13.66%
This Stock
vs
-0.24%
Sector Avg
-5745.5% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
15.18%
This Stock
vs
6.58%
Sector Avg
+130.6% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
1.61
This Stock
vs
1.68
Sector Avg
-4.6% (Lower)
Revenue Growth
23.9%
This Stock
vs
22.89%
Sector Avg
+4.4% (Growing)
Current Ratio
0.83
This Stock
vs
1.17
Sector Avg
-28.5% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

REICH RICHARD
General Counsel
Sell
2026-03-19
5,449 shares · $288,743
BEL ROBERTO
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2026-03-16
6,105 shares · $336,377
TAYLOR SHARON C.
Director
Option Exercise
2026-01-21
2,938 shares · $140,936
YARDLEY WILLIAM TURNER
Director
Option Exercise
2026-01-21
1,535 shares · $73,634
MANSUE AMY B
Director
Option Exercise
2026-01-21
512 shares · $24,561
DEGRAFFENREIDT JAMES H JR
Director
Option Exercise
2026-01-21
2,938 shares · $140,936
HARDWICK M SUSAN
Director
Option Exercise
2026-01-21
2,938 shares · $140,936
O'SULLIVAN MICHAEL A
Director
Option Exercise
2026-01-21
2,938 shares · $140,936
TAYLOR SHARON C.
Director
Option Exercise
2026-01-05
1,548 shares · $70,806
KENNY JANE M
Director
Option Exercise
2026-01-05
3,695 shares · $169,009
CORRELL DONALD L
Director
Option Exercise
2026-01-05
1,007 shares · $46,060
MIGLIACCIO PATRICK J
Officer
Sell
2025-12-23
4,017 shares · $186,630
WESTHOVEN STEPHEN D
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-04
51,189 shares · $2,295,827
MIGLIACCIO PATRICK J
Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-04
11,501 shares · $515,820
SHEA JACQUELINE K
Chief Technology Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-04
7,938 shares · $356,019
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
6 analysts
Mizuho
2026-04-21
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Mizuho
2025-12-17
up
Neutral Outperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning NJR from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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